CBRE Group Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Double-Digit Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy CBRE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Revenue and Core EPS Growth: CBRE reported a 12% increase in revenue and an 18% rise in core EPS for Q4 2025, achieving record levels that reflect strong performance in both U.S. and global markets, indicating robust demand and operational efficiency.
- Data Center Solutions Outlook: The company projects its data center solutions business to grow at 20% annually, targeting $2 billion in revenue by 2026, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding capabilities in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: In 2025, CBRE generated nearly $1.7 billion in free cash flow, achieving an 86% conversion rate on core net income, which provides substantial financial support for future investments and acquisitions.
- AI Technology Utilization: CBRE is leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and product differentiation, with management expressing optimism about the long-term impact of AI, believing it will strengthen competitive advantages and drive future growth.
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Analyst Views on CBRE
Wall Street analysts forecast CBRE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CBRE is 186.00 USD with a low forecast of 175.00 USD and a high forecast of 192.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 149.490
Low
175.00
Averages
186.00
High
192.00
Current: 149.490
Low
175.00
Averages
186.00
High
192.00
About CBRE
CBRE Group, Inc. is a commercial real estate services and investments firm. The Company’s segments include Advisory Services, Building Operations & Experience, Project Management, and Real Estate Investments. The Advisory Services segment provides a comprehensive range of services globally, including property leasing, capital markets (property sales and loan origination), loan servicing, property management, and valuation. The Building Operations & Experience segment provides a suite of integrated, contractually based outsourcing services to occupiers and owners of real estate, including facilities management and property management. The Project Management segment delivers program management, project management and cost consultancy services across the commercial real estate, infrastructure and natural resources sectors. The Real Estate Investments segment is a real asset developer, investor and operator. It provides advanced technical services for digital and power infrastructure.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue and Core EPS Growth: CBRE reported a 12% increase in revenue and an 18% rise in core EPS for Q4 2025, achieving record levels that reflect strong performance in both U.S. and global markets, indicating robust demand and operational efficiency.
- Data Center Solutions Outlook: The company projects its data center solutions business to grow at 20% annually, targeting $2 billion in revenue by 2026, highlighting its strategic focus on expanding capabilities in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: In 2025, CBRE generated nearly $1.7 billion in free cash flow, achieving an 86% conversion rate on core net income, which provides substantial financial support for future investments and acquisitions.
- AI Technology Utilization: CBRE is leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and product differentiation, with management expressing optimism about the long-term impact of AI, believing it will strengthen competitive advantages and drive future growth.
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- Earnings Highlights: CBRE's Q4 core EPS reached $2.73, up 17.7% year-over-year, while total revenue of $11.6 billion increased by 11.8% compared to the previous year, indicating significant growth in sales and leasing across global markets.
- Net Income Decline: Despite strong core performance, CBRE's GAAP net income fell 14.6% to $416 million year-over-year, primarily due to a noncash impact from the U.K. pension plan buyout and increased reserves for fire safety remediation in the U.K. development sector.
- Future Outlook: CBRE anticipates core EPS to range between $7.30 and $7.60 for 2026, suggesting approximately 17% growth at the midpoint, reflecting the company's confidence in future performance, although market expectations for revenue appear slightly conservative.
- Market Reaction: Despite reporting strong earnings growth, CBRE's stock declined by about 13% during Thursday trading, reflecting investor concerns over the drop in GAAP net income, which may impact the company's short-term market performance.
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- Cisco's Revenue Decline: Cisco (CSCO) fell over 8% in pre-market trading due to a 4% drop in security segment revenue and tightening operating cash flow, although the CFO indicated plans to enhance profitability through financial discipline, highlighting the challenges and strategic responses the company faces.
- Paycom's Slower Growth: Paycom (PAYC) saw its stock drop more than 9% in pre-market trading after reporting a 10.2% year-over-year revenue gain but providing a slower growth outlook, which may dampen investor confidence and affect market performance.
- Cognex's Strong Surge: Cognex (CGNX) surged nearly 25% in pre-market trading, with the CEO attributing the impressive financial results to advancements in AI-enabled industrial machine vision, reflecting strong market demand and recognition for AI technologies.
- Real Estate Stocks Hit by AI Concerns: Real estate service stocks CBRE and JLL closed 12% lower yesterday amid growing concerns about AI's disruptive potential in the sector, indicating that their high-fee, labor-intensive operating models may face profitability pressures.
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- Earnings Performance: CBRE reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.73, beating expectations by $0.05, indicating the company's resilience and profitability in a competitive market.
- Revenue Growth: The Q4 revenue reached $11.6 billion, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year increase, although it missed expectations by $20 million, highlighting the pressures from intensified market competition.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company expects its 2026 core EPS to range between $7.30 and $7.60, representing a midpoint growth of 17%, which demonstrates confidence in future performance.
- Strong Cash Flow: For 2025, CBRE reported approximately $1.6 billion in cash flow from operations and about $1.7 billion in free cash flow, showcasing robust financial management and operational efficiency.
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- Stock Price Plunge: Shares of real estate services firms CBRE, JLL, and CWK dropped over 12% on Wednesday, marking their largest single-day decline since the COVID pandemic, indicating market concerns about the SaaS sector's outlook.
- AI Tool Impact: The release of Anthropic's workflow automation tool, Claude Cowork, led to significant declines in stocks like LegalZoom and Intuit, highlighting the vulnerability of high-fee industries to new AI tools, which could compress profits and lead to job losses.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: While AI-related companies are performing well, traditional software models face substantial challenges, prompting investors to focus on companies capable of adapting to changes to avoid losses during structural shifts.
- Investment Strategy Adjustment: Neuberger Berman notes that AI is widening the gap between winners and losers, advising investors to prioritize resilient and flexible business models to navigate future uncertainties.
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- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 130,000, surpassing expectations of 65,000, indicating labor market stability, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, which is likely to have a positive impact on economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the robust employment report, the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut next month dropped from 23% to 6%, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 3 basis points to 4.17%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future monetary policy.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed unchanged, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.13%, highlighting a contrast between strong tech stock performance and weakness in software stocks.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Over 78% of the 335 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, indicating that sustained corporate profitability will support long-term stock market gains.
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