Company Confirms FY26 Adjusted EBITDA View of $25M to $35M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 29 2026
0mins
Should l Buy OTLY?
Backs FY26 adjusted EBITDA view $25M-$35M. Backs FY26 capital expenditures view $20M-$30M. Flatin continued, "While these results give us the confidence that we have the right strategy in place and are competing effectively in our core competencies, we remain focused on execution. We are committed to building on this momentum to deliver consistent, sustainable, and profitable growth over time."
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Analyst Views on OTLY
Wall Street analysts forecast OTLY stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 10.050
Low
14.00
Averages
16.67
High
18.00
Current: 10.050
Low
14.00
Averages
16.67
High
18.00
About OTLY
Oatly Group AB (publ) is a Sweden-based company that is primarily focused on manufacture, distribution and sale oat-based products. The Company's scope of activity concentrates on developing the know-how around oats, and what follows - the alternatives to milk, ice cream, yogurt, cooking creams, spreads and on-the-go drinks. Moreover, the Company distributes their oat-based dairy substitute products primarily under its own brand, Oatly. Apart from oatmilk production, Oatly Group AB (publ) also handles the administration of Oatly Group and its financing. The major operations in the Group take place in underlying companies, primarily in Oatly AB. Oatly Group AB (publ) products are available in over 20 countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oatly to Announce Q1 Earnings on April 29
- Earnings Announcement: Oatly is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on April 29 before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at -$0.93 and revenue expected to reach $215.03 million, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year growth.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Oatly has exceeded EPS estimates 25% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating a moderate ability to manage market expectations effectively.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision with no downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook for Oatly's future performance.
- Growth Strategy Goals: Oatly aims for a constant currency revenue growth of 3-5% by 2026, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $25 million and $35 million, demonstrating its commitment to accelerating a profitable growth strategy.
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Oatly Confirms Multi-Year Investment in Swedish Production Facility
- Capacity Expansion: Oatly's investment in its Landskrona facility will increase annual production capacity from 150 million liters to 200 million liters, representing over a 33% increase to meet the rising global demand for plant-based drinks, which is expected to significantly enhance its market competitiveness.
- Growing Market Demand: European demand for plant-based drinks rose by 6% over the past 12 months, with Oatly experiencing double-digit growth in the region, indicating the company's strong position in the rapidly expanding plant-based beverage market.
- Sustainability Commitment: The expansion will further reduce the climate impact of operations, with Oatly highlighting that the Landskrona factory serves not only as a production hub but also houses many of the company's core functions, reflecting its long-term commitment to sustainability.
- Stock Price Reaction: Oatly's shares rose 1.8% in premarket trading to $11.40, indicating a positive market response to the company's expansion plans, with stock prices fluctuating between $8.25 and $18.84 over the past 52 weeks.
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Avavav and Oatly Collaborate at Milan Fashion Week
- Fusion of Fashion and Beverage: Avavav collaborated with Oatly at Milan Fashion Week for the Autumn/Winter 2026 show, showcasing three oat-based drinks inspired by fashion, which enhances brand image and market influence through innovative cross-industry collaboration.
- Disrupting Traditional Runway: The show featured a reversed runway format where guests became the observed, breaking traditional fashion show boundaries and emphasizing fashion as a performance art, thereby enhancing audience engagement and experience.
- Unique Beverage Creations: Oatly developed three signature drinks specifically for the show, including 'New Fashioned' and 'Lace Bottoms Up', which are not just consumables but artistic expressions integrated with fashion design, showcasing the brand's ongoing evolution in beverage innovation.
- Cultural and Experimental Convergence: Avavav's Creative Director Beate Karlsson highlighted that the collaboration with Oatly is rooted in a shared cultural philosophy, where both brands create a boundaryless expression through humor and experimentation, further promoting cultural dialogue between the fashion and beverage industries.
See More
Oatly Group Rated Among Best High Growth Consumer Stocks
- Earnings Beat: Oatly Group reported Q4 revenue of $233.779 million for 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $216.05 million, demonstrating the company's ongoing efforts in achieving profitable growth and reflecting the effectiveness of its strengthened business foundation over the past three years.
- Profitability Improvement: CEO Jean-Christophe Flatin highlighted that a right-sized supply chain and overhead structure enabled the company to achieve profitable growth in both Q4 and the full year, indicating the effectiveness of its refreshed growth strategy and enhanced market competitiveness.
- Future Outlook: Oatly expects constant currency revenue growth of 3% to 5% for 2026, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $25 million and $35 million, and capital expenditures anticipated to be between $20 million and $30 million, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth.
- Rating Adjustment: Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on Oatly to $14.50 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding its growth potential, while also indicating a greater focus on AI stocks with higher upside potential.
See More
Oatly (OTLY) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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Oatly (OTLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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Oatly to Announce Q1 Earnings on April 29
- Earnings Announcement: Oatly is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on April 29 before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at -$0.93 and revenue expected to reach $215.03 million, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year growth.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Oatly has exceeded EPS estimates 25% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, indicating a moderate ability to manage market expectations effectively.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision with no downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook for Oatly's future performance.
- Growth Strategy Goals: Oatly aims for a constant currency revenue growth of 3-5% by 2026, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $25 million and $35 million, demonstrating its commitment to accelerating a profitable growth strategy.
See More
Oatly Confirms Multi-Year Investment in Swedish Production Facility
- Capacity Expansion: Oatly's investment in its Landskrona facility will increase annual production capacity from 150 million liters to 200 million liters, representing over a 33% increase to meet the rising global demand for plant-based drinks, which is expected to significantly enhance its market competitiveness.
- Growing Market Demand: European demand for plant-based drinks rose by 6% over the past 12 months, with Oatly experiencing double-digit growth in the region, indicating the company's strong position in the rapidly expanding plant-based beverage market.
- Sustainability Commitment: The expansion will further reduce the climate impact of operations, with Oatly highlighting that the Landskrona factory serves not only as a production hub but also houses many of the company's core functions, reflecting its long-term commitment to sustainability.
- Stock Price Reaction: Oatly's shares rose 1.8% in premarket trading to $11.40, indicating a positive market response to the company's expansion plans, with stock prices fluctuating between $8.25 and $18.84 over the past 52 weeks.
See More
Avavav and Oatly Collaborate at Milan Fashion Week
- Fusion of Fashion and Beverage: Avavav collaborated with Oatly at Milan Fashion Week for the Autumn/Winter 2026 show, showcasing three oat-based drinks inspired by fashion, which enhances brand image and market influence through innovative cross-industry collaboration.
- Disrupting Traditional Runway: The show featured a reversed runway format where guests became the observed, breaking traditional fashion show boundaries and emphasizing fashion as a performance art, thereby enhancing audience engagement and experience.
- Unique Beverage Creations: Oatly developed three signature drinks specifically for the show, including 'New Fashioned' and 'Lace Bottoms Up', which are not just consumables but artistic expressions integrated with fashion design, showcasing the brand's ongoing evolution in beverage innovation.
- Cultural and Experimental Convergence: Avavav's Creative Director Beate Karlsson highlighted that the collaboration with Oatly is rooted in a shared cultural philosophy, where both brands create a boundaryless expression through humor and experimentation, further promoting cultural dialogue between the fashion and beverage industries.
See More
Oatly Group Rated Among Best High Growth Consumer Stocks
- Earnings Beat: Oatly Group reported Q4 revenue of $233.779 million for 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $216.05 million, demonstrating the company's ongoing efforts in achieving profitable growth and reflecting the effectiveness of its strengthened business foundation over the past three years.
- Profitability Improvement: CEO Jean-Christophe Flatin highlighted that a right-sized supply chain and overhead structure enabled the company to achieve profitable growth in both Q4 and the full year, indicating the effectiveness of its refreshed growth strategy and enhanced market competitiveness.
- Future Outlook: Oatly expects constant currency revenue growth of 3% to 5% for 2026, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $25 million and $35 million, and capital expenditures anticipated to be between $20 million and $30 million, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth.
- Rating Adjustment: Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on Oatly to $14.50 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding its growth potential, while also indicating a greater focus on AI stocks with higher upside potential.
See More
Oatly (OTLY) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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Oatly (OTLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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