Citi Raises TSINGTAO BREW's Target Price to HKD76.1, Maintains Buy Rating
Citi's Profit Forecast Adjustment: Citi has lowered its core net profit forecasts for TSINGTAO BREW for 2025-26 by 2% and 3%, along with a 1% reduction in revenue forecasts.
Valuation Benchmark Update: The valuation benchmark has been adjusted to 2026 EV/EBITDA, with an unchanged estimated target EV/EBITDA multiple of 12 times.
Target Price Increase: Citi raised its target price for TSINGTAO BREW from HKD75.2 to HKD76.1 while maintaining a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of January 9, 2026, short selling for TSINGTAO BREW was reported at $41.58 million, with a ratio of 21.474%.
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Index Review Announcement: The China Securities Index Company and Hang Seng Indexes Company released the half-yearly review results for the Hang Seng CSI Shanghai-Hong Kong AH Smart Index, which includes the largest 50 AH companies under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect programme.
Constituent Changes: The index maintains 50 constituent companies, with SANY HEAVY INDUSTRIES and SERES being newly included, while CEA and TSINGTAO BREWERY were excluded.
Future Share Class Determination: The share classes of the companies included in the index will be determined in March 2026, aligning with the monthly share class switching exercise.
Market Data: The report includes short selling data for the excluded companies, indicating significant short selling activity and ratios for both CEA and TSINGTAO BREWERY.

Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks rose on the settlement date, with the HSI increasing by 141 points (0.5%) to close at 27,968, while the HSCEI gained 40 points (0.4%) to finish at 9,552. The HSTECH, however, fell by 59 points (1%) to close at 5,841.
Chinese Developers Surge: Significant gains were observed among Chinese developers, attributed to reports that they are no longer required to report the "Three Red Lines" metrics monthly. Notable increases included KWG GROUP (+40.96%), CHINA AOYUAN (+32.88%), and SUNAC (+29.13%).
Short Selling Activity: The short selling activity was notable, with various developers experiencing high ratios, such as SHIMAO GROUP (6.765%) and CIFI HOLD GP (1.472%), indicating a mix of investor sentiment in the market.
Consumer Stocks Rise: Consumer stocks also saw increases, with ZJLD surging by 12.35% and CTG DUTY-FREE by 7.98%, alongside other notable gains in companies like TSINGTAO BREW (+5.63%) and ANTA SPORTS (+4.80%).

CNOOC and JD.com Short Selling: CNOOC has a short selling value of $28.22M with a ratio of 3.983%, while JD.com shows a significantly higher short selling value of $91.22M and a ratio of 19.039%.
Stock Performance of Various Companies: Companies like SK hynix, Samsung Electronics, and MediaTek are mentioned, with some showing minor fluctuations in stock prices.
Brent Oil Price Forecast: Citi has raised its three-month Brent oil price forecast to $70 per barrel, indicating a positive outlook for oil prices.
Short Selling Data Overview: The report includes short selling data for various companies, with notable figures for Tsingtao Brew and Kunlun Energy, reflecting varying levels of market activity.

Citi's Sales Forecast Adjustment: Citi has reduced its 2025-27 sales forecasts for BUD APAC by 3% to 4% due to a less favorable outlook for its China business, particularly for 4Q25 sales impacted by the timing of the Lunar New Year in 2026.
Core Net Profit Forecasts Cut: The bank has also lowered its core net profit forecasts for BUD APAC by 10% for 2025 and 2026, and by 9% for 2027, reflecting weakened operating leverage.
Target Price Revision: BUD APAC's target price has been decreased from HKD12.4 to HKD11.4, although Citi maintains a Buy rating on the stock.
Preference for Chinese Beer Makers: Citi's ranking of Chinese beer makers remains unchanged, with BUD APAC positioned below CHINA RES BEER and TSINGTAO BREW in their preference order.
Citi's Profit Forecast Adjustment: Citi has lowered its core net profit forecasts for TSINGTAO BREW for 2025-26 by 2% and 3%, along with a 1% reduction in revenue forecasts.
Valuation Benchmark Update: The valuation benchmark has been adjusted to 2026 EV/EBITDA, with an unchanged estimated target EV/EBITDA multiple of 12 times.
Target Price Increase: Citi raised its target price for TSINGTAO BREW from HKD75.2 to HKD76.1 while maintaining a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of January 9, 2026, short selling for TSINGTAO BREW was reported at $41.58 million, with a ratio of 21.474%.
Stock Performance: Several stocks experienced declines, with CATL dropping 3.44% and BABA-W down 1.57%, while some stocks like WUXI APPTEC and Luckin Coffee saw gains.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling ratios were noted for multiple companies, including NETEASE MUSIC at 32.83% and SHENZHOU INTL at 34.31%, indicating significant bearish sentiment.
Market Predictions: Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley provided forecasts, predicting weak construction activity in China's housing market and potential upside for metal stocks driven by ESS demand.
Overall Market Trends: The overall market showed mixed results, with some stocks facing pressure while others managed to gain, reflecting a volatile trading environment.








