Axalta Coating Systems Q1 Earnings Preview
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy AXTA?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.50, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The expected revenue for Q1 is $1.21 billion, down 4.0% year-over-year, highlighting Axalta's struggles with sales growth amid increasing market competition and rising raw material costs.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Axalta has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time, while only achieving a 38% success rate for revenue estimates, demonstrating volatility in its earnings performance.
- Expectation Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates saw one upward revision and nine downward revisions, reflecting a lack of market confidence in Axalta's future performance.
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Analyst Views on AXTA
Wall Street analysts forecast AXTA stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 28.560
Low
33.00
Averages
38.20
High
45.00
Current: 28.560
Low
33.00
Averages
38.20
High
45.00
About AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is a global coatings company. The Company is a manufacturer, marketer and distributor of coatings systems and products. Its segments include Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings. Through its Performance Coatings segment, it provides sustainable liquid and powder coating solutions to both large regional and global customers and to a fragmented and local customer base. These customers comprise, among others, independent or multi-shop operator body shops as well as a wide variety of industrial manufacturers. Through its Mobility Coatings segment, it provides coatings technologies for light vehicle and commercial vehicle original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Its key products consist of the four main coatings layers: electrocoat (AquaEC), primer (HyperDur), basecoat (ChromaDyne) and clearcoat (Lumeera). Its major industrial brands include Imron Industrial, Tufcote Industrial, Corlar Industrial, Strenex Industrial, PercoTop, Voltatex, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Axalta Coating Systems Q1 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.50, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The expected revenue for Q1 is $1.21 billion, down 4.0% year-over-year, highlighting Axalta's struggles with sales growth amid increasing market competition and rising raw material costs.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Axalta has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time, while only achieving a 38% success rate for revenue estimates, demonstrating volatility in its earnings performance.
- Expectation Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates saw one upward revision and nine downward revisions, reflecting a lack of market confidence in Axalta's future performance.
See More
Axalta Launches Zencore™ Coating System for High-Volume Production
- Product Innovation: Axalta has launched the Zencore™ coating system, specifically designed for fast-moving production and large inventories in North America, built on the proven chemistry of its Zenamel™ brand to simplify processes and enhance production efficiency.
- Efficiency Improvement: By reducing coating steps from three to two, Zencore™ not only decreases SKU complexity but also accelerates changeovers, thereby improving first pass yield and significantly boosting production efficiency.
- Waste Reduction: The simplified application process minimizes defects and rework while maintaining performance standards, enabling manufacturers to achieve higher yields and less waste in high-volume operations.
- Durability and Consistency: Zencore™ offers clearcoat-level mar resistance and stable color performance, eliminating the need for a clear coat, which ensures durability and consistency of the coating, further enhancing market competitiveness.
See More
Axalta Wins Three 2026 Edison Awards for Innovation
- Award-Winning Innovations: Axalta Coating Systems has been honored with three 2026 Edison Awards, with both the EcoNextJet™ system and Alesta® e-PRO FG Black coating winning Gold, showcasing the company's innovation capabilities and market leadership in automotive coatings.
- Personalized Coating Breakthrough: The EcoNextJet™ system, developed in collaboration with Dürr and Xaar, utilizes new polymers and printhead technology to enable on-demand customization of vehicle exteriors, addressing the growing consumer demand for personalized vehicles while enhancing production efficiency.
- EV Safety Assurance: The Alesta® e-PRO FG Black coating is engineered for electric vehicle batteries, providing fire protection at extreme temperatures up to 1200°C, significantly reducing the risk of thermal runaway and enhancing the safety of electric vehicles.
- AI-Driven Color Manufacturing: TintMaster AI leverages advanced artificial intelligence to address color variability in paint production, improving right-the-first-time performance by up to 29%, which not only shortens production cycles but also reduces material waste and enhances overall operational efficiency.
See More
UK Antitrust Authority Reviews Akzo Nobel-Axalta Merger Proposal
- Merger Review Initiated: The UK's Competition and Markets Authority is soliciting public comments on the Akzo Nobel and Axalta merger proposal by May 1, indicating regulatory scrutiny that could impact the merger's timeline and outcome.
- Merger Valuation: The all-stock merger between Akzo Nobel and Axalta is expected to create a global coatings company valued at approximately $25 billion, which could significantly alter market dynamics and enhance both companies' competitive positions in the industry.
- Financial Targets: Axalta aims for an adjusted EBITDA of $1.14 billion to $1.17 billion in 2026, suggesting a focus on improving profitability and market share post-merger, which may bolster investor confidence in the combined entity.
- Market Reaction: The downgrade of Axalta and Sherwin-Williams by Wells Fargo due to rising raw material costs from the Iran conflict reflects market concerns about potential cost pressures post-merger, which could influence investor sentiment regarding the deal.
See More
Middle East Conflict Impacts Coatings Sector Outlook
- Rating Downgrade Impact: Wells Fargo downgraded Sherwin-Williams and Axalta Coating to Equal Weight from Overweight with price targets of $365 and $30, respectively, reflecting the impact of the Middle East conflict on chemical production and logistics disruptions, leading to widespread inflation across commodity chains.
- Cost Pressure Intensifies: The analyst anticipates margin pressure for Sherwin-Williams due to rising raw material costs, although the company benefits from 80% of its sales being in North America, which has better raw material availability and lower inflation.
- Macro Environment Challenges: With ongoing inflation and elevated interest rates, the housing market, auto sales, and industrial production are under pressure, prompting the analyst to lower estimates for Sherwin-Williams to account for the challenging U.S. housing market and rising raw material costs.
- Axalta's Dim Outlook: Axalta Coating faces similar pressures from rising raw material costs, with expectations of a top-line impact from a weakening global macro backdrop, particularly affecting light vehicle purchases and repair spending.
See More
Sherwin-Williams Faces Cost Pressure Amid Iran Conflict
- Rating Downgrade: Wells Fargo downgraded Sherwin-Williams from overweight to equal-weight and lowered its price target from $410 to $365, indicating an 8.7% upside from Thursday's close, reflecting concerns over the company's future profitability.
- Rising Raw Material Costs: The Iran conflict has led to broad inflation across commodity chains, with reduced production and disrupted shipping of chemicals in the Middle East driving up raw material costs, which will pressure the company's margins according to Wells Fargo analysts.
- Revenue Outlook Decline: As consumers tighten their spending due to concerns about the U.S. economy and rising gasoline prices, Sherwin-Williams' revenue is expected to take a hit, with analysts noting that this will pressure overall performance in the coatings sector, particularly in housing and auto sales.
- Macroeconomic Challenges: Analysts anticipate that macroeconomic headwinds from the Iran war could persist for three to four months or longer, even if a tenuous ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. holds, which will have long-term implications for the company's growth prospects.
See More
Axalta Coating Systems Q1 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.50, reflecting a 15.3% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The expected revenue for Q1 is $1.21 billion, down 4.0% year-over-year, highlighting Axalta's struggles with sales growth amid increasing market competition and rising raw material costs.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Axalta has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time, while only achieving a 38% success rate for revenue estimates, demonstrating volatility in its earnings performance.
- Expectation Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and 10 downward revisions, while revenue estimates saw one upward revision and nine downward revisions, reflecting a lack of market confidence in Axalta's future performance.
See More
Axalta Launches Zencore™ Coating System for High-Volume Production
- Product Innovation: Axalta has launched the Zencore™ coating system, specifically designed for fast-moving production and large inventories in North America, built on the proven chemistry of its Zenamel™ brand to simplify processes and enhance production efficiency.
- Efficiency Improvement: By reducing coating steps from three to two, Zencore™ not only decreases SKU complexity but also accelerates changeovers, thereby improving first pass yield and significantly boosting production efficiency.
- Waste Reduction: The simplified application process minimizes defects and rework while maintaining performance standards, enabling manufacturers to achieve higher yields and less waste in high-volume operations.
- Durability and Consistency: Zencore™ offers clearcoat-level mar resistance and stable color performance, eliminating the need for a clear coat, which ensures durability and consistency of the coating, further enhancing market competitiveness.
See More
Axalta Wins Three 2026 Edison Awards for Innovation
- Award-Winning Innovations: Axalta Coating Systems has been honored with three 2026 Edison Awards, with both the EcoNextJet™ system and Alesta® e-PRO FG Black coating winning Gold, showcasing the company's innovation capabilities and market leadership in automotive coatings.
- Personalized Coating Breakthrough: The EcoNextJet™ system, developed in collaboration with Dürr and Xaar, utilizes new polymers and printhead technology to enable on-demand customization of vehicle exteriors, addressing the growing consumer demand for personalized vehicles while enhancing production efficiency.
- EV Safety Assurance: The Alesta® e-PRO FG Black coating is engineered for electric vehicle batteries, providing fire protection at extreme temperatures up to 1200°C, significantly reducing the risk of thermal runaway and enhancing the safety of electric vehicles.
- AI-Driven Color Manufacturing: TintMaster AI leverages advanced artificial intelligence to address color variability in paint production, improving right-the-first-time performance by up to 29%, which not only shortens production cycles but also reduces material waste and enhances overall operational efficiency.
See More
UK Antitrust Authority Reviews Akzo Nobel-Axalta Merger Proposal
- Merger Review Initiated: The UK's Competition and Markets Authority is soliciting public comments on the Akzo Nobel and Axalta merger proposal by May 1, indicating regulatory scrutiny that could impact the merger's timeline and outcome.
- Merger Valuation: The all-stock merger between Akzo Nobel and Axalta is expected to create a global coatings company valued at approximately $25 billion, which could significantly alter market dynamics and enhance both companies' competitive positions in the industry.
- Financial Targets: Axalta aims for an adjusted EBITDA of $1.14 billion to $1.17 billion in 2026, suggesting a focus on improving profitability and market share post-merger, which may bolster investor confidence in the combined entity.
- Market Reaction: The downgrade of Axalta and Sherwin-Williams by Wells Fargo due to rising raw material costs from the Iran conflict reflects market concerns about potential cost pressures post-merger, which could influence investor sentiment regarding the deal.
See More
Middle East Conflict Impacts Coatings Sector Outlook
- Rating Downgrade Impact: Wells Fargo downgraded Sherwin-Williams and Axalta Coating to Equal Weight from Overweight with price targets of $365 and $30, respectively, reflecting the impact of the Middle East conflict on chemical production and logistics disruptions, leading to widespread inflation across commodity chains.
- Cost Pressure Intensifies: The analyst anticipates margin pressure for Sherwin-Williams due to rising raw material costs, although the company benefits from 80% of its sales being in North America, which has better raw material availability and lower inflation.
- Macro Environment Challenges: With ongoing inflation and elevated interest rates, the housing market, auto sales, and industrial production are under pressure, prompting the analyst to lower estimates for Sherwin-Williams to account for the challenging U.S. housing market and rising raw material costs.
- Axalta's Dim Outlook: Axalta Coating faces similar pressures from rising raw material costs, with expectations of a top-line impact from a weakening global macro backdrop, particularly affecting light vehicle purchases and repair spending.
See More
Sherwin-Williams Faces Cost Pressure Amid Iran Conflict
- Rating Downgrade: Wells Fargo downgraded Sherwin-Williams from overweight to equal-weight and lowered its price target from $410 to $365, indicating an 8.7% upside from Thursday's close, reflecting concerns over the company's future profitability.
- Rising Raw Material Costs: The Iran conflict has led to broad inflation across commodity chains, with reduced production and disrupted shipping of chemicals in the Middle East driving up raw material costs, which will pressure the company's margins according to Wells Fargo analysts.
- Revenue Outlook Decline: As consumers tighten their spending due to concerns about the U.S. economy and rising gasoline prices, Sherwin-Williams' revenue is expected to take a hit, with analysts noting that this will pressure overall performance in the coatings sector, particularly in housing and auto sales.
- Macroeconomic Challenges: Analysts anticipate that macroeconomic headwinds from the Iran war could persist for three to four months or longer, even if a tenuous ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. holds, which will have long-term implications for the company's growth prospects.
See More
