Opendoor's Stock Decline Amid Market Weakness
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 29 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OPEN?
Source: Coinmarketcap
Opendoor Technologies Inc's stock fell by 9.24% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA, reflecting broader market trends with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.61% and the S&P 500 down 1.04%.
The company's stock has been under pressure due to significant revenue declines, with projections indicating an 18% drop in revenue for 2025. Despite the appointment of a new CEO and potential future growth, analysts remain cautious about the company's immediate prospects, contributing to the stock's decline amid overall market weakness.
Investors are advised to monitor the company's performance closely, especially in light of the ongoing challenges in the housing market and the broader economic environment, which may impact Opendoor's recovery trajectory.
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Analyst Views on OPEN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPEN stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.330
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
Current: 4.330
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
About OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. By leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, the Company is engaged in building a technology platform for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers a digital, on-demand experience. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, List with Opendoor and Opendoor Marketplace. Sell to Opendoor enables sellers to utilize its core product offering to sell their home directly to it, and it resells the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repair coordination, overlapping mortgages, and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. Its capital-light marketplace offering connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers, facilitating transactions without Opendoor taking ownership of the home. Its listing product is available in nearly all Opendoor markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Opendoor Q4 2025 Earnings Forecast Analysis
- Quarterly Revenue Expectations: Opendoor is projected to report Q4 revenues of $594.02 million based on seven analyst estimates, which represents a nearly 45% decline from $1.1 billion in the same period last year, reflecting challenges in a high-interest-rate environment and a cooled housing market.
- Loss Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect a loss per share of $0.11, an improvement from the $0.16 loss per share reported in the same quarter last year, indicating progress in cost management and operational efficiency despite ongoing market difficulties.
- Leadership Changes: In December 2025, Opendoor appointed Lucas Matheson as President and Christy Schwartz as CFO, aiming to accelerate growth with a new leadership team; Matheson brings extensive experience from Coinbase and Shopify, which could enhance strategic direction.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Retail chatter around Opendoor stock surged 336% on Stocktwits within 24 hours, with sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating investor optimism ahead of earnings, although some users still predict disappointing results.
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- Digital Growth Drivers: Strong pricing strategies and digital momentum are seen as key factors driving performance growth, while the advertising segment may also support gross margin improvements, showcasing Walmart's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
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- Labor Market Data: Economists forecast that initial jobless claims for the week ending February 14 will reach 225,000, slightly down from the previous week, providing important insights into labor market health that could influence investor sentiment regarding economic outlook.
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Opendoor Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Opendoor Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.09 and revenue forecast at $594.02 million, reflecting a 45% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Opendoor has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Market Reaction: Real estate tech stocks have surged amid Trump's housing relief initiatives, drawing investor attention to Opendoor's stock performance, which is viewed with cautious optimism regarding its future outlook.
- Investment Activity: SRx Health's recent investment in Opendoor's common stock signals market confidence in its long-term growth potential, despite current profitability pressures.
See More
Lennar's Stake in Opendoor Signals Confidence in Housing Market
- Significant Holdings: Lennar holds approximately 18.8 million shares and several series of tradable warrants in Opendoor, indicating a substantial bet on the stock and confidence in the digital, instant-offer home sales model.
- Positive Market Reaction: The support from Lennar, a major industry player, is interpreted by the market as reducing the risk of Lennar exiting its position, which naturally boosts Opendoor's share price and reflects investor optimism regarding housing demand.
- Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to report earnings on Thursday, with Wall Street expecting a loss of about 10 cents per share on quarterly revenue near $595 million; any signs of narrowing losses or stronger builder-channel growth could extend the stock's rally.
- Mixed Technical Signals: While Opendoor's stock is trading 12.4% below its 20-day SMA, it is 0.2% above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mix of short-term weakness and long-term bullish potential, reflecting market uncertainty about its near-term direction.
See More
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- Earnings Calendar: This week, several retail, energy, and tech giants are set to report earnings, with investors particularly focused on Medtronic, Energy Transfer, and HIVE, while Carvana's Q4 results are due after Wednesday's close.
- Carvana Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Carvana to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $5.26 billion, with strong year-over-year growth in retail units and gross profit per unit, although investor concerns linger over a recent short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities.
- Walmart Earnings Focus: Walmart is expected to report earnings on Thursday, with estimates of $0.72 per share and revenue of $190.24 billion, as investors will closely monitor the growth of high-margin segments and commentary on consumer health.
- Opendoor Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to release its Q4 results after Thursday's close, with investors looking for updates on its turnaround plans and progress towards profitability by 2026, particularly regarding improvements in gross margins and the success of its AI-driven “capital-light” platform.
See More
Next Week's Market Focus: Walmart Earnings
- Walmart Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate Walmart will report its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, with net sales expected to rise approximately 4% and operating income potentially increasing by 11%, further solidifying its status as a trillion-dollar company.
- Consumer Health Insights: Investors will closely monitor Walmart's commentary on consumer health and its 2026 financial guidance to assess future market trends and corporate strategy.
- FOMC Meeting Minutes Release: The minutes from the January FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday, providing insights into policymakers' views on the path of interest rates, especially after holding rates steady at the start of the year, which has generated significant market interest.
- Personal Consumption Expenditures Data: On Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will be released, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, and the market will be keen to see if it confirms that inflation is steadily cooling or prompts the Fed to maintain a cautious stance.
See More
Opendoor Q4 2025 Earnings Forecast Analysis
- Quarterly Revenue Expectations: Opendoor is projected to report Q4 revenues of $594.02 million based on seven analyst estimates, which represents a nearly 45% decline from $1.1 billion in the same period last year, reflecting challenges in a high-interest-rate environment and a cooled housing market.
- Loss Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect a loss per share of $0.11, an improvement from the $0.16 loss per share reported in the same quarter last year, indicating progress in cost management and operational efficiency despite ongoing market difficulties.
- Leadership Changes: In December 2025, Opendoor appointed Lucas Matheson as President and Christy Schwartz as CFO, aiming to accelerate growth with a new leadership team; Matheson brings extensive experience from Coinbase and Shopify, which could enhance strategic direction.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Retail chatter around Opendoor stock surged 336% on Stocktwits within 24 hours, with sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating investor optimism ahead of earnings, although some users still predict disappointing results.
See More
Walmart Earnings Preview and Market Insights
- Walmart Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate that Walmart's fourth-quarter net sales will rise approximately 4%, with operating income potentially climbing as much as 11%, indicating a strong holiday performance that will further solidify its market dominance.
- Digital Growth Drivers: Strong pricing strategies and digital momentum are seen as key factors driving performance growth, while the advertising segment may also support gross margin improvements, showcasing Walmart's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
- Klarna Earnings Focus: Klarna is set to release its fourth-quarter and first annual report, with analysts expecting volume growth around 21% and revenue gains near 25%, which will be a crucial indicator of its ability to sustain growth amid intensifying competition in the payments market.
- Labor Market Data: Economists forecast that initial jobless claims for the week ending February 14 will reach 225,000, slightly down from the previous week, providing important insights into labor market health that could influence investor sentiment regarding economic outlook.
See More
Opendoor Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Opendoor Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.09 and revenue forecast at $594.02 million, reflecting a 45% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Opendoor has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Market Reaction: Real estate tech stocks have surged amid Trump's housing relief initiatives, drawing investor attention to Opendoor's stock performance, which is viewed with cautious optimism regarding its future outlook.
- Investment Activity: SRx Health's recent investment in Opendoor's common stock signals market confidence in its long-term growth potential, despite current profitability pressures.
See More
Lennar's Stake in Opendoor Signals Confidence in Housing Market
- Significant Holdings: Lennar holds approximately 18.8 million shares and several series of tradable warrants in Opendoor, indicating a substantial bet on the stock and confidence in the digital, instant-offer home sales model.
- Positive Market Reaction: The support from Lennar, a major industry player, is interpreted by the market as reducing the risk of Lennar exiting its position, which naturally boosts Opendoor's share price and reflects investor optimism regarding housing demand.
- Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to report earnings on Thursday, with Wall Street expecting a loss of about 10 cents per share on quarterly revenue near $595 million; any signs of narrowing losses or stronger builder-channel growth could extend the stock's rally.
- Mixed Technical Signals: While Opendoor's stock is trading 12.4% below its 20-day SMA, it is 0.2% above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mix of short-term weakness and long-term bullish potential, reflecting market uncertainty about its near-term direction.
See More
Retail Giants Earnings Season Nears Conclusion
- Earnings Calendar: This week, several retail, energy, and tech giants are set to report earnings, with investors particularly focused on Medtronic, Energy Transfer, and HIVE, while Carvana's Q4 results are due after Wednesday's close.
- Carvana Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Carvana to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $5.26 billion, with strong year-over-year growth in retail units and gross profit per unit, although investor concerns linger over a recent short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities.
- Walmart Earnings Focus: Walmart is expected to report earnings on Thursday, with estimates of $0.72 per share and revenue of $190.24 billion, as investors will closely monitor the growth of high-margin segments and commentary on consumer health.
- Opendoor Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to release its Q4 results after Thursday's close, with investors looking for updates on its turnaround plans and progress towards profitability by 2026, particularly regarding improvements in gross margins and the success of its AI-driven “capital-light” platform.
See More
Next Week's Market Focus: Walmart Earnings
- Walmart Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate Walmart will report its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, with net sales expected to rise approximately 4% and operating income potentially increasing by 11%, further solidifying its status as a trillion-dollar company.
- Consumer Health Insights: Investors will closely monitor Walmart's commentary on consumer health and its 2026 financial guidance to assess future market trends and corporate strategy.
- FOMC Meeting Minutes Release: The minutes from the January FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday, providing insights into policymakers' views on the path of interest rates, especially after holding rates steady at the start of the year, which has generated significant market interest.
- Personal Consumption Expenditures Data: On Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data will be released, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, and the market will be keen to see if it confirms that inflation is steadily cooling or prompts the Fed to maintain a cautious stance.
See More
