Birkenstock Q1 Earnings Highlights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2h ago
0mins
Should l Buy BIRK?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Performance: Birkenstock reported Q1 GAAP EPS of €0.27 with revenue of €401.9 million, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year growth, indicating the company's stable growth potential in the market.
- Gross Margin Decline: The adjusted gross profit margin stood at 57.4%, down 290 basis points from 60.3% in the prior year, highlighting the impact of cost pressures on profitability, which may affect future pricing strategies.
- EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA reached €106 million, up 4% year-over-year, although the EBITDA margin decreased to 26.5%, down 170 basis points from 28.2% in the previous year, indicating challenges in cost control.
- Investor Outlook: At the Investor Day, Birkenstock tempered its growth outlook; however, analysts reiterated a “Buy” rating, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term potential.
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Analyst Views on BIRK
Wall Street analysts forecast BIRK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BIRK is 59.05 USD with a low forecast of 49.00 USD and a high forecast of 66.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 40.170
Low
49.00
Averages
59.05
High
66.00
Current: 40.170
Low
49.00
Averages
59.05
High
66.00
About BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc operates through Birkenstock Group B.V. & Co. KG and its subsidiaries. Birkenstock is a global brand, which has developed a unisex portfolio of footbed-based products that serve consumers of all geographies, genders, ages, and income levels. Its proprietary footbed, which reflects the anatomy of the human foot, represents the foundation of its brand and products. It operates a vertically integrated manufacturing base and produces all its footbeds in Germany. BIRKENSTOCK offers a wide range of products that go beyond footwear, including sleep systems and natural cosmetics, catering to both entry-level and luxury markets. The Company operates its channels, utilizing the business-to-business (B2B) channel to facilitate brand accessibility while fully engaging consumers in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel, which offers its complete product range and access to its silhouettes.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: Birkenstock Holding (BIRK) is set to release its Q1 earnings on February 12 before market open, with consensus EPS estimates at $0.31, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 72.2%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts forecast that Birkenstock's Q1 revenue will reach $478.24 million, representing a 32.1% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's ability to capitalize on strong market demand.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen seven upward revisions with no downward adjustments, indicating increased market confidence in Birkenstock's profitability; however, revenue estimates have experienced three upward and seven downward revisions, suggesting mixed views on revenue growth.
- Investor Patience: Despite Birkenstock tempering its growth outlook during the Investor Day presentation, analysts have reiterated a “Buy” rating, reflecting ongoing confidence in the company's long-term potential.
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- Earnings Performance: Birkenstock reported Q1 GAAP EPS of €0.27 with revenue of €401.9 million, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year growth, indicating the company's stable growth potential in the market.
- Gross Margin Decline: The adjusted gross profit margin stood at 57.4%, down 290 basis points from 60.3% in the prior year, highlighting the impact of cost pressures on profitability, which may affect future pricing strategies.
- EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA reached €106 million, up 4% year-over-year, although the EBITDA margin decreased to 26.5%, down 170 basis points from 28.2% in the previous year, indicating challenges in cost control.
- Investor Outlook: At the Investor Day, Birkenstock tempered its growth outlook; however, analysts reiterated a “Buy” rating, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term potential.
See More
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- Revenue Growth Revision: Birkenstock now anticipates revenue growth between 13% and 15% over the next two years, down from earlier mid-to-high teens forecasts, reflecting a shift towards B2B sales and production constraints that may weaken market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Gross Margin Downgrade: The company has lowered its gross margin forecast from over 60% to a range of 57% to 58%, indicating pressure on profitability amid rising production costs and increased market competition, which could affect investors' long-term valuation of the company.
- B2B vs. DTC Sales Disparity: Management highlighted that B2B sales require approximately 2.5 pairs sold to equal the revenue of one DTC sale, and while B2B orders are typically placed nine months in advance, their slower revenue growth compared to DTC impacts overall revenue performance.
- Stock Performance Weakness: Despite BTIG analysts maintaining a bullish outlook on Birkenstock, the stock has declined 39% from last year, reflecting market concerns over slower revenue growth and tighter margins, which may lead investors to remain cautious in the short term.
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