Palantir's stock declines amid market weakness and earnings outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 18 2024
0mins
Should l Buy PLTR?
Palantir Technologies Inc's stock is down 3.05% in pre-market trading, hitting a 20-day low, as broader market indices like the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 also show declines of 0.76% and 0.48%, respectively.
Despite the recent optimism surrounding AI and strong revenue expectations for the upcoming fourth quarter, Palantir's stock has faced significant pressure, dropping 30% from its peak in November. Analysts are cautious, suggesting that the stock's risk-reward profile may not be favorable, which could lead to further declines. The company has expanded its government contracts, including a £240 million deal with the UK Ministry of Defence, but the overall market sentiment remains weak.
The implications of these developments suggest that while Palantir is positioned for growth in the AI sector, the current market conditions and investor sentiment may hinder its stock performance in the short term.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy PLTR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PLTR is 192.88 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 255.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 130.010
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 130.010
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Palantir's Stock Pullback Amid AI Potential
- Stock Performance Review: Palantir's shares have surged 1,666% over the past three years, yet have declined 10% year-to-date, reflecting market concerns about future growth amid current high valuations.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2024, Palantir's revenue soared 93% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, with U.S. commercial sales jumping 137% to $507 million, indicating a successful pivot towards business clients.
- AI Platform Launch: The introduction of Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) enables clients to securely integrate large language models with internal data, enhancing data querying and analysis efficiency, particularly in public safety and military applications.
- Competitive Landscape Analysis: Despite Palantir's market advantages in data analytics, it faces fierce competition from companies like Microsoft and Snowflake, and its forward P/E ratio of 158 significantly exceeds the S&P 500's 22, limiting future growth potential.
See More
Palantir Technologies Stock Performance Analysis
- Stock Volatility: Palantir's stock was one of the best performers in 2024 and 2025 as investors were optimistic about its decision to integrate generative AI into its data analytics platform; however, this year, shares have already dropped by 10%, indicating market concerns about its future potential.
- Revenue Growth: The company reported a 93% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $1.1 billion, primarily driven by a 137% surge in sales from U.S. commercial clients, which highlights significant success in expanding its business market.
- Market Competition: While Palantir has built its brand around government contracts, its success in the commercial sector is becoming increasingly important; however, it faces pressure from competitors like Microsoft and Snowflake, which could weaken its market position.
- Valuation Risks: With a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 158, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 22, Palantir's stock appears overvalued at current prices, prompting investors to carefully consider their entry points to avoid potential investment risks.
See More
Federal Judge Orders Elon Musk to Testify in USAID Case
- Musk Ordered to Testify: A federal judge has ruled that Elon Musk must testify regarding his role in dismantling USAID, rejecting his legal team's attempt to avoid questioning, which could impact Musk's reputation and future business endeavors.
- Alphabet Beats Earnings Estimates: Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83 billion, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $111.31 billion, with earnings per share of $2.82 exceeding expectations of $2.63, indicating strong performance in advertising and cloud services that may drive stock price increases.
- Amazon Delivery Milestone: Amazon announced it delivered over 13 billion items globally in 2025, with more than 8 billion items reaching U.S. Prime members the same or next day, a speed enhancement that will further strengthen its competitive position in the e-commerce market.
- Tesla's New Model Launch: Tesla unveiled a new All-Wheel Drive variant of the Model Y in the U.S. and Puerto Rico following Elon Musk's announcement of discontinuing the Model S and X, which could attract more consumers and enhance market share.
See More
Peter Thiel: Courage is Key to Innovation
- Innovation Bottleneck Analysis: Peter Thiel argues that the real bottleneck in innovation is not intelligence but courage, as many can identify opportunities but lack the bravery to pursue ideas that contradict conventional wisdom, thereby limiting potential breakthroughs.
- Entrepreneurship Philosophy: In a 2015 speech, Thiel emphasized that entrepreneurship should not follow formulas, as each breakthrough company is unique; imitating successful figures like Zuckerberg or Gates overlooks the essence of innovation, which is to create something fundamentally new.
- Importance of Contrarian Thinking: Thiel noted that progress comes from finding unpopular truths and organizing teams around them, a principle he considers one of the best filters for hiring, highlighting the significance of courage in building companies.
- Industry Resonance: Many industry leaders echo Thiel's sentiment, emphasizing that courage is more important than intelligence, indicating that the ability to challenge conventional thinking is a key driver of innovation and success in a rapidly changing business environment.
See More
Google Workers Demand End to Ties with ICE and CBP Amid Violence
- Employee Coalition Statement: Over 900 Google workers signed an open letter condemning the violence by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), urging the company to disclose its dealings with these agencies and divest from them, highlighting a strong concern for the company's ethical responsibilities.
- Condemnation of Violence: The letter cites recent fatal actions by ICE against Keith Porter, Renee Good, and Alex Pretti, with employees expressing shock at Google's role in these incidents and asserting that the company plays a significant part in perpetuating surveillance and violence, reflecting deep dissatisfaction with corporate policies.
- Call for Safety Measures: Employees demand that Google implement urgent measures to protect worker safety, including flexible work-from-home policies and immigration support, emphasizing that employee safety and well-being should be prioritized in the current political climate, showcasing strong expectations for corporate governance.
- Increasing Industry Pressure: The release of this open letter coincides with mounting pressure on tech CEOs to publicly oppose ICE, indicating that employees seek to leverage collective action to drive the company towards ethical and policy changes.
See More
Google Employees Condemn Partnerships with ICE
- Employee Collective Statement: Over 900 Google employees have signed an open letter condemning the actions of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), urging the company to disclose its dealings and divest from these agencies, highlighting the employees' concern for corporate ethical responsibilities.
- Outrage Over Violence: The letter cites recent violent incidents involving ICE, with employees expressing shock at Google's role in these events, asserting that the company is complicit in fostering surveillance and violence, which underscores the significant impact of corporate actions on societal issues.
- Controversial Technical Support: Google Cloud is accused of aiding CBP's surveillance efforts and powering Palantir's ImmigrationOS, prompting employees to call for an end to partnerships with these agencies to safeguard employee welfare and uphold ethical standards in technology use.
- Internal Q&A and Safety Measures: Employees demand an emergency internal Q&A to discuss contracts with the Department of Homeland Security and military, alongside the implementation of flexible work-from-home policies and immigration support to protect workers from ICE threats, reflecting a strong emphasis on corporate governance and employee well-being.
See More
Palantir's Stock Pullback Amid AI Potential
- Stock Performance Review: Palantir's shares have surged 1,666% over the past three years, yet have declined 10% year-to-date, reflecting market concerns about future growth amid current high valuations.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2024, Palantir's revenue soared 93% year-over-year to $1.1 billion, with U.S. commercial sales jumping 137% to $507 million, indicating a successful pivot towards business clients.
- AI Platform Launch: The introduction of Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) enables clients to securely integrate large language models with internal data, enhancing data querying and analysis efficiency, particularly in public safety and military applications.
- Competitive Landscape Analysis: Despite Palantir's market advantages in data analytics, it faces fierce competition from companies like Microsoft and Snowflake, and its forward P/E ratio of 158 significantly exceeds the S&P 500's 22, limiting future growth potential.
See More
Palantir Technologies Stock Performance Analysis
- Stock Volatility: Palantir's stock was one of the best performers in 2024 and 2025 as investors were optimistic about its decision to integrate generative AI into its data analytics platform; however, this year, shares have already dropped by 10%, indicating market concerns about its future potential.
- Revenue Growth: The company reported a 93% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $1.1 billion, primarily driven by a 137% surge in sales from U.S. commercial clients, which highlights significant success in expanding its business market.
- Market Competition: While Palantir has built its brand around government contracts, its success in the commercial sector is becoming increasingly important; however, it faces pressure from competitors like Microsoft and Snowflake, which could weaken its market position.
- Valuation Risks: With a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 158, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 22, Palantir's stock appears overvalued at current prices, prompting investors to carefully consider their entry points to avoid potential investment risks.
See More
Federal Judge Orders Elon Musk to Testify in USAID Case
- Musk Ordered to Testify: A federal judge has ruled that Elon Musk must testify regarding his role in dismantling USAID, rejecting his legal team's attempt to avoid questioning, which could impact Musk's reputation and future business endeavors.
- Alphabet Beats Earnings Estimates: Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83 billion, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $111.31 billion, with earnings per share of $2.82 exceeding expectations of $2.63, indicating strong performance in advertising and cloud services that may drive stock price increases.
- Amazon Delivery Milestone: Amazon announced it delivered over 13 billion items globally in 2025, with more than 8 billion items reaching U.S. Prime members the same or next day, a speed enhancement that will further strengthen its competitive position in the e-commerce market.
- Tesla's New Model Launch: Tesla unveiled a new All-Wheel Drive variant of the Model Y in the U.S. and Puerto Rico following Elon Musk's announcement of discontinuing the Model S and X, which could attract more consumers and enhance market share.
See More
Peter Thiel: Courage is Key to Innovation
- Innovation Bottleneck Analysis: Peter Thiel argues that the real bottleneck in innovation is not intelligence but courage, as many can identify opportunities but lack the bravery to pursue ideas that contradict conventional wisdom, thereby limiting potential breakthroughs.
- Entrepreneurship Philosophy: In a 2015 speech, Thiel emphasized that entrepreneurship should not follow formulas, as each breakthrough company is unique; imitating successful figures like Zuckerberg or Gates overlooks the essence of innovation, which is to create something fundamentally new.
- Importance of Contrarian Thinking: Thiel noted that progress comes from finding unpopular truths and organizing teams around them, a principle he considers one of the best filters for hiring, highlighting the significance of courage in building companies.
- Industry Resonance: Many industry leaders echo Thiel's sentiment, emphasizing that courage is more important than intelligence, indicating that the ability to challenge conventional thinking is a key driver of innovation and success in a rapidly changing business environment.
See More
Google Workers Demand End to Ties with ICE and CBP Amid Violence
- Employee Coalition Statement: Over 900 Google workers signed an open letter condemning the violence by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), urging the company to disclose its dealings with these agencies and divest from them, highlighting a strong concern for the company's ethical responsibilities.
- Condemnation of Violence: The letter cites recent fatal actions by ICE against Keith Porter, Renee Good, and Alex Pretti, with employees expressing shock at Google's role in these incidents and asserting that the company plays a significant part in perpetuating surveillance and violence, reflecting deep dissatisfaction with corporate policies.
- Call for Safety Measures: Employees demand that Google implement urgent measures to protect worker safety, including flexible work-from-home policies and immigration support, emphasizing that employee safety and well-being should be prioritized in the current political climate, showcasing strong expectations for corporate governance.
- Increasing Industry Pressure: The release of this open letter coincides with mounting pressure on tech CEOs to publicly oppose ICE, indicating that employees seek to leverage collective action to drive the company towards ethical and policy changes.
See More
Google Employees Condemn Partnerships with ICE
- Employee Collective Statement: Over 900 Google employees have signed an open letter condemning the actions of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), urging the company to disclose its dealings and divest from these agencies, highlighting the employees' concern for corporate ethical responsibilities.
- Outrage Over Violence: The letter cites recent violent incidents involving ICE, with employees expressing shock at Google's role in these events, asserting that the company is complicit in fostering surveillance and violence, which underscores the significant impact of corporate actions on societal issues.
- Controversial Technical Support: Google Cloud is accused of aiding CBP's surveillance efforts and powering Palantir's ImmigrationOS, prompting employees to call for an end to partnerships with these agencies to safeguard employee welfare and uphold ethical standards in technology use.
- Internal Q&A and Safety Measures: Employees demand an emergency internal Q&A to discuss contracts with the Department of Homeland Security and military, alongside the implementation of flexible work-from-home policies and immigration support to protect workers from ICE threats, reflecting a strong emphasis on corporate governance and employee well-being.
See More
