Unilever Q1 Sales Exceed Expectations Amid Currency Headwinds
Unilever's stock rose 3.61% as it reached a 20-day high, reflecting strong sales performance despite currency challenges.
The company reported Q1 sales of €12.6 billion, exceeding market expectations, with underlying growth of 3.8%. The Power Brands achieved a 5.0% underlying sales growth, indicating sustained consumer demand. Emerging markets, particularly India, showed significant growth, further solidifying Unilever's competitive position. The optimistic outlook for FY2026, with expected underlying sales growth at the low end of 4%-6%, also contributed to the positive sentiment.
This strong performance highlights Unilever's resilience in challenging conditions and positions the company well for future growth, despite external pressures.
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- Coverage Initiation: On April 14, BofA Securities initiated coverage on Unilever (NYSE:UL) with a Buy rating and a $72 price target, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
- Stock Volatility: Since the onset of the conflict in Iran, Unilever's stock has dropped approximately 20%, and despite having an identical earnings per share CAGR, it trades at a 2026 expected P/E ratio of 15.4x, which is an 8% discount compared to European food peers.
- Strategic Market Moves: The company's arrangement with McCormick to separate its Foods division aims to transform it into a pure-play Home & Personal Care company, with the Indian market projected to contribute 25% of its total performance.
- Valuation Gap: BofA highlighted that the 20% valuation gap to U.S. rivals could narrow if activist investor Trian Partners pursues a U.S. listing, enhancing Unilever's market appeal.
- Strong Sales Performance: Unilever reported Q1 sales of €12.6 billion, exceeding market expectations despite a 3.3% decline in reported sales due to currency headwinds, while underlying growth reached 3.8% for the three months ending March 31, showcasing the company's resilience in challenging conditions.
- Core Brand Strength: The company's Power Brands achieved a 5.0% underlying sales growth, with 4.0% attributed to volume increases, indicating sustained consumer demand and further solidifying Unilever's competitive position in the market.
- Emerging Markets Lead Growth: Underlying sales in emerging markets rose by 5.7%, driven by 4.2% from volume and 1.5% from price, with India delivering a notable 7% growth, highlighting the consumption potential and market opportunities in these regions.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Unilever expects FY2026 underlying sales growth at the low end of its 4%-6% range, with at least 2% volume growth, while also anticipating a modest improvement in operating margin from 20.0% in 2025, reflecting the company's confidence in future performance.
- Market Opening Expectations: European stocks are anticipated to open lower, with the UK's FTSE index down 0.1%, Germany's DAX down 0.7%, France's CAC 40 down 0.5%, and Italy's FTSE MIB down 0.7%, reflecting investor sensitivity to geopolitical risks amid ongoing tensions in Iran.
- Surge in Oil Prices: Brent crude oil prices surged 6.84% to $126.10 per barrel, reaching a wartime high due to reports that the U.S. military would brief President Trump on potential military actions against Iran, indicating market concerns over supply disruptions.
- Central Bank Policy Focus: The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are set to announce their latest monetary policy decisions today, with no interest rate changes expected; however, their forward guidance will be closely monitored for potential economic implications amid the ongoing conflict.
- Earnings Release Day: A busy day for earnings reports includes major companies like Schneider Electric, Unilever, and Volkswagen, with the market evaluating the impact of these results on economic outlooks, particularly in the current uncertain macroeconomic environment.
- Significant Growth: L'Oreal's organic sales rose 7.6% year-over-year to €12.2 billion ($14.3 billion) in Q1, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations of 3-4%, indicating robust vitality in the beauty market.
- Market Share Gains: CEO Nicolas Hieronimus stated that the company not only outperformed a dynamic beauty market but also accelerated market share growth globally, particularly excelling in e-commerce channels in emerging markets.
- Successful Acquisition Strategy: Last month, L'Oreal completed the acquisition of Kering Beauté for €4 billion, further solidifying its position in the high-growth health and beauty care sector, demonstrating proactive engagement in industry consolidation.
- Growth Across Divisions: Despite being the smallest unit, the professional products division saw a 13.1% like-for-like sales increase, indicating that the company achieved growth across cosmetics, haircare, skincare, and perfumes, enhancing its competitive edge in the market.
- Rating Upgrade: RBC Capital Markets upgraded Unilever (UL) from Underperform to Sector Perform, with analyst James Edwardes Jones noting that market concerns regarding the divestiture of Unilever's food business are fairly reflected in the current stock price.
- Cautious Growth Outlook: While management aims to increase Unilever's exposure to high-growth categories, the analyst team questions the public growth aspirations compared to more subdued targets, suggesting that the competitive positioning of the resulting business will remain unchanged.
- Uncertain Shareholder Benefits: Looking ahead, Edwardes Jones highlighted that during the period when Unilever retains ownership of its food business, the experience from the ice cream divestment indicates that shareholders may not necessarily benefit post-divestment.
- Price Target Set: RBC Capital Markets set a price target of £42 for Unilever (UL) based on earnings estimates that fall below consensus expectations, reflecting a cautious stance on the company's future performance, especially as shares have declined over 11% year-to-date.
- Dividend Increase: Procter & Gamble raised its quarterly dividend from $1.0568 to $1.0885 per share, resulting in an annual payout of $4.354 and a forward yield of 3%, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.
- Dividend King Status: This increase positions P&G among only five companies that have raised dividends for over 70 consecutive years, further solidifying its status as a Dividend King and attracting income-focused investors.
- Market Competitiveness: As the largest household and personal products company globally, P&G demonstrates resilience with an operating margin exceeding 20%, despite facing consumer spending challenges, showcasing its ability to maintain stability during economic fluctuations.
- Investment Opportunity: The recent stock sell-off has pushed P&G's dividend yield to a five-year high, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 and a forward P/E of 20.8, presenting an attractive buying opportunity for value investors looking to anchor their passive income portfolios.











