Applied Digital's AI Initiative Boosts ETF Performance Significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 23 2025
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Should l Buy APLD?
Source: Benzinga
Applied Digital Corp's Transformation: Applied Digital Corp (APLD) has shifted from a crypto-focused data center to an "AI Factory," resulting in a stock increase of over 265% in the past year, bolstered by a new lease deal with CoreWeave that secures $11 billion in future revenue.
Tradr 2X Long APLD Daily ETF Performance: The Tradr 2X Long APLD Daily ETF (APLX) has gained about 185% since its September low, reflecting the volatility and excitement surrounding APLD, but it also carries risks due to its leveraged nature, which can amplify both gains and losses.
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Analyst Views on APLD
Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 27.600
Low
36.00
Averages
52.22
High
99.00
Current: 27.600
Low
36.00
Averages
52.22
High
99.00
About APLD
Applied Digital Corporation is a designer, builder, and operator of sustainably engineered data centers and colocation services for artificial intelligence, cloud, networking, and blockchain workloads. The Company’s segments include data center hosting (Data Center Hosting Business) and high-performance compute hosting (HPC Hosting Business). The Data Center Hosting Business operates data centers to provide energized space to crypto mining customers. Customer-owned hardware is installed in its facilities, and the Company provides operational and maintenance services for a fixed fee. Its facilities include a 106 megawatt (MW) facility in Jamestown and a 180 MW facility in Ellendale, North Dakota. The HPC Hosting Business designs, builds, and operates data centers which are designed to support high-compute applications using advanced technologies and infrastructures to provide services to customers. Its HPC data center is located at its Polaris Forge 1 campus with 100 MW capacity.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Investor Appeal: Applied Digital (APLD) showcases strong AI growth potential, attracting investor interest with a 2.62% market price increase on April 3, 2026, yet deeper analysis reveals emerging risks that could impact future performance.
- Risk Factors: As market focus on AI technology intensifies, the risks faced by Applied Digital become increasingly significant, necessitating investor vigilance regarding how these risks may affect stock prices in a rapidly evolving tech landscape.
- Market Dynamics: The video published on April 12, 2026, delves into various factors influencing Applied Digital's stock price, highlighting the critical roles of market sentiment and technological advancements in shaping the company's future performance.
- Future Outlook: Despite the risks, Applied Digital's growth prospects remain promising, with analysts suggesting that the company's strategic decisions will be pivotal in determining its stock price trajectory, urging investors to closely monitor upcoming developments.
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- AI Growth Potential: Applied Digital is viewed as a potential giant in the AI sector, and while its stock price on April 3, 2026, shows some appeal, deeper analysis reveals emerging risks that could impact investor confidence.
- Market Performance Comparison: Despite the compelling growth narrative, The Motley Fool's analyst team did not include Applied Digital in their current list of top investment stocks, indicating a cautious market sentiment that may lead investors to reassess its value.
- Historical Return Reference: The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor has achieved an average return of 968% since inception, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 191%, suggesting that market confidence may be higher in other stocks, potentially affecting Applied Digital's investment allure.
- Investor Community Impact: The Motley Fool's investor community emphasizes the power of individual investors; although Applied Digital did not make the best stocks list, its AI technology is still considered critical, which may attract more attention in the future.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Applied Digital reported a 139% year-over-year increase in total sales for Q3 of fiscal 2026, successfully turning a profit; however, investors sold off shares post-report, indicating a disproportionate market reaction to its performance.
- Analyst Optimism: H.C. Wainwright analyst Kevin Dede reiterated a buy rating on Applied Digital with a price target of $40 per share, highlighting the company's successful transformation from a cryptocurrency miner to a next-generation data center operator.
- Declining Cost of Capital: As Applied Digital expands its data center capacity, its cost of capital is decreasing, which will further enhance its competitive position in the market and lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Mixed Market Reaction: Despite the clear progress in Applied Digital's transformation and its superior Q3 performance compared to peers, the market's reaction to its stock has not reflected its potential value, suggesting that investor sentiment fluctuations may present future buying opportunities.
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- Tech Stock Recovery: Late Thursday afternoon, tech stocks saw an overall rise, reflecting market optimism regarding the sector's outlook, particularly after recent volatility as investors reassess the value of tech companies.
- Improved Market Sentiment: With growing confidence in economic recovery, the rise in tech stocks may attract more capital into the sector, potentially driving further increases in the stock prices of related companies.
- Selective Investment in Sector: Despite the overall increase, the market shows selective investment in specific tech companies, indicating that investors are seeking high-quality assets with growth potential.
- Positive Future Outlook: The rise in tech stocks may signal that the market will continue to focus on innovation and growth opportunities within the tech sector in the coming weeks, especially in areas like artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Applied Digital reported approximately $127 million in revenue for Q3, a year-on-year increase of $73.7 million, with $71 million attributed to its High-Performance Computing (HPC) business, indicating strong growth potential in the data center sector.
- First Steady HPC Lease Revenue: The company achieved its first steady-state HPC lease revenue from its 100-megawatt Polar Forge 1 facility, marking a successful transformation of its business model and further solidifying its position in the data center market.
- Future Development Outlook: Applied Digital is constructing the Delta Forge 1 facility, expected to begin operations in mid-2027, while also building a new 150MW HPC data center at the Polaris Forge 1 facility, anticipated to come online in 2026, demonstrating strong confidence in future growth.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite a more than 5% drop in stock price following the Q3 earnings release, market sentiment remains optimistic, with Roth Capital maintaining a 'Buy' rating and a price target of $58, implying a potential upside of about 121%, reflecting investor confidence in the company's future performance.
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- Earnings Beat Expectations: Applied Digital's Q3 report revealed adjusted earnings per share of $0.09 and sales of $126.6 million, exceeding Wall Street's estimates by $0.30 and $48.1 million, yet the stock still fell by 5.4%.
- Significant Year-over-Year Growth: The company's revenue surged 139% year-over-year in Q3, indicating strong market demand; however, investor sentiment was negatively impacted as the stock dropped as much as 9.8% during trading due to uncertainty about future outlook.
- Concerns Over Low Margins: Although sales and earnings surpassed expectations, contributions from low-margin categories such as fit-out services and power passthroughs raised concerns about future profitability, leading to investor apprehension.
- Unmet Market Expectations: High expectations for new lease contracts were not met, as the company failed to provide sufficient guidance on future prospects, resulting in disappointment among investors and exacerbating the stock's decline.
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