Leidos Reports Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations Amid Revenue Decline
Leidos Holdings Inc. shares fell 4.04% as the stock hit a 20-day low amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.90% and the S&P 500 down 0.53%.
The company reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.76, exceeding expectations by $0.15, despite a revenue decline of 4% year-over-year to $4.2 billion, primarily due to external challenges such as a government shutdown. Leidos achieved strong order growth with net bookings of $5.6 billion in Q4, indicating robust demand across various sectors. The company also provided FY26 guidance, projecting revenues between $17.5 billion and $17.9 billion, reflecting confidence in sustained growth.
Despite the revenue decline, the earnings beat showcases effective cost management and strong market demand, positioning Leidos favorably for future growth as it continues to navigate challenges in the defense sector.
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- Earnings Release Announcement: Leidos Holdings is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on February 17, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $2.61, an increase from $2.37 in the same period last year, indicating sustained improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts estimate that Leidos will report quarterly revenue of $4.31 billion, slightly down from $4.37 billion last year, yet still reflecting the company's stable performance in the market.
- Dividend Declaration: On February 13, Leidos announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.43 per share, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Stock Performance: Leidos shares gained 2.8% to close at $176.30 last Friday, reflecting market optimism regarding the upcoming earnings report and the company's growth potential.

- Revenue and Profit Growth: Leidos reported fiscal year 2025 revenues of $17.17 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year, with Q4 revenues at $4.21 billion, down 4% due to government shutdown impacts, yet net income rose to $1.46 billion, reflecting a 17% increase, showcasing enhanced profitability.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: The company generated $495 million in net cash from operating activities in Q4, the highest in its history, while free cash flow for the year grew by 26% to $1.63 billion, achieving a cash flow conversion rate of 104%, providing robust funding for future investments.
- Strategic Acquisition Plans: Leidos is set to acquire power design firm Entrust for $2.4 billion, which will broaden its utility client base and enhance innovation capabilities in power delivery, with the transaction expected to close in the first half of fiscal 2026.
- Positive Future Outlook: For fiscal year 2026, Leidos projects revenues between $17.5 billion and $17.9 billion, with non-GAAP diluted EPS expected to range from $12.05 to $12.45, indicating strong growth potential in national security and digital modernization sectors.
- Earnings Beat: Leidos reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.76, exceeding expectations by $0.15, indicating strong profitability despite a revenue decline, which reflects effective cost management.
- Revenue Decline Factors: Q4 revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4% year-over-year, primarily due to an extra work week in FY2024 and a six-week government shutdown in FY2025, highlighting external challenges impacting performance.
- Strong Order Growth: The company achieved net bookings of $5.6 billion in Q4 with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3, and $17.5 billion for the year with a ratio of 1.0, demonstrating robust demand across customer segments, particularly in integrated air defense and cybersecurity.
- FY26 Guidance: Leidos has set FY2026 revenue guidance between $17.5 billion and $17.9 billion, with non-GAAP diluted EPS projected between $12.05 and $12.45, reflecting confidence in sustained growth driven by strong market demand.

- Market Overview: Stock futures experienced a decline on Tuesday.
- Investor Behavior: Investors are continuing to sell off tech stocks.
- Trend Continuation: The selloff in tech stocks is part of a recent trend.
- Market Sentiment: Overall investor sentiment appears to be negative.

- Market Performance: Equities experienced a decline last week, with all three major indexes falling by at least 1.2%.
- Economic Indicators: This downturn occurred despite a better-than-expected jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a relatively stable inflation report.
- Increased Market Volatility: Last week, stocks in software, real estate, financial services, and logistics faced selling pressure due to concerns over AI-related disruptions, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.2% and a weekly loss of 2.1%, indicating market sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
- Ongoing AI Impact: As AI tools' potential effects intensify across various sectors, software stocks like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) have seen significant declines, reflecting the market's heightened vigilance regarding AI disruptions, necessitating close monitoring of future industry developments.








