AXT Subsidiary Enters Three-Year Agreement with Coherent
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 37 minutes ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Agreement Details: AXT-Tongmei has signed a three-year agreement with Coherent to develop and supply 6-inch indium phosphide water substrates, which is expected to drive AXT's production capacity expansion at its Beijing facility between 2026 and 2028, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Prepayment Arrangement: Coherent will make a prepayment of approximately $22.29 million for future water substrate purchases, providing AXT with liquidity while ensuring Coherent's procurement commitment during the agreement period.
- Termination Clauses: The agreement stipulates that if Coherent fails to meet minimum order requirements, the prepayment becomes non-refundable, allowing AXT to terminate the agreement; conversely, if AXT fails to meet capacity commitments for over six months, Coherent can terminate the agreement and receive a refund for any unused prepayment.
- Board Changes: AXT has also appointed Tracy Liu to its board of directors, further strengthening its governance structure and demonstrating its focus on strategic development and risk management.
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Analyst Views on AXTI
Wall Street analysts forecast AXTI stock price to fall
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 65.030
Low
18.00
Averages
21.33
High
26.00
Current: 65.030
Low
18.00
Averages
21.33
High
26.00
About AXTI
AXT, Inc. is a material science company that develops and manufactures high-performance compound and single element semiconductor wafer substrates comprising indium phosphide (InP), gallium arsenide (GaAs) and germanium (Ge). Its wafer substrates are used when a typical silicon wafer substrate cannot meet the performance requirements of a semiconductor or optoelectronic device. It has two product lines: specialty material substrates and raw materials integral to these substrates. Its InP is a semiconductor wafer substrate used in broadband and fiber optic applications, 5G infrastructure and data center connectivity. Its semi-conducting GaAs substrates are used to create opto-electronic products, including high brightness light emitting diodes that are often used to backlight wireless handsets and LCD televisions and for automotive, signage, and lighting applications. Its Ge substrates are used in applications, such as solar cells for space and terrestrial photovoltaic applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Agreement Details: AXT-Tongmei has signed a three-year agreement with Coherent to develop and supply 6-inch indium phosphide water substrates, which is expected to drive AXT's production capacity expansion at its Beijing facility between 2026 and 2028, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Prepayment Arrangement: Coherent will make a prepayment of approximately $22.29 million for future water substrate purchases, providing AXT with liquidity while ensuring Coherent's procurement commitment during the agreement period.
- Termination Clauses: The agreement stipulates that if Coherent fails to meet minimum order requirements, the prepayment becomes non-refundable, allowing AXT to terminate the agreement; conversely, if AXT fails to meet capacity commitments for over six months, Coherent can terminate the agreement and receive a refund for any unused prepayment.
- Board Changes: AXT has also appointed Tracy Liu to its board of directors, further strengthening its governance structure and demonstrating its focus on strategic development and risk management.
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- Market Sentiment Impact: The decline in precious metals stocks may influence overall market sentiment, prompting investors to reassess their investment strategies in precious metals, leading to capital outflows from the sector.
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- Board Expansion: AXT announced the appointment of Tracy Liu to its board, effective June 17, increasing the board size from four to five members, thereby enhancing the company's governance structure.
- Rich Professional Background: Liu brings over 30 years of business advisory, tax strategy, and accounting experience, including a decade at Big Four firms, which adds significant financial and strategic planning expertise to the board.
- Strategic Timing: AXT CEO Morris Young noted that Liu's addition comes at a crucial time as the company expands capacity to meet the surging demand for indium phosphide wafers driven by AI, highlighting the company's focus on future growth.
- Positive Stock Reaction: Following the announcement, AXT's stock rose over 9% and saw slight gains in after-hours trading, reflecting market confidence in the company's strategic direction.
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- Significant Contract Size: AXT's long-term agreement with Nanjing Casela is projected to contribute nearly 20% of the company's modeled InP substrate revenues for 2027, highlighting the deal's importance for future income.
- Risk Management Improvement: This agreement not only mitigates export license risks but also reduces the likelihood of customer defaults and payment issues, enhancing AXT's stability and predictability in the Chinese market.
- Clear Financial Commitment: Casela commits to purchasing approximately $25.4 million worth of Indium Phosphide wafers monthly, with 50% prepaid within 15 business days and the balance due by the end of 2026, ensuring stable cash flow for AXT.
- Positive Stock Reaction: AXT's shares rose 7.3% in premarket trading on Monday, reflecting market confidence in the agreement and its potential to drive future growth for the company.
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- Stock Surge: AXT Inc. shares surged 10% on Friday, closing at $97.18 for the third consecutive day, indicating strong investor positioning ahead of key updates and reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Financial Improvement: In Q1, AXT Inc. narrowed its net loss by 81% to $1.6 million from $8.8 million year-over-year, while revenues increased by 39% to $26.9 million, showcasing the company's strengthening competitiveness and profitability in the market.
- Optimistic Outlook: During its recent earnings call, AXT Inc. expressed confidence in being well-positioned to support the industry in meeting current and future needs, which may attract more investor interest and bolster its market position.
- Insider Share Sale: Director Jesse Chen disposed of 16,500 shares between June 8 and 10 at prices ranging from $86.7 to $94, totaling approximately $1.48 million; while this insider selling may raise market concerns, it has not dampened the stock's strong performance.
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- Positive Market Reaction: AXT shares surged 10% during early trading on Friday, driven by investor concerns over potential constraints in indium phosphide (InP) supply, reflecting optimism about the company's future growth potential.
- Supply Chain Advantage: AXT benefits from a vertically integrated supply chain, partially owning raw material companies in China, which ensures a stable supply of critical materials, thereby reducing production costs and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Analysts Optimistic: Wedbush analysts rate AXT as Outperform with a price target of $93, suggesting that any increase in InP prices, which are not currently factored into consensus estimates, could provide significant upside for the company.
- Future Expansion Plans: AXT plans to double its indium phosphide capacity again by 2027, demonstrating confidence in market demand, while guiding Q2 GAAP EPS to be between $0.05 and $0.07, further solidifying its growth outlook.
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