CF Industries Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy CF?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Performance: CF Industries reported approximately $2.9 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, reflecting outstanding operational performance and favorable industry dynamics, indicating sustained market competitiveness into 2026.
- Shareholder Returns: The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025, including the repurchase of 16.6 million shares, approximately 10% of the outstanding shares at the beginning of the year, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
- Production Outlook Downgrade: Due to the Yazoo City incident, total ammonia production is expected to drop to approximately 9.5 million tons in 2026, down from previous expectations of 10 million tons, which could impact future revenue growth.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $1.3 billion, with CF Industries' share around $950 million, covering sustaining CapEx for existing networks and the Blue Point joint venture, indicating ongoing investment in expanding and maintaining production capacity.
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Analyst Views on CF
Wall Street analysts forecast CF stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 95.820
Low
72.00
Averages
87.55
High
100.00
Current: 95.820
Low
72.00
Averages
87.55
High
100.00
About CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. The Company is focused on decarbonizing its ammonia production network to enable low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. The Company's segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures (containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen). Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). Other segment primarily includes products, such as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor and nitric acid. Its manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, a storage, transportation and distribution network in North America, and logistics capabilities enable a global reach.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
CF Industries Reports Q4 Earnings Per Share of USD 2.59
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Financial Performance: In Q4, FINDUS reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.59, indicating a strong financial performance during this period.
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CF Industries Reports Q4 Sales of $1.872 Billion, Exceeding IBES Estimate of $1.781 Billion
- Q4 Sales Performance: Findus reported Q4 sales of USD 1,872 million.
- Comparison with Estimates: This figure exceeds Ibes' estimate of USD 1,781 million.
See More
CF Industries Reports Q4 Net Income of $404 Million
- Q4 Net Income: Findus Industries reported a net income of USD 404 million for the fourth quarter.
- Financial Performance: The financial results indicate a strong performance for the company in the last quarter of the fiscal year.
See More
CF Industries to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 18th
- Earnings Announcement: CF Industries is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 18th after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $2.47 and revenue expected to reach $1.78 billion, reflecting a 17.1% year-over-year growth, which will provide crucial insights into the company's financial health.
- Earnings Estimate Fluctuations: Over the past three months, EPS estimates for CF Industries have seen four upward revisions and four downward adjustments, indicating a divergence in analysts' views on the company's profitability, which could impact investor confidence and stock price volatility.
- Revenue Estimate Adjustments: Similarly, revenue estimates have experienced three upward and three downward revisions, reflecting varying market perceptions of the company's sales capabilities in the current economic climate, which may directly affect its market performance.
- Industry Dynamics: CF Industries will also present at the Goldman Sachs Industrials and Materials Conference in 2025, enhancing its visibility in the industry while monitoring Mosaic's upgrade in the fertilizer market, which could influence CF's market strategy.
See More
US Stocks Close Lower Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.54%, and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 0.41%, indicating market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly affecting chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell to 206,000, a 5-week low, indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations, reflecting uncertainties in economic recovery.
- Shifts in Fed Policy Expectations: Hawkish comments from Fed officials suggest a potential need for interest rate hikes to combat persistent inflation, leading to a more hawkish outlook for future rate paths, which further dampens market sentiment.
- Earnings Season Nearing Conclusion: With over three-quarters of S&P 500 companies reporting, 74% exceeded expectations, and Q4 earnings are projected to grow by 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience, yet the market remains cautious about future growth prospects.
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CF Industries Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Strong Performance: CF Industries reported approximately $2.9 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, reflecting outstanding operational performance and favorable industry dynamics, indicating sustained market competitiveness into 2026.
- Shareholder Returns: The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025, including the repurchase of 16.6 million shares, approximately 10% of the outstanding shares at the beginning of the year, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
- Production Outlook Downgrade: Due to the Yazoo City incident, total ammonia production is expected to drop to approximately 9.5 million tons in 2026, down from previous expectations of 10 million tons, which could impact future revenue growth.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $1.3 billion, with CF Industries' share around $950 million, covering sustaining CapEx for existing networks and the Blue Point joint venture, indicating ongoing investment in expanding and maintaining production capacity.
See More
CF Industries Reports Q4 Earnings Per Share of USD 2.59
Company Overview: FINDUS is a company that operates in the food industry, focusing on frozen food products.
Financial Performance: In Q4, FINDUS reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.59, indicating a strong financial performance during this period.
See More
CF Industries Reports Q4 Sales of $1.872 Billion, Exceeding IBES Estimate of $1.781 Billion
- Q4 Sales Performance: Findus reported Q4 sales of USD 1,872 million.
- Comparison with Estimates: This figure exceeds Ibes' estimate of USD 1,781 million.
See More
CF Industries Reports Q4 Net Income of $404 Million
- Q4 Net Income: Findus Industries reported a net income of USD 404 million for the fourth quarter.
- Financial Performance: The financial results indicate a strong performance for the company in the last quarter of the fiscal year.
See More
CF Industries to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 18th
- Earnings Announcement: CF Industries is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 18th after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $2.47 and revenue expected to reach $1.78 billion, reflecting a 17.1% year-over-year growth, which will provide crucial insights into the company's financial health.
- Earnings Estimate Fluctuations: Over the past three months, EPS estimates for CF Industries have seen four upward revisions and four downward adjustments, indicating a divergence in analysts' views on the company's profitability, which could impact investor confidence and stock price volatility.
- Revenue Estimate Adjustments: Similarly, revenue estimates have experienced three upward and three downward revisions, reflecting varying market perceptions of the company's sales capabilities in the current economic climate, which may directly affect its market performance.
- Industry Dynamics: CF Industries will also present at the Goldman Sachs Industrials and Materials Conference in 2025, enhancing its visibility in the industry while monitoring Mosaic's upgrade in the fertilizer market, which could influence CF's market strategy.
See More
US Stocks Close Lower Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.54%, and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 0.41%, indicating market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly affecting chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell to 206,000, a 5-week low, indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations, reflecting uncertainties in economic recovery.
- Shifts in Fed Policy Expectations: Hawkish comments from Fed officials suggest a potential need for interest rate hikes to combat persistent inflation, leading to a more hawkish outlook for future rate paths, which further dampens market sentiment.
- Earnings Season Nearing Conclusion: With over three-quarters of S&P 500 companies reporting, 74% exceeded expectations, and Q4 earnings are projected to grow by 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience, yet the market remains cautious about future growth prospects.
See More
CF Industries Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Strong Performance: CF Industries reported approximately $2.9 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, reflecting outstanding operational performance and favorable industry dynamics, indicating sustained market competitiveness into 2026.
- Shareholder Returns: The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in 2025, including the repurchase of 16.6 million shares, approximately 10% of the outstanding shares at the beginning of the year, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
- Production Outlook Downgrade: Due to the Yazoo City incident, total ammonia production is expected to drop to approximately 9.5 million tons in 2026, down from previous expectations of 10 million tons, which could impact future revenue growth.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $1.3 billion, with CF Industries' share around $950 million, covering sustaining CapEx for existing networks and the Blue Point joint venture, indicating ongoing investment in expanding and maintaining production capacity.
See More
