Applied Digital's AI Initiative Boosts ETF Performance Significantly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 23 2025
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Should l Buy APLD?
Source: Benzinga
Applied Digital Corp's Transformation: Applied Digital Corp (APLD) has shifted from a crypto-focused data center to an "AI Factory," resulting in a stock increase of over 265% in the past year, bolstered by a new lease deal with CoreWeave that secures $11 billion in future revenue.
Tradr 2X Long APLD Daily ETF Performance: The Tradr 2X Long APLD Daily ETF (APLX) has gained about 185% since its September low, reflecting the volatility and excitement surrounding APLD, but it also carries risks due to its leveraged nature, which can amplify both gains and losses.
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Analyst Views on APLD
Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 27.260
Low
36.00
Averages
52.22
High
99.00
Current: 27.260
Low
36.00
Averages
52.22
High
99.00
About APLD
Applied Digital Corporation is a designer, builder, and operator of sustainably engineered data centers and colocation services for artificial intelligence, cloud, networking, and blockchain workloads. The Company’s segments include data center hosting (Data Center Hosting Business) and high-performance compute hosting (HPC Hosting Business). The Data Center Hosting Business operates data centers to provide energized space to crypto mining customers. Customer-owned hardware is installed in its facilities, and the Company provides operational and maintenance services for a fixed fee. Its facilities include a 106 megawatt (MW) facility in Jamestown and a 180 MW facility in Ellendale, North Dakota. The HPC Hosting Business designs, builds, and operates data centers which are designed to support high-compute applications using advanced technologies and infrastructures to provide services to customers. Its HPC data center is located at its Polaris Forge 1 campus with 100 MW capacity.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- CoreWeave Revenue Surge: In 2025, CoreWeave's revenue skyrocketed by 168% to over $5.1 billion, reflecting strong demand in the AI cloud infrastructure market, with expectations for continued high growth in the coming years.
- Significant Customer Growth: CoreWeave added nearly twice as many long-term customers in Q4 compared to its best previous quarters, with the number of clients spending over $1 million annually increasing by nearly 150%, indicating rapid market penetration and customer base expansion.
- Applied Digital Lease Revenue Outlook: The 400-megawatt data center under development by Applied Digital is expected to generate approximately $11 billion in lease revenue over 15 years, with the first 100 megawatts already operational, showcasing its long-term revenue potential.
- Market Competition and Risks: While CoreWeave anticipates capital expenditures of $30 billion to $35 billion in 2026, potentially leading to short-term margin compression, its robust revenue growth and strong backlog make it more attractive in the coming years.
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- Robust Contract Backlog: CoreWeave's backlog reached $66.8 billion at the end of 2025, indicating strong revenue visibility for the future, with projected revenue growth of 142.5% to $12.4 billion in 2026, highlighting its leadership in the AI cloud infrastructure market.
- Rapid Customer Growth: CoreWeave added nearly twice as many long-term customers in Q4 compared to its best previous quarters, with the number of customers spending over $1 million annually increasing by nearly 150% in 2025, which will further enhance its market competitiveness and revenue stability.
- Stable Revenue for Applied Digital: The 400-megawatt data center campus being developed by Applied Digital is expected to generate approximately $11 billion in lease revenue over 15 years, with the first 100 megawatts already operational, showcasing the revenue potential of its long-term contracts.
- Future Growth Potential: Despite facing capital expenditure risks of up to $35 billion, CoreWeave's strong revenue growth and stable pricing power position it for significant investment returns in the coming years, especially as AI demand continues to rise.
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- Market Valuation Comparison: As of March 13, 2026, Nebius was priced at $3.69, IREN at $0.72, and Applied Digital at $2.73, highlighting significant valuation differences that could lead to investor misjudgments when selecting stocks.
- Momentum and Risk Assessment: The video analyzes the performance of these three companies in terms of market momentum and potential risks, emphasizing that Nebius may outperform the others in the long term, despite current market expectations being conservative.
- Identifying Long-term Winners: By comparing the market performances of these companies, the video identifies potential long-term winners, particularly Nebius, which, while facing short-term volatility, shows strong growth potential based on its fundamentals.
- Investor Focus Points: The video advises investors to pay attention to the gap between market sentiment and fundamentals, stressing the importance of analyzing the relationship between company potential and market hype when selecting investment targets.
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- Project Progress: Applied Digital is simultaneously undertaking multiple data center construction projects, with Polaris Forge 1 currently equipped with 100 megawatts of computing power and plans to expand to 400 megawatts, indicating the company's growth potential amid surging AI demand.
- Market Outlook: Currently, Applied Digital's stock trades at approximately $28.50, while the average analyst price target is $45.27, suggesting nearly a 60% upside, which has attracted investor interest.
- Financing Risks: In Q2, the company raised $2.35 billion at a 9.25% interest rate, which, while funding projects, reflects concerns from financiers about the long-term viability of the loan, potentially impacting investor confidence.
- Competitive Environment: Despite Applied Digital's significant potential in the AI sector, analysts recommend that investors consider less risky investment alternatives, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding its future performance.
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- Price Target Analysis: Applied Digital's current stock price is approximately $28.50, while the average market price target is $45.27, indicating nearly a 60% upside potential, highlighting the stock's investment appeal.
- Data Center Construction: The company is constructing multiple data centers, with Polaris Forge 1 having a computing capacity of 100MW, set to expand to 400MW, addressing the surging demand for artificial intelligence and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Growing Client Demand: As these data centers are built, the turnkey solutions offered by Applied Digital are attracting more clients, which is expected to yield significant returns for shareholders, particularly against the backdrop of increasing AI workloads.
- Financing Risk Consideration: Although Applied Digital raised $2.35 billion at a 9.25% interest rate to support its expansion, the high rate reflects concerns from financiers about the longevity of the loan, prompting investors to carefully assess potential risks.
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- Financing Dynamics: Applied Digital is actively seeking financing to support its expansion in the AI infrastructure sector, which is expected to attract significant investor interest and potentially drive up the company's valuation.
- Valuation Pressure: While the market is optimistic about Applied Digital's AI potential, high valuations may raise investor concerns about future performance, especially as execution pressures mount.
- Market Reaction: As of March 7, 2026, Applied Digital's stock price rose by 2.70%, reflecting a positive market response to its AI strategy, but this may also conceal underlying fragility.
- Execution Challenges: As the company expands in the AI space, Applied Digital faces challenges in execution capability, and its success or failure will directly impact its market position and investor confidence.
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