Chevron Takes Action as Venezuela Faces Tightening Feedstock Supplies
Chevron's Role in Venezuela: Chevron has stepped in to provide essential feedstock supplies to Venezuela amidst disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, ensuring compliance with U.S. laws while maintaining operational continuity.
Impact of Recent Incidents: A U.S. destroyer's encounter with a Russian vessel has complicated Venezuela's crude-loading activities, highlighting the challenges Chevron faces in navigating regional maritime logistics.
Chevron's Operations and Compliance: Despite pressures, Chevron continues to operate responsibly in Venezuela, having expanded its activities under a limited U.S. license that allows for increased output without transferring revenue to the Venezuelan government.
Investment Opportunities in Energy Sector: Investors may consider top-ranked energy stocks like Drilling Tools International, Par Pacific Holdings, and USA Compression Partners, which are currently rated as strong buys, indicating potential growth in the sector.
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Chevron's Q4 Earnings Preview Highlights Venezuela Opportunity
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Analysts forecast Chevron's Q4 revenue at $48.57 billion, down from $52.23 billion last year, indicating challenges amid market volatility that could affect investor confidence.
- Earnings Per Share Forecast: Expected EPS is $1.45, lower than last year's $2.06, and while the company has beaten estimates in five of the last ten quarters, this decline may raise market concerns.
- Divergent Analyst Ratings: Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating but lowers the price target to $174, while Jefferies keeps a Buy rating and raises the target to $189, reflecting mixed market sentiment on Chevron's future performance.
- Venezuela Opportunity: Chevron could be one of the biggest beneficiaries of U.S. military actions in Venezuela, with investors keenly watching how the company assesses this market opportunity and its implications for short- and long-term financials.

Chevron Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations Despite Year-over-Year Decline
- Earnings Performance: Chevron's Q4 net profit fell to $2.77 billion, or $1.39 per share, down from $3.24 billion, or $1.84 per share a year ago, yet the adjusted profit of $3 billion exceeded Wall Street expectations, demonstrating resilience in a low oil price environment.
- Revenue Decline: Q4 revenues decreased by 10% year-over-year to $46.79 billion, primarily due to lower crude oil prices and severance costs related to the Hess acquisition, reflecting the challenges in the market environment.
- Production Growth: Total production rose over 20% year-over-year to 4.05 million boe/day, with the Hess acquisition contributing 261,000 boe/day, indicating the success of the acquisition strategy and robust growth in the Permian Basin.
- Future Outlook: Chevron expects production to grow by 7%-10% by 2026, excluding asset sales, boosted in part by projects in Guyana and the U.S. Gulf, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth.






