MoffettNathanson Downgrades Flutter Entertainment to Neutral
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FLUT?
Flutter Entertainment PLC's stock rose by 5.01% and crossed above its 5-day SMA during regular trading.
MoffettNathanson downgraded Flutter's rating from Buy to Neutral, citing regulatory uncertainty in the U.S. prediction market and ongoing legal pressures affecting the sports betting industry. This downgrade comes amid a challenging environment for Flutter, which has seen its stock price decline over 30% since the start of the year.
The downgrade reflects concerns about the lack of regulatory clarity and the potential impact on Flutter's future performance, despite the recent price increase.
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Analyst Views on FLUT
Wall Street analysts forecast FLUT stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
23 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 111.570
Low
228.00
Averages
296.77
High
381.46
Current: 111.570
Low
228.00
Averages
296.77
High
381.46
About FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc is an online sports betting and iGaming operator. Its segments include the United States (U.S.), United Kingdom and Ireland (UKI), Australia and International. The U.S. segment offers sports betting, casino, DFS and horse racing wagering products to players across various states in the United States, mainly online but with sports betting services also provided through retail outlets and certain online products in the province of Ontario in Canada. The UKI segment offers sports betting (sportsbook), iGaming products and other products through its Sky Betting & Gaming, Paddy Power, Betfair and tombola brands. Its Australia segment offers online sports betting products through its Sportsbet brand. The International segment includes its operations in 100 global markets and offers sports betting, casino, poker, rummy and lottery, mainly online. This segment includes Sisal, PokerStars, Snai, Betfair International, Adjarabet, MaxBet, Betnacional, and other brands.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Profitability Improvement: The company has achieved profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis, and as incremental revenue growth occurs, the bottom line is expected to be significantly impacted, especially with its adtech business poised to become a crucial segment of overall operations.
- Acquisition Impact: Genius announced a $900 million acquisition of sports media company Legend, which is expected to boost adjusted EBITDA from $190 million to $320 million and increase operating margin from 23% to 30%, greatly enhancing the company's profitability.
- Future Earnings Outlook: Analysts forecast earnings per share to reach $0.28 by 2027 and $0.60 by 2028, and with the stock currently trading near $4.50, there is substantial rebound potential for Genius Sports, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.
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- Acquisition Impact: The acquisition is expected to boost Genius Sports' adjusted EBITDA from $190 million to $320 million and increase operating margins from 23% to 30%, significantly enhancing financial performance.
- Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings per share to reach $0.28 in 2027 and $0.60 in 2028, indicating strong growth potential, particularly with the stock currently trading near $4.50.
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- Regulatory Uncertainty: The U.S. prediction market is in a rapidly evolving yet unsettled regulatory environment, with the CFTC moving towards a formal framework that includes a March 12 advance notice of proposed rulemaking and staff advisory, while also withdrawing an earlier proposal that could have tightened limits on sports and politics-related contracts.
- Increased Market Pressure: State regulators and litigants are aggressively challenging the industry, particularly where contracts overlap with gambling or sports betting, resulting in a patchwork of federal oversight, active rulemaking, and ongoing state-level legal pressures that complicate the market landscape.
- Weak Stock Performance: Both DraftKings and Flutter have seen their stock prices decline by over 30% since the beginning of the year, as trading volumes in prediction markets continue to exceed expectations during major sporting events, indicating market concerns about future developments.
See More
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- Chip Sector Boost: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, highlighting strong AI demand, which propelled chipmakers' stock prices, particularly benefiting major suppliers to Nvidia and Apple, further enhancing market optimism.
- Oil Price Impact: Despite the stock market gains, crude oil prices surged over 3%, raising concerns about the Middle East situation and limiting the market's upward momentum, illustrating the potential impact of energy prices on the overall economy.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, exceeding expectations and indicating labor market strength, but unexpected declines in manufacturing production reflect economic uncertainty, which could influence future monetary policy.
See More
US Stocks Dip Slightly as Chipmakers Weigh on Market
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.15%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 0.21%, indicating a slight market pullback after reaching new highs, particularly pressured by weakness in chipmakers.
- Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 11,000 to 207,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the expected 213,000; additionally, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook unexpectedly rose by 8.6 to a 15-month high of 26.7, reflecting potential economic recovery.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 1% as the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz enters its fourth day, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, impacting future energy market stability.
- Earnings Season: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, the earnings growth is only 3%, the lowest in two years, indicating a cautious market outlook on profit growth.
See More
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- Chipmaker Rebound: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, reflecting strong AI demand, which led to a rebound in chipmakers, with ON Semiconductor up over 10% and AMD up over 5%, indicating renewed market confidence in tech stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, below the expected 213,000, suggesting a strong labor market; however, manufacturing production unexpectedly declined by 0.1%, highlighting the unevenness of economic recovery, which could influence future policy decisions.
- Oil Price Surge Impact: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% due to escalating tensions between Iran and the US, potentially exacerbating global oil and fuel shortages, which negatively affects airline and cruise line profitability, leading to declines in related stocks.
- Earnings Season Begins: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, raising concerns about the profitability of non-tech stocks and potentially impacting investor confidence.
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