Cisco: Safe, Strong Dividend Growth And A High Yield
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 07 2016
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Source: SeekingAlpha
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Analyst Views on CSCO
Wall Street analysts forecast CSCO stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 117.010
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
Current: 117.010
Low
76.00
Averages
91.30
High
100.00
About CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs and sells a range of technologies that power the Internet. The Company is integrating its product portfolios across networking, security, collaboration, applications and cloud. The Company's segments include the Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China (APJC). Its Networking product category represents its core networking technologies of switching, routing, wireless, fifth generation (5G), silicon, optics solutions and compute products. Its Security product category consists of its cloud and application security, industrial security, network security, and user and device security offerings. Its Collaboration product category consists of its meetings, collaboration devices, calling, contact center and platform as a service (CPaaS) offering. Its Observability product category consists of its full stack observability offerings.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Cisco Systems is down 1.8% today, making it the worst-performing component of the Dow, reflecting market concerns about its short-term outlook, which could impact investor confidence.
- Year-to-Date Gains: Despite today's decline, Cisco has gained 49.2% year-to-date, indicating strong performance over the past year and suggesting potential for long-term growth in the company.
- Market Dynamics: Other Dow components are also moving, with Caterpillar down 1.5% and Nike up 3.2%, indicating varied market reactions to different companies, which may influence portfolio allocation strategies.
- Investor Sentiment: The decline in Cisco's stock may prompt investors to reassess its future performance, especially amid overall market volatility, potentially leading to capital outflows.
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- Korean Market Plunge: On Thursday, South Korea's Kospi Index fell approximately 7.89%, with SK Hynix's stock plummeting nearly 15% and Samsung Electronics dropping around 9%, indicating increasing market concerns over memory and AI-related stocks.
- Massive Investment Plans: SK Hynix announced a 100 trillion won (approximately $64.38 billion) investment to build memory chip and packaging plants, while Samsung plans to invest 140 trillion won ($90 billion) in the central Chungcheong region to expand production capabilities in display panels and semiconductors, aiming to boost South Korea's semiconductor and AI sectors.
- Increased Market Influence: SK Hynix and Samsung now account for about half of the total market capitalization of the Kospi, up from around a quarter at the end of last year, highlighting their significant influence on the country's benchmark index.
- Global Tech Stocks Decline: American memory giant Micron Technology saw a nearly 3% drop, while other AI-related stocks like Nvidia and AMD fell approximately 1% and 2%, respectively, reflecting a broader pessimistic sentiment towards tech stocks in the market.
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- AMD Strong Performance: AMD's stock has surged 319.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Computer - Integrated Systems industry at 262.9%, driven by rising demand for AI infrastructure, with management targeting annual data center AI revenue in the tens of billions by 2027.
- LRCX Sustained Growth: Lam Research's stock has increased by 340.9% in the past year, primarily benefiting from AI-driven demand for deposition and etch tools, with management raising its 2026 equipment spending outlook, expecting growth to continue into 2027.
- CSCO Revenue Growth: Cisco's stock has risen 75.2% over the past year, with third-quarter revenue reaching $15.8 billion, up 12% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, leading to a 35% increase in product orders and an expected $9 billion in AI orders for 2026.
- Microcap Performance: Perma-Pipe International's stock has gained 13.2% over the past year, despite profitability pressures, as new manufacturing facilities and AI project wins enhance revenue visibility, indicating potential from rising infrastructure spending.
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- Market Recovery: Following last week's sell-off, the Nasdaq Composite rose approximately 0.92%, the S&P 500 climbed about 0.32%, and the Dow Jones increased around 0.15%, indicating a resurgence of confidence in tech stocks.
- Nvidia's Strong Performance: Nvidia's shares rose about 2%, while its supplier SK Hynix filed an F-1 registration statement with the SEC to list on Nasdaq, further heightening market interest in AI chips.
- AMD and Broadcom Surge: AMD's stock jumped around 4%, and Broadcom's shares increased about 2%, despite a report indicating Google chose MediaTek for its TPUv9, reflecting ongoing optimism in the semiconductor sector.
- Focus on Semiconductor Equipment Makers: KLA's shares surged about 7%, and ASML rose around 6%, as Susquehanna raised its forecast for wafer fab equipment spending again, highlighting a robust recovery in industry demand.
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- Market Performance Review: As of 2026, the S&P 500 has risen by 8.7%, translating to an annualized total return nearing 20%, indicating that the market remains robust despite recent volatility, reflecting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Internal Structural Anomalies: Despite the overall positive market performance, the S&P 500 experienced five consecutive days of decline last week, while more components were up than down, a phenomenon not seen since 2000, suggesting potential underlying risks in the market.
- AI Theme Dependency: The market's increasing reliance on AI capital expenditures has led to many investment factors, such as volatility and asset growth, being dominated by AI, indicating a sustained investor focus on AI-related stocks while raising concerns about market balance.
- Future Outlook and Risks: Although the market is making progress in identifying opportunities and risks, observers note that excessive optimism and high valuations in leveraged semiconductor stocks could lead to market corrections, especially against the backdrop of rising margin debt, necessitating cautious observation of future market trends.
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- Dow Jones Change: Alphabet joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average on June 29, replacing Verizon Communications, which enhances market focus on advertising, cloud computing, and AI, solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Strong Advertising Business: Alphabet's advertising revenue from Google Search, YouTube, and the Google Network, along with a 63% revenue growth in its cloud computing segment in Q1, demonstrates its competitiveness in a rapidly growing market.
- Insufficient Dividend Yield: Despite strong stock performance, Alphabet's dividend yield stands at only 0.3%, and due to substantial investments in AI infrastructure, it is unlikely to significantly increase payouts in the near term, potentially affecting its appeal to income investors.
- Competitor Performance: Companies like Cisco, Coca-Cola, and Amgen are performing well in the Dow, achieving revenue growth of 12%, 12%, and 6% respectively, and all offer higher dividend yields, attracting investors seeking stable returns.
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