Twilio Reports Strong Q4 Results, Guidance Exceeds Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy TWLO?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Performance: Twilio reported an adjusted earnings per share of $1.33 for Q4, with sales reaching $1.37 billion, a 14.3% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.23 and $1.32 billion, indicating robust market performance.
- Stable Organic Growth: The company achieved a 12% organic revenue growth rate during the quarter, reflecting effective responsiveness to customer demand and demonstrating its ability to maintain strong growth in the competitive communications software market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: For fiscal 2026, Twilio expects sales between $5.65 billion and $5.7 billion, with year-over-year growth projected at 11.5% to 12.5%, indicating strong revenue growth potential and market confidence moving forward.
- Increased Management Confidence: CEO Khozema Shipchandler noted that 2025 was one of Twilio's most successful execution years, fundamentally transforming the company's financial profile and innovation velocity, suggesting a pivotal role in the infrastructure layer during the AI era.
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Analyst Views on TWLO
Wall Street analysts forecast TWLO stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 110.410
Low
100.00
Averages
146.28
High
185.00
Current: 110.410
Low
100.00
Averages
146.28
High
185.00
About TWLO
Twilio Inc. provides a customer engagement platform to build direct, personalized relationships with their customers everywhere in the world. Its platform provides developers with tools to build, scale, and deploy real-time communications within software applications. Its segments include Twilio Communications (Communications) and Twilio Segment (Segment). The Communications segment consists of a variety of application programming interfaces (APIs) and software solutions to optimize communications between its customers and their end users. Its key offerings in its Communications segment include Messaging, Voice, Email (includes Marketing Campaigns), Flex and User Authentication and Identity. Its Twilio Flex is a digital engagement center for the entire customer journey. Twilio Segment is a customer data platform that provides businesses with the tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer’s journey into a profile.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company’s guidance for fiscal 2026 exceeded expectations, projecting about 12% revenue growth at the midpoint, with adjusted operating income and free cash flow around $1.05 billion, suggesting a robust growth trajectory.
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See More
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- Strong Performance: Twilio reported Q4 revenue of $1.37 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase that exceeded consensus estimates by $50 million, indicating ongoing growth potential in its cloud-based customer engagement platform.
- Profitability Metrics: The non-GAAP EPS of $1.33 surpassed expectations by $0.10, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 18.7%, showcasing effective management in cost control and profitability.
- Mixed Analyst Reactions: RBC Capital maintained an Underperform rating with a $100 price target, citing underwhelming 2026 guidance, while Wells Fargo issued an Overweight rating with a $147 target, highlighting acceleration in voice revenue growth.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Despite a strong Q4 performance, analysts expressed caution regarding future organic growth, suggesting that a sub-10% growth outlook may not be sufficient to excite investors, reflecting the prevailing sentiment in the software market.
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- Stock Performance Excellence: Since May 2022, ANET's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 by 362%, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth potential, with CEO Ullal emphasizing the company's central role in mission-critical network transactions.
- Surge in Deferred Revenue: The company reported deferred revenue of $5.37 billion, indicating a growing backlog, and investors will closely monitor the conversion of multistage projects to ensure cash flow supports higher innovation spending.
- Positive Market Reaction: In pre-market trading, ANET's stock surged over 10%, demonstrating a positive market response to its robust performance and growth outlook, further solidifying its leadership position in the AI networking sector.
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- Extreme Price Volatility: Analysts point out that the extreme price action in software stocks has led to unrealistic expectations regarding AI disruption, which may prompt a rotation back into higher-quality companies, thereby improving portfolio performance.
- AI Profitability Gains: Companies in the S&P 500 that have adopted AI have seen net margins expand by approximately 2 to 3 percentage points more than their peers, indicating that AI technology is already delivering productivity gains and reflecting that corporate adoption is enhancing profitability.
- ETF Performance Decline: The State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) is down 20.58% year-to-date, illustrating the overall pessimistic sentiment towards the software sector, despite some companies potentially benefiting from AI infrastructure demand.
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