Barclays Begins Coverage of Impinj with Overweight Rating and Sets Price Target at $200
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 08 2025
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Should l Buy PI?
Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on PI
Wall Street analysts forecast PI stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 120.040
Low
200.00
Averages
240.50
High
273.00
Current: 120.040
Low
200.00
Averages
240.50
High
273.00
About PI
Impinj, Inc. (Impinj) is a RAIN radio frequency identification (RFID) and Internet of things provider. The Company helps businesses and people analyze, optimize, and innovate by wirelessly connecting billions of everyday things, such as apparel, automobile parts, luggage, and shipments to the Internet. The Impinj platform uses RAIN RFID to deliver timely data about these everyday things to business and consumer applications, enabling a boundless Internet of Things. It designs, sells or licenses, including silicon RAIN radios; manufacturing, test, encoding and reading systems, and software and cloud services that encapsulate its solutions know-how. The Company sells two types of silicon integrated circuit (IC), radios. The first are endpoint ICs that store a serialized number to wirelessly identify an item. The second are reader ICs that its partners use in finished readers to wirelessly discover, inventory and engage the endpoint ICs.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Optimistic Outlook: Impinj expects Q2 revenue between $103M and $106M, representing a 7% year-over-year increase from $97.9M in Q2 2025, indicating strong performance and growth potential in the market.
- Earnings Expectations Raised: The company anticipates non-GAAP EPS between $0.77 and $0.82, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.70, reflecting enhanced profitability and increased investor confidence.
- Solid Q1 Performance: For Q1 ended March 31, Impinj reported revenue of $74.3M, flat year-over-year but exceeding analyst expectations, demonstrating stability in a competitive market.
- Market Demand Recovery: With a rebound in endpoint IC demand, Impinj's management expresses optimism about future growth, emphasizing a proactive approach to capturing market share and achieving solution success despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
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- Strong Performance: Impinj reported Q1 revenue of $74.3 million, exceeding expectations, with adjusted EBITDA also surpassing the upper end of guidance, indicating robust demand in the supply chain and logistics sectors.
- Market Share Growth: The company's market share increased by 1,700 basis points compared to 2024, reflecting sustained product demand amid retailer rebuys and lengthening competitor lead times.
- Cautious Outlook: While the second quarter is projected to generate revenue between $103 million and $106 million, management remains cautious about the second half of 2026 due to potential macroeconomic uncertainties.
- Commitment to Buybacks: Impinj opportunistically repurchased $40.2 million of convertible notes in March, demonstrating the company's commitment to minimizing dilution, which is expected to reduce the share count by approximately 400,000 shares.
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- Earnings Release Date: Impinj is set to announce its Q1 earnings on April 28th after market close, with investors keenly awaiting insights into its performance amid current economic conditions.
- Declining EPS Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.14, reflecting a 33.3% year-over-year decline, indicating profitability pressures and intensified market competition challenges for the company.
- Revenue Forecast Drop: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $72.53 million, down 2.4% year-over-year, highlighting difficulties in revenue growth that could impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Historical Performance Metrics: Over the past two years, Impinj has exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 88% of the time, although recent months have shown no upward revisions in estimates, suggesting a cautious market outlook for its future performance.
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- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Out of 110 companies, 59 have issued positive EPS guidance, marking the highest in five years, indicating a robust recovery in the tech and energy sectors that could boost market confidence.
- Tech Sector Leadership: The information technology sector stands out with 33 firms projecting positive EPS this quarter, tying with the previous record set in Q3 2025, demonstrating resilience amidst economic uncertainty and attracting investor interest.
- Revenue Guidance at Record High: The tech sector leads with 47 companies issuing positive revenue guidance, surpassing the previous peak of 45 in Q2 2021, highlighting strong growth potential that may support future investment decisions.
- Health Score Analysis: According to Seeking Alpha's Quant rating system, the tech sector has an average health score of 3.12, with 47 stocks rated as Buy or higher, reflecting growing market confidence in tech stocks, despite 33 stocks rated as Sell or lower.
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- Repurchase Agreement: Impinj has entered into agreements to repurchase approximately $40.2 million of its 1.125% convertible notes, with a total repurchase cost of about $47.2 million, indicating a proactive approach to debt management.
- Closing Timeline: The repurchases are expected to close on March 16, 2026, after which approximately $57.3 million of the notes will remain outstanding, reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to optimize its capital structure.
- Future Revenue Outlook: Impinj targets Q1 2026 revenue between $71 million and $74 million, driven by the rollout of custom chips and inventory transition, showcasing the company's strategic focus on new product development.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite the positive outlook on repurchases and revenue targets, market analysts suggest that Impinj may continue to face lingering low growth pressures, necessitating close attention to its competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
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- Repurchase Agreement Details: Impinj has entered into agreements with certain holders to repurchase approximately $40.2 million of its 1.125% Convertible Notes, with a total repurchase cost of about $47.2 million, including accrued and unpaid interest, indicating proactive capital management by the company.
- Repurchase Timeline: The repurchases are expected to close on March 16, 2026, after which approximately $57.3 million of the Convertible Notes will remain outstanding, reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to optimize its debt structure.
- Market Impact Analysis: By reducing the outstanding amount of Convertible Notes, Impinj may enhance its earnings per share and boost investor confidence while lowering future interest burdens, thereby laying a foundation for the company's long-term financial health.
- Forward-Looking Statement Risks: The company notes that forward-looking statements are subject to market fluctuations and other uncertainties, urging investors to consider these risks for informed investment decisions.
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