Commvault's Q3 Earnings Report Triggers Investigation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy CVLT?
Source: PRnewswire
- Growth Deceleration: Commvault reported a 40% growth in SaaS ARR to $364 million for Q3 FY2026, a significant slowdown from the 56% growth in Q2, which may undermine investor confidence and future projections.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Commvault's stock plummeted by $40.23, or approximately 31.1%, from $129.36 on January 26, 2026, to $89.13 on January 27, indicating a strong market response to the deceleration in growth.
- Legal Investigation Initiated: Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws by Commvault, aiming to protect investor interests and assess possible legal liabilities stemming from the earnings report.
- Increased Investor Scrutiny: As the investigation unfolds, Commvault's investors may face heightened uncertainty regarding the company's future financial performance and market confidence, potentially impacting its long-term stock price trajectory.
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Analyst Views on CVLT
Wall Street analysts forecast CVLT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVLT is 182.27 USD with a low forecast of 144.00 USD and a high forecast of 220.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 87.810
Low
144.00
Averages
182.27
High
220.00
Current: 87.810
Low
144.00
Averages
182.27
High
220.00
About CVLT
Commvault Systems, Inc. is a provider of cyber resilience and data protection solutions. The Company’s cyber resilience platform combines data security and rapid recovery at enterprise scale across any workload. The Company provides these products and services for their data across many types of environments, including on-premises, hybrid and multi-cloud. Its offerings are delivered via self-managed software, software-as-a-service (SaaS), integrated appliances, or managed by partners. Its Commvault Cloud offerings are organized into three packages, such as Operational Recovery, Autonomous Recovery and Cyber Recovery. Its Operational Recovery provides backup, verifiable recovery, and cost-optimized cloud workload mobility, helping to ensure data availability and granular recovery, even across multiple clouds. In addition, it also provides customers with a range of offerings, including Cleanroom Recovery, HyperScale X, Air Gap Protect, Cloud Rewind, Clumio Backtrack and Compliance.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Growth Deceleration: Commvault reported a 40% growth in SaaS ARR to $364 million for Q3 FY2026, a significant slowdown from the 56% growth in Q2, which may undermine investor confidence and future projections.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Commvault's stock plummeted by $40.23, or approximately 31.1%, from $129.36 on January 26, 2026, to $89.13 on January 27, indicating a strong market response to the deceleration in growth.
- Legal Investigation Initiated: Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws by Commvault, aiming to protect investor interests and assess possible legal liabilities stemming from the earnings report.
- Increased Investor Scrutiny: As the investigation unfolds, Commvault's investors may face heightened uncertainty regarding the company's future financial performance and market confidence, potentially impacting its long-term stock price trajectory.
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- Financial Performance Decline: Commvault reported a 40% growth in SaaS ARR to $364 million for Q3 FY2026, indicating a significant slowdown from the 56% growth in Q2, which may undermine investor confidence.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, Commvault's stock plummeted by $40.23, a decline of approximately 31.1%, dropping from a closing price of $129.36 on January 26, 2026, to $89.13 on January 27, reflecting strong market disapproval of the slowed growth.
- Investigation Background: Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws by Commvault, aiming to protect investor rights and seek possible legal remedies.
- Investor Concerns: The investigation has garnered significant attention from Commvault investors, particularly as the company’s performance falls short of expectations, potentially exposing investors to risk of losses.
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- Severe Market Drawdown: The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (NYSE:IGV) has fallen for seven consecutive sessions, resulting in a 16% drop, marking the worst performance since the COVID panic in 2020, indicating immense pressure on the software sector.
- Widespread Negative Returns: Year to date, 100 out of 110 constituents in the software sector have posted negative returns, with over 20 stocks down more than 30%, reflecting growing concerns about the sustainability of software business models.
- Deteriorating Technical Indicators: A striking 97 of the IGV ETF's constituents are trading below their 200-day moving average, highlighting a broad breakdown in technical momentum, while the 14-day RSI has plummeted to 16, the lowest since September 2001, indicating extreme market pessimism.
- Pressure from Business Model Shifts: Macro strategists have noted that the rise of AI tools is replacing expensive SaaS platforms, leading to pricing pressures, slower renewals, and declining customer retention, prompting investors to rethink growth and value in the AI era.
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- Executive Recognition: Commvault's Michelle Graff and Chad Blackwell have been named to the 2026 CRN Channel Chiefs list, highlighting their exceptional contributions to channel strategy and innovation, thereby enhancing Commvault's reputation in the industry.
- Partner Strategy Advancement: Graff's
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- Executive Recognition: Commvault's Michelle Graff and Chad Blackwell have been named to the 2026 CRN Channel Chiefs list, highlighting their exceptional contributions to channel strategy and innovation, which further enhances Commvault's reputation in the industry.
- Partner Strategy: Graff's advancement of the 'Connected Partner Strategy' unifies diverse market routes, focusing on accelerating customer success and adoption, demonstrating Commvault's commitment to delivering industry-leading cyber resilience alongside partners.
- New Framework Implementation: Blackwell's launch of a new partner engagement framework, featuring quarterly partner insights dashboards and revamped channel communications, significantly improved partner alignment and satisfaction, driving deal velocity and pipeline growth.
- Shared Success Philosophy: Commvault executives emphasize close collaboration with partners to achieve mutual customer data protection and resilience, showcasing the company's capability to navigate challenges in a complex environment and solidifying its market leadership.
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- Data Sovereignty Assurance: Commvault Geo Shield is designed to help organizations protect and recover critical data without sacrificing security or recoverability, while ensuring customer control over data location and encryption keys to meet evolving sovereign needs.
- Compliance Support: The solution supports a wide range of federal and industry regulatory requirements, including FedRAMP High and HIPAA, ensuring that customers can effectively manage data in compliance-driven environments, thereby enhancing corporate compliance capabilities and market competitiveness.
- Unified Platform Advantage: Commvault's adaptive architecture separates control and data planes, allowing customers to flexibly choose how data is stored and protected, thus achieving data sovereignty in customer or partner-operated environments and enhancing business resilience.
- Future Deployment Plans: Commvault will announce additional specific deployment models for Geo Shield based on implementation timelines with partners in relevant regions, further expanding its influence and service capabilities in the global market.
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