Vertiv Stock Surges 22.85% Despite Q4 Earnings Miss
- Earnings Performance: Vertiv reported Q4 earnings of $1.14 per share and revenue of $2.88 billion, falling short of Wall Street's expectations of $1.16 and $2.89 billion, yet still reflecting a robust 23% year-over-year growth in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Optimistic Guidance: The company set its sales target for the current quarter between $2.5 billion and $2.7 billion, with the midpoint exceeding analysts' average estimate of $2.56 billion, indicating strong market confidence in future growth.
- Improved Profitability: Adjusted earnings per share are projected between $0.95 and $1.01, significantly above the analyst forecast of $0.96, showcasing the company's strong profitability driven by demand for AI data center infrastructure.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite missing Q4 targets, Vertiv's stock surged 22.4%, reflecting investor optimism about the company's outlook and the anticipated continued benefits from strong AI infrastructure demand.
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- Stock Surge: Vertiv Holdings' shares surged 20% this week, hitting a 52-week high of $255.54 by Friday morning, more than doubling in value over the past year, reflecting strong market confidence in its performance.
- Earnings Surprise: The fourth-quarter results released on February 11 revealed a 23% year-over-year revenue increase and a 27% rise in operating profit, exceeding market expectations and highlighting robust demand in the data center sector.
- Order Growth: In Q4, Vertiv's organic orders skyrocketed by 252% year-over-year, with backlog exceeding $15 billion, indicating the company's dominant position in power management and thermal cooling systems is driving rapid business growth.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management anticipates organic sales growth of 27% to 29% by 2026, with net sales projected between $13.25 billion and $13.75 billion and adjusted earnings of $6 per share, all significantly above analyst estimates, demonstrating strong confidence in future performance.
- Magna International Surge: Magna International (NYSE:MGA) shares rose 26.81% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and issuing FY26 adjusted EPS guidance above estimates, indicating strong profitability and market confidence.
- Generac Holdings Jump: Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC) saw a 22.25% increase this week, driven by robust fourth-quarter financial results, while Barclays analyst Christine Cho maintained an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $186 to $213, reflecting optimism about future growth.
- BorgWarner's Strong Performance: BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA) shares gained 20.15% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announcing a master supply agreement with TurboCell, further solidifying its position in the automotive parts market.
- Smurfit WestRock's Recovery: Smurfit WestRock (NYSE:SW) experienced a 16.81% rise this week after releasing fourth-quarter results, with multiple analysts raising their price forecasts, demonstrating market confidence in its future performance.
- Significant Performance Growth: Vertiv Holdings reported a 28% increase in sales for Q4 2025, reaching $10.2 billion, with operating profit rising 35% to $668 million, indicating strong performance in the data center and AI infrastructure sectors.
- Substantial Free Cash Flow Increase: The company saw a 66% rise in free cash flow to $1.8 billion in 2025, enhancing financial flexibility and providing ample funding for future investments.
- Strong Backlog Growth: Vertiv's backlog surged 109% from $7.8 billion at the end of 2024 to $15 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting ongoing demand for its products despite market concerns about the AI sector's growth prospects.
- Optimistic Future Growth Outlook: Management forecasts organic net sales growth of 27% to 29% for 2026, supported by a $15 billion backlog, indicating that investors still have opportunities to profit from this AI infrastructure company.
- Significant Performance Growth: Vertiv reported a 28% increase in sales for Q4 2025, reaching $10.2 billion, with operating profit rising 35% to $668 million, demonstrating strong performance in the rapidly growing AI data center market.
- Substantial Free Cash Flow Increase: The company’s free cash flow surged by 66% to $1.8 billion in 2025, providing ample funding support for future investments and expansion initiatives.
- Record Backlog: Vertiv's backlog skyrocketed by 109% from $7.8 billion at the end of 2024 to $15 billion by the end of 2025, indicating sustained strong demand for its infrastructure products and boosting investor confidence.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management forecasts organic net sales growth of 27% to 29% for 2026, and this positive outlook is bolstered by a robust backlog, highlighting the company's ongoing growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Significant Performance Growth: Vertiv reported a 28% increase in sales for Q4 2025, reaching $10.2 billion, with operating profit rising 35% to $668 million, showcasing the company's strong position in the rapidly growing AI data center market.
- Substantial Free Cash Flow Increase: The free cash flow surged 66% to $1.8 billion in 2025, indicating effective capital management and investment returns, which enhances the company's capacity for future investments.
- Record Backlog: Vertiv's backlog skyrocketed 109% from $7.8 billion at the end of 2024 to $15 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting sustained strong demand for its infrastructure products and boosting investor confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management forecasts organic net sales growth of 27% to 29% for 2026, supported by a robust backlog, indicating that investors still have opportunities to profit in the AI infrastructure sector.
Market Overview: Stocks are under pressure despite cooler-than-expected inflation readings, with investors focusing on valuations, particularly in the artificial intelligence sector, as earnings season reveals strong numbers from major players.
AI Impact on Jobs: Concerns are growing about the impact of AI on the job market, leading to a circular debate among investors regarding future interest rate cuts and stock valuations.
Earnings Season Insights: Major companies in the AI trade are posting strong earnings, which may influence stock prices positively, while the overall outlook for stocks remains bullish.
Investment Opportunities: Analysts highlight specific stocks, including those in the insurance and energy sectors, as potential buys, while cautioning investors about the risks associated with tech stocks and the broader market's direction.








