Citi Lowers EPS Projections for HKEX (00388.HK) and Reduces Target Price to $505
Citi Research Update: Citi Research has updated its model for HKEX, lowering its FY2025-2027 EPS forecasts by 1% due to a reduced average daily turnover forecast for Hong Kong stocks.
Target Price Adjustment: The broker maintained a Buy rating for HKEX but reduced its target price from $515 to $505.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 00388
About the author


Market Activity: HKEX Chairman Carlson Tong reported an active market sentiment with over 400 listing applications being processed, including 11 from overseas companies, and over 100 new applications submitted in January 2026 alone.
Focus on Market Quality: Tong emphasized that maintaining market quality is essential for Hong Kong's success and that HKEX will collaborate with market participants to enhance market efficiency.
International Interest: During his visit to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Tong noted strong interest from global institutions and investors in participating in the Hong Kong market.
Investment Opportunities: Tong believes that by introducing high-quality and diversified investment products and improving market mechanisms, HKEX can attract more investors and companies to Hong Kong.

Market Performance: The HSI closed slightly up at 26,847, while the HSCEI and HSTECH saw minor declines, with total market turnover dropping to $285.433 billion.
Sector Struggles: Software and dotcom sectors faced significant losses, with major companies like TENCENT and MEITU experiencing declines of 3.96% and 11.4%, respectively.
Resource Stocks Rise: Gold and silver prices rebounded, with companies like CHINAGOLDINTL and ZHAOJIN MINING seeing gains, while coal stocks like YANKUANG ENERGY surged by over 10%.
Financial Sector Movements: HSBC and AIA saw slight increases, while HKEX experienced a minor decline; Chinese property developers generally performed well, with several stocks rising between 5% and 10%.
Morgan Stanley's Strategy Report: The report highlights a focus on Hong Kong and Chinese stocks, removing YANGTZE POWER and adding CHALCO to the list.
Stock Performance Insights: Notable potential upside percentages are reported for various stocks, including Alibaba (3.3%) and CATL (43.3%), while some stocks like ESPRESSIF show a decline (-2.498%).
Short Selling Trends: Significant short selling activity is noted across several stocks, with Tencent experiencing the highest short selling amount at $1.59 billion and a ratio of 9.036%.
Market Outlook: Daiwa anticipates a structural recovery in Chinese stocks by 2025, despite a majority of consumers expecting profit deterioration.

GON Technology Listing: GON Technology (02768.HK) was added to the target securities list for Southbound Trading of Stock Connects effective today, following its listing on HKEX (00388.HK).
Short Selling Details: The stock has experienced short selling amounting to $466.70 million, with a short selling ratio of 18.899%, and is not subject to the price stabilization mechanism due to its A-shares being listed for 10 trading days.

Market Overview: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSCEI fell by 19 points (0.2%) to 9,060, and the HSTECH dropped by 72 points (1.3%) to 5,453, with a total half-day turnover of $195.285 billion.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BIDU-SW saw significant declines of 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, with TENCENT's turnover nearing $26 billion, while other tech companies also experienced losses.
Banking Sector Gains: Banks such as HSBC and BOC HONG KONG reported gains of 2.3% and 2.5%, respectively, contributing to a positive trend in the banking sector, alongside notable increases in Chinese insurers.
Commodity and Real Estate Stocks: Commodity prices rose, with companies like ZIJIN GOLD INTL and CMOC increasing by over 4%, while Hong Kong homebuilders also saw gains, with HENDERSON LAND and SHK PPT rising by 2.1% and 1.7%.

Market Performance: The HSI rose by 54 points (0.2%) to 26,830, while the HSTI and HSCEI fell by 72 points (1.3%) and 19 points (0.2%) respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan experienced declines, with Tencent down 4.0% and Alibaba down 2.3%, while Ping An saw a slight increase of 0.9%.
Notable Movers: CSPC Pharma and CKH Holdings saw significant gains, up 3.5% and 3.4% respectively, while Kuaishou-W dropped 5.1%.
High Performers: Stocks like Fangzhou Jianke and CIMC achieved notable increases of 15.3% and 16.1%, reaching new highs in their respective performances.






