AMD Positioned as Second GPU Supplier Behind Nvidia, Citi Upgrades
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Position Enhancement: According to Citi, AMD is emerging as the second-largest supplier of graphics processing units (GPUs) behind Nvidia, indicating a strengthening competitive position that is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Price Target Increase: Citi upgraded AMD's rating from neutral to buy and raised its price target to $575, representing over a 17% increase from Thursday's close, reflecting market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Growing Customer Demand: Citi anticipates that Meta will become a significant customer for AMD's AI products, particularly GPUs, which is expected to substantially boost AMD's sales, especially with the multi-year agreement involving up to 6 gigawatts of GPU deployment.
- AI Sales Forecast Revision: Citi now expects AMD's AI sales to reach $33 billion in 2027, up 137% year-over-year, and $50.8 billion in 2028, up 54% year-over-year, highlighting the company's potential in the rapidly expanding AI market.
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to fall
33 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 452.400
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
Current: 452.400
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing and artificial intelligence (AI). Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes AI accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: AMD's first-quarter revenue surged 38% year-over-year to $10.25 billion, primarily driven by a 57% increase in its data center segment to $5.8 billion, reflecting strong demand in the AI market and the company's competitive position in this sector.
- Margin Improvement: Although AMD's gross margin rose by 300 basis points to 53%, it remains significantly lower than Nvidia's 74.9%, indicating challenges in profitability within its product mix that could impact long-term competitiveness.
- Market Uncertainty: Despite AMD's crucial role in AI infrastructure, a slowdown in large language model (LLM) development could reduce demand for its data center hardware, potentially negatively affecting its stock price, prompting investors to exercise caution.
- High Valuation Risks: With a forward P/E ratio of 74 compared to the Nasdaq-100's 27, AMD's stock appears overvalued, suggesting that investors should carefully assess the sustainability of current data center spending before making investment decisions.
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- Earnings Miss: Adobe reported a non-GAAP operating margin of 44% for Q2, falling short of the 44.5% estimate, resulting in a 6.8% stock drop, despite beating both revenue and earnings expectations, indicating market concerns over profitability.
- Executive Departure: CFO Dan Dunn's upcoming departure on June 15 to pursue new opportunities may heighten investor anxiety regarding the company's future financial management, further impacting stock performance.
- Lennar Revenue Decline: Lennar's Q2 revenue of $7.94 billion missed the $8.02 billion forecast, with deliveries also falling short, reflecting weakness in the housing market and leading to a 0.7% stock decline.
- AMD Stock Rise: AMD shares rose over 1% after Citi upgraded its rating from neutral to buy, anticipating that the company could capture market share from Nvidia in the graphics processing unit sector, boosting earnings potential.
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- Market Position Enhancement: According to Citi, AMD is emerging as the second-largest supplier of graphics processing units (GPUs) behind Nvidia, indicating a strengthening competitive position that is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Price Target Increase: Citi upgraded AMD's rating from neutral to buy and raised its price target to $575, representing over a 17% increase from Thursday's close, reflecting market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Growing Customer Demand: Citi anticipates that Meta will become a significant customer for AMD's AI products, particularly GPUs, which is expected to substantially boost AMD's sales, especially with the multi-year agreement involving up to 6 gigawatts of GPU deployment.
- AI Sales Forecast Revision: Citi now expects AMD's AI sales to reach $33 billion in 2027, up 137% year-over-year, and $50.8 billion in 2028, up 54% year-over-year, highlighting the company's potential in the rapidly expanding AI market.
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- New Product Launch: Nvidia has announced that its new Vera central processors will be available for Chinese clients to order as soon as August, marking a rapid pivot in the company’s strategy to revive its fortunes in China, which have declined due to stalled shipments of the H200 chip.
- Intensified Market Competition: The introduction of the Vera chip places Nvidia in direct competition with major CPU manufacturers like Intel and AMD, particularly in the supply of server CPUs for AI data centers, as Nvidia's market share in China has effectively fallen to zero.
- Initial Order Feedback: A major Chinese cloud company plans to order over 300 servers, each equipped with two Vera CPUs, although the final order will depend on testing results, indicating initial interest in the Vera chip from the market.
- Revenue Expectations: Nvidia anticipates generating approximately $20 billion in revenue from Vera chip sales by the end of this fiscal year, reflecting the company's confidence in the new product and its strategic positioning amid the global shift in AI computing demands.
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- Optimistic Market Outlook: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya raised the 2030 total addressable market estimate for server CPUs from $125 billion to $170 billion, reflecting strong confidence in AMD and the broader chip industry, which is expected to drive future growth for the company.
- AI-Driven Growth: Arya highlighted the rapid emergence of artificial intelligence as a significant catalyst for CPU manufacturers, estimating a 37% compound annual growth rate from 2025 to 2030, which presents substantial market opportunities for AMD.
- Stock Rating Upgrade: Arya named AMD as his bank's top stock pick in the CPU space, emphasizing its long-term market position and the upcoming launch of its next-generation server processors (codenamed Venice), which will further strengthen its competitive edge.
- Price Target Increase: The analyst raised AMD's price target from $500 to $560, reflecting an optimistic outlook on its future performance, even as the current stock price stands at $36.26, indicating investor recognition of its potential.
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- Optimistic Market Outlook: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya raised the 2030 addressable market estimate for server CPUs from $125 billion to $170 billion, indicating strong confidence in the chip sector and suggesting long-term growth potential for companies like AMD.
- Significant Stock Surge: Following the analyst's bullish report, AMD's stock surged by 8% on the day, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding its future performance and further solidifying its leadership position in the CPU market.
- AI-Driven Growth: Arya highlighted that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence will serve as a major catalyst for CPU manufacturers, estimating a 37% compound annual growth rate from 2025 to 2030, which provides robust support for AMD's future performance.
- Price Target Increase: The analyst raised AMD's price target from $500 to $560, emphasizing that the upcoming launch of its next-generation server processors (code-named Venice) will enhance its competitive edge, demonstrating high recognition of the company's future development prospects.
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