Natera Inc stock falls amid market gains
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 13 2024
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Should l Buy NTRA?
Source: Benzinga
Natera Inc's stock price decreased by 5.04% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA, indicating a bearish trend despite the overall market's positive performance.
The decline in Natera's stock is attributed to sector rotation, as the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 indices showed gains of 0.16% and 0.08%, respectively. This suggests that while the broader market is performing well, Natera is experiencing a pullback, possibly due to investor reallocations towards other sectors.
This movement may raise concerns among investors about Natera's short-term performance, especially as the company navigates through a competitive landscape in the biotech sector.
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Analyst Views on NTRA
Wall Street analysts forecast NTRA stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 196.110
Low
205.00
Averages
262.92
High
300.00
Current: 196.110
Low
205.00
Averages
262.92
High
300.00
About NTRA
Natera, Inc. provides cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and genetic testing, dedicated to oncology, women’s health, and organ health. The Company's cfDNA technology platform combines novel molecular biology techniques with bioinformatics software and artificial intelligence. It has leveraged its platform to develop non-invasive prenatal test on the market (Panorama), the first tumor-specific assay for truly individualized cancer care (Signatera), best-in-class rejection assessment for kidney transplantation (Prospera) and others. In the women’s health space, it develops and commercializes non- or minimally- invasive tests to evaluate risk for, and thereby enable early detection of, a range of genetic conditions, such as Down syndrome. In oncology, it is focused on detecting molecular residual disease and recurrence monitoring in solid tumors, among others. In organ health, it offers tests to assess kidney, heart, and lung transplant rejection as well as genetic testing for chronic kidney disease.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Ongoing Royalty Arrangement: The court's ruling establishes a 30% ongoing royalty on certain post-injunction sales, a decision that not only protects Natera's revenue stream but also provides a stable financial outlook for future sales.
- Pre-Injunction Revenue Unchanged: The jury maintained an effective royalty of 20.5% on pre-injunction revenues, indicating Natera's strong position in the patent dispute and ensuring the company's competitiveness in the market.
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- Court Decision Impact: The U.S. District Court in Delaware ruled on April 6, 2026, that Natera will receive a 30% ongoing royalty on post-injunction revenues from infringing MRD-related product sales, demonstrating strong judicial support for Natera's patents.
- Patent Validity Confirmation: The jury upheld the validity of all three asserted MRD patents, ensuring damages related to Invitae's MRD products, which further solidifies Natera's innovative position in the precision medicine sector.
- Ongoing Revenue Potential: This ruling not only confirms a 30% ongoing royalty on post-injunction revenues but also maintains the effective royalty of 20.5% on pre-injunction revenues, indicating stable revenue growth prospects for Natera.
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- ctDNA Decision Support: A study involving 465 MSI-H metastatic colorectal cancer patients revealed that approximately 40% experienced early ctDNA clearance post-immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment, with Signatera negativity correlating with a 96% three-year overall survival rate, underscoring the technology's significance in cancer treatment.
- Platform Expansion: Natera's tissue-free MRD platform demonstrated strong correlations between ctDNA levels and Signatera quantitative levels across various cancers, with the LatitudeTM assay launched in 2025 and plans for expansion into additional histologies later this year, enhancing its competitive edge.
- Early Cancer Detection: Natera's blood-based screening test showed a sensitivity of 22.5% and specificity of 91.5% for detecting advanced precancerous lesions, covering all histologic subtypes, indicating its potential to redefine early cancer intervention standards.
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- Study Publication: Natera announced that its Signatera study has been published in Clinical Cancer Research, marking the company's ongoing innovation and development in cancer detection.
- Clinical Impact: The publication of this study may enhance the application potential of Signatera in cancer monitoring, thereby strengthening Natera's market position in the biotechnology industry.
- Scientific Recognition: By being published in a reputable journal, Natera's research has gained recognition in the academic community, further validating the effectiveness and reliability of its technology.
- Future Outlook: The release of this study provides Natera with opportunities to expand its market, particularly in the fields of personalized medicine and cancer treatment monitoring.
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