American Airlines Group Inc's stock fell 3.23% as it hit a 20-day low amid significant disruptions caused by a winter storm, leading to massive flight cancellations and operational challenges.
The airline reported a negative revenue impact of approximately $325 million in the fourth quarter due to the government shutdown, highlighting the significant influence of external factors on financial performance. Additionally, over 15,000 flights were canceled due to the winter storm, complicating recovery efforts and affecting customer satisfaction. Despite these challenges, American Airlines projects a revenue increase of 7% to 10% in the first quarter of 2026, indicating a strategic shift to capitalize on strong demand from high-spending customers.
The implications of these disruptions are significant, as American Airlines must navigate intense competition from rivals like Delta Air Lines and United Airlines while managing operational recovery from the storm. The company's proactive measures to waive cancellation fees and reposition aircraft demonstrate its commitment to customer service during this challenging period.
Wall Street analysts forecast AAL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAL is 17.44 USD with a low forecast of 10.00 USD and a high forecast of 21.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AAL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAL is 17.44 USD with a low forecast of 10.00 USD and a high forecast of 21.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 13.440
Low
10.00
Averages
17.44
High
21.00
Current: 13.440
Low
10.00
Averages
17.44
High
21.00
BMO Capital
Market Perform
maintain
$17
2026-01-28
New
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$17
AI Analysis
2026-01-28
New
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on American Airlines to $17 from $16.75 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The firm cites the company's above-consensus estimates and support for debt reduction, also noting that should January demand momentum continue, the management sees a path to the upper end of the outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$20 -> $22
2026-01-28
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$20 -> $22
2026-01-28
New
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on American Airlines to $22 from $20 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the earnings report.
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Susquehanna
Christopher Stathoulopoulos
Neutral -> Positive
upgrade
$14 -> $20
2026-01-09
Reason
Susquehanna
Christopher Stathoulopoulos
Price Target
$14 -> $20
2026-01-09
upgrade
Neutral -> Positive
Reason
Susquehanna analyst Christopher Stathoulopoulos upgraded American Airlines to Positive from Neutral with a price target of $20, up from $14. The firm sees a "constructive fundamental backdrop" for the airlines into fiscal 2026. Select carriers will benefit from brand loyalty and diverse revenue streams, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Susquehanna believes American's revenue initiatives and network tactics will help support margin improvement into fiscal 20027.
Susquehanna
Neutral -> Positive
upgrade
$14 -> $20
2026-01-09
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$14 -> $20
2026-01-09
upgrade
Neutral -> Positive
Reason
Susquehanna upgraded American Airlines to Positive from Neutral with a price target of $20, up from $14.
About AAL
American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. Its primary business activity is the operation of a major network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. and partner gateways, including in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo, among others. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle. Its cargo division provides a wide range of freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe. It operates approximately 977 mainline aircraft supported by its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers, which together operate an additional 585 regional aircraft. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
