Chip Stocks Slide Amid Economic Data Releases
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Economic Data Releases: Initial jobless claims are expected at 223,000, durable goods orders are projected to drop by 4%, and the third reading of GDP is anticipated at 1.7%, which could significantly impact market sentiment and lead to stock volatility.
- Restaurant Sector Performance: Darden Restaurants has risen over 6% in the past three months, indicating a recovery in the dining industry, while McCormick's stock has fallen more than 8%, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Tech Stock Dynamics: Micron Technology's stock rose 16% in after-hours trading after beating Wall Street estimates, highlighting the ongoing impact of memory and storage supply shortages, with industry supply expected to gradually improve by 2028.
- Bank Dividend Increases: Major banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan are raising dividends, indicating strong financial health; despite recent stock price declines, the overall upward trend remains evident.
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Analyst Views on FDXF
Wall Street analysts forecast FDXF stock price to rise
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Current: 166.470
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Current: 166.470
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About FDXF
FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. comprises a less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation services business, including FedEx Custom Critical, LTL Select, and other businesses. The Company's service offerings include Priority, Economy and Direct. Through its subsidiary FedEx Custom Critical, Inc., it provides expedited, time and temperature specific freight solutions, including Surface Expedite and White Glove Services. The Company operates in all states across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Leadership: FedEx Freight (FDXF) emerges as the largest LTL company in the U.S. with a 17% market share and nearly $9 billion in revenue, supported by 355 service centers and approximately 30,000 vehicles, highlighting its strong competitive position in the industry.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: Analyst Stephanie Moore projects that FDXF will achieve an adjusted operating ratio of about 88.5% by 2029, indicating significant potential for operational improvements despite a gap of over 1,000 basis points compared to the best-in-class Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL).
- Sales Team Expansion: The newly established 500-person dedicated salesforce will target a $9 billion premium vertical market, leveraging 30% spare capacity and technology investments, which are expected to drive a 350 basis point improvement in operating ratio over the coming years, enhancing competitive strength.
- Optimistic Price Target: Jefferies sets a $200 price target for FDXF, representing a 24% upside from Monday's closing price, based on a projected EPS of $5.93 for 2028, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth prospects.
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- Economic Data Releases: Initial jobless claims are expected at 223,000, durable goods orders are projected to drop by 4%, and the third reading of GDP is anticipated at 1.7%, which could significantly impact market sentiment and lead to stock volatility.
- Restaurant Sector Performance: Darden Restaurants has risen over 6% in the past three months, indicating a recovery in the dining industry, while McCormick's stock has fallen more than 8%, reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- Tech Stock Dynamics: Micron Technology's stock rose 16% in after-hours trading after beating Wall Street estimates, highlighting the ongoing impact of memory and storage supply shortages, with industry supply expected to gradually improve by 2028.
- Bank Dividend Increases: Major banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan are raising dividends, indicating strong financial health; despite recent stock price declines, the overall upward trend remains evident.
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- Increased Holdings: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust purchased 130 shares of FedEx shortly after the market opened, raising its total holdings to 230 shares and increasing its portfolio weight from 0.75% to 1.75%, reflecting confidence in FedEx's future performance.
- Earnings Beat: FedEx's latest earnings report exceeded analyst expectations, with both revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) performing well, although management's guidance was complicated by the company's restructuring, impacting investor assessments.
- Future Outlook: FedEx guided for adjusted EPS in the range of $16.90 to $18.10 for calendar year 2026, slightly below some analysts' expectations, yet management anticipates a 20% year-over-year growth during the transition period, showcasing strong business momentum.
- Margin Impact: CEO Raj Subramaniam noted that excluding fuel surcharges would have led to year-over-year margin increases, despite the surcharges negatively affecting profits and making reported results appear softer than their true nature.
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- Profit Pressure Emerges: FedEx's operating margin in its core delivery segment fell to 7.7% from 8.4% a year earlier, primarily due to rising employee salaries, benefits, and outsourced transportation and fuel costs, intensifying investor concerns about the company's profitability.
- Impact of Business Restructuring: The recent spinoff of its highly profitable trucking unit, FedEx Freight, aims to refocus on delivery operations, yet this transition has raised market scrutiny regarding its future profitability, particularly in the current economic climate.
- Market Environment Challenges: FedEx and U.S. logistics firms like UPS are grappling with declining volumes due to changing U.S. trade policies and rising fuel prices from the Iran conflict, compounded by the loss of duty-free treatment for low-value e-commerce shipments linked to Chinese sellers, further impacting volumes.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: FedEx forecasts annual earnings between $16.90 and $18.10 per share, but analysts have yet to develop models for comparison with the new forecast, making it difficult to assess performance over the next few quarters, especially as the company shifts to align its fiscal year with the calendar year.
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- Strong Earnings Report: FedEx's Q4 revenue rose 12.6% year-on-year to $25 billion, with earnings of $6.31 per share; however, the operating margin declined from 8.1% to 6.2%, leading to investor disappointment regarding future outlook.
- Transformation Strategy Success: CEO Rajesh Subramaniam highlighted that the company's expansion into higher-value segments and improved network efficiency allowed it to exceed its $1 billion cost-saving target, despite facing challenges like global trade policy changes and grounding of the MD-11 aircraft.
- Weak 2026 Guidance: FedEx forecasts about 11% revenue growth for 2026 from ongoing business, with adjusted earnings expected between $16.90 and $18.10 per share, falling short of analysts' consensus estimate of $19.86, raising concerns about future profitability.
- Retail Trader Sentiment Optimistic: Despite a premarket drop of over 6%, retail investor sentiment on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish', with message volume surging 1,146% in 24 hours, indicating market expectations for a rebound.
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- Strong Earnings: FedEx reported adjusted earnings per share of $6.31 for the fourth fiscal quarter, exceeding the expected $5.96, with revenue of $25.01 billion also surpassing the $24.04 billion forecast, indicating robust performance in high-value markets.
- Spin-Off Impact: This earnings report marks the first quarter post the spin-off of FedEx Freight, with the company receiving approximately $4.1 billion in cash dividends, highlighting its strategic shift towards optimizing its network and reducing service costs.
- Growth Outlook: FedEx anticipates an 11% year-over-year revenue growth for the upcoming year, with adjusted diluted earnings per share projected between $16.90 and $18.10, reflecting strong confidence in future growth and market demand.
- Cost Challenges: Despite revenue growth, FedEx's fuel costs surged from $864 million last year to $1.43 billion this year, a 66% increase, alongside a 10% rise in U.S. pricing, which may pressure the company's profit margins.
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