Citi Anticipates POP MART (09992.HK) to Achieve IP Diversification Breakthrough and Other Factors to Propel Growth as Leading Choice in China's Consumer Market
Citi Research's Outlook on POP MART: Citi Research predicts that POP MART's IP-centric diversification strategy will help mitigate cyclical risks and stimulate new demand, with a Buy rating and a target price of $415 based on projected growth by 2026.
Recent Performance Indicators: The broker noted an increase in app downloads in China and the US, attributed to the new Skullpanda x My Little Pony series, alongside strong consumer interest on social media platforms like Instagram.
Future Growth Projections: Looking ahead to 2026, Citi Research anticipates that advancements in IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization will drive POP MART's growth, bolstered by the launch of new blockbuster IPs and popularity in overseas markets.
Market Positioning: POP MART is considered a top buy in the China consumer sector, trading at a premium compared to global toy and IP peers due to its rapid growth and leading market position, despite recent short selling activity.
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Southbound Trading Inflows and Outflows: CSOP HS TECH saw significant net inflows of HKD1.6 billion, while POP MART experienced net outflows of HKD205.4 million in Southbound Trading.
Short Selling Activity: TENCENT had the highest short selling at $2.19 billion with a ratio of 11.649%, while CSOP HS TECH led with a short selling ratio of 46.044%.
Most Active Stocks: In Southbound Trading, TENCENT was the most active stock with a net inflow of HKD393.1 million, while SMIC had the highest net outflow of HKD121.2 million.
Market Overview: Overall, Southbound Trading net outflow totaled HKD0, accounting for 43.21% of the total transaction amount of HKD108.44 billion.

CNY Holiday Spending: Preliminary data indicates positive overall spending in China during the Chinese New Year holiday, with strong tourism and travel activity reported by CLSA.
Hainan Duty-Free Resilience: Hainan's duty-free spending showed resilience due to effective promotions and policy-driven demand, although this was largely anticipated in the market.
Stock Recommendations: CLSA highlighted top stock picks benefiting from robust travel and high-end spending, including SAMSONITE and ANTA SPORTS, with respective target prices set.
Market Performance: The report also noted significant short selling activity in various stocks, indicating market volatility and investor caution.

JPMorgan's Upgrade on Chinese Stocks: JPMorgan upgraded its rating of Chinese stocks to Overweight, citing the end of a four-year downward cycle and a favorable entry point for investors, with year-end targets for the MSCI China Index and CSI 300 Index set at 100 and 5,200, respectively.
Shift in Investment Strategy: The firm anticipates a shift in investor focus from short-term trading to long-term appreciation in Chinese stocks, particularly in sectors benefiting from AI, commodities, and consumer staples.
Highlighted Stocks: JPMorgan's investment strategy includes several Chinese stocks rated as Overweight, such as Tencent, Alibaba, and Moutai, with varying short-selling ratios indicating market sentiment.
Market Outlook: The report reflects a more optimistic outlook for leading internet platforms and sectors like robotics and biotechnology, suggesting potential for outperformance in the Chinese market.

Stock Performance: POP MART (09992.HK) has seen a price increase of 2.455%, rising by 6.000 to its current value.
Short Selling Data: The company has a significant short selling amount of $597.26M, with a short selling ratio of 37.552%.
New Product Launch: POP MART has introduced a new IP series titled "Merodi After School," which focuses on themes of school and youth.
Product Details: The series includes 12 regular figures and one secret edition, with each blind box priced at RMB69.
Southbound Trading Inflows: TENCENT (00700.HK) saw a significant net inflow of HKD1.4 billion, while MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) also had a notable inflow of HKD314.6 million in Southbound Trading.
Southbound Trading Outflows: POP MART (09992.HK) experienced a net outflow of HKD301.1 million, with ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK) and WUXI BIO (02269.HK) also recording substantial outflows.
Short Selling Activity: TENCENT had short selling of $1.61 billion with a ratio of 7.556%, while MEITUAN-W faced $1.88 billion in short selling at a ratio of 24.332%.
Market Overview: Overall, Southbound Trading net outflow totaled HKD0, accounting for 39.70% of the total transaction amount of HKD94.78 billion.
Southbound Trading Inflows: TENCENT, MEITUAN-W, and POP MART saw significant Southbound Trading net inflows, with TENCENT leading at HKD735.7 million, while BABA-W, SMIC, and YOFC experienced net outflows totaling HKD521 million.
Short Selling Activity: TENCENT had a short selling amount of $1.40 billion with a ratio of 10.807%, while MEITUAN-W and POP MART also had notable short selling figures, indicating active trading conditions.
Most Active Stocks: In the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, SMIC was the most active stock with a net inflow of HKD445.3 million, while XIAOMI-W had the highest net outflow of HKD274.2 million.
Overall Trading Summary: The total Southbound Trading net outflow was HKD0, accounting for 41.79% of the total transaction amount of HKD90.78 billion, reflecting a balanced trading environment.








