SMH ETF Update: Quick Daily Summary – 10/24/25
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 24 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MCHP?
Source: TipRanks
SMH ETF Performance: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has gained 1.5% over the past week and is up 42% year-to-date, driven by strong performance in the AI sector and Intel's positive Q3 earnings report.
Analyst Ratings: SMH is rated as a Moderate Buy by analysts, with an average price target of $375.99, indicating a potential upside of 9%.
Top Holdings: The ETF's top five holdings with the highest upside potential include STMicroelectronics, Universal Display, Nvidia, Synopsys, and Microchip Technologies, while Intel and others show the greatest downside potential.
Market Outlook: SMH's ETF Smart Score is Eight, suggesting a strong likelihood of outperforming the market, highlighting its attractiveness for investors.
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Analyst Views on MCHP
Wall Street analysts forecast MCHP stock price to fall
18 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 78.920
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
Current: 78.920
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
About MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated is a provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. The Company’s semiconductor products segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets mixed-signal microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed-signal, timing, wired and wireless connectivity devices, and memory products. The Company's technology licensing segment includes sales and licensing of the Company's intellectual property. Its products include PIC64 Microprocessors, FPGAs, myMicrochip, MPLAB X IDE, Analog, and Microcontrollers. Its development tools include Atmel START and MPLAB Discover. Its manufacturing operations include wafer fabrication, wafer probe, assembly, and test. The Company’s solutions serve customers across the industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications and computing markets. The Company markets and sells its products worldwide primarily through a network of direct sales personnel and distributors.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
US Stock Market Volatility as Tech Stocks Weigh Down Indices
- Tech Stock Pressure: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.52% and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 1.08% due to weakness in the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, indicating investor concerns that could dampen market confidence.
- Cisco Profit Warning: Cisco Systems forecasted that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, leading to a more than 10% drop in its stock price, which may prompt investors to revise down their future performance expectations, negatively impacting overall market sentiment.
- Employment Data Impact: Initial US jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, reflecting a slightly weaker labor market, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and lower market expectations for future rate cuts.
- Chip Demand Recovery: Sandisk's stock rose over 7% following Kioxia's forecast of strong demand for NAND memory chips, indicating growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector, which may create new investment opportunities for related companies.
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Mixed U.S. Stock Market Performance with Tech Stocks Under Pressure
- Strong Chip Demand: Sandisk's stock surged over 8% following Kioxia's forecast of robust demand for NAND memory chips, indicating strong global demand for AI infrastructure, which boosts market confidence in tech stocks.
- Tech Stock Pressure: Cisco Systems' stock fell more than 9% as it warned that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, limiting overall gains in tech stocks and reflecting cost pressures faced by the industry.
- Labor Market Data: U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market than the expected 223,000, which may affect market expectations for future economic growth.
- Corporate Earnings Optimism: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the market and demonstrating corporate resilience.
See More
US Stock Market Close and Employment Data Analysis
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 130,000, surpassing expectations of 65,000, indicating labor market stability, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, which is likely to have a positive impact on economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the robust employment report, the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut next month dropped from 23% to 6%, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 3 basis points to 4.17%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future monetary policy.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed unchanged, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.13%, highlighting a contrast between strong tech stock performance and weakness in software stocks.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Over 78% of the 335 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, indicating that sustained corporate profitability will support long-term stock market gains.
See More
US Stocks Mixed as Software Sector Declines
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating labor market stability that could influence Fed policy decisions.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the stronger-than-expected jobs report, the 10-year T-note yield increased by 3 basis points to 4.17%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 8%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Corporate Earnings Performance: So far, 78% of the 319 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience that may support the stock market.
- Market Volatility Overview: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.19%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.10%, indicating a mixed market performance amid declines in software stocks.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility Driven by Nonfarm Payroll Data
- Strong Nonfarm Payroll Data: The US added 130,000 jobs in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating a stable labor market that could influence Fed rate decisions.
- Rising Bond Yields: Following the robust payroll report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 4 basis points to 4.18%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 6%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Mixed Corporate Earnings: Vertiv Holdings saw its stock rise over 23% after forecasting full-year net sales of $13.25 billion to $13.75 billion, significantly above consensus, while Mattel's stock fell over 27% due to weaker-than-expected 2026 adjusted EPS forecasts, highlighting market reactions to varying corporate performances.
- Market Focus on Economic Data: This week, the market will focus on corporate earnings and economic indicators, with initial jobless claims expected to drop by 7,000 to 224,000, and January CPI projected to rise by 2.5% year-over-year, which will further influence investor decisions.
See More
Microchip Technology Launches $800M Convertible Notes Offering
- Upsized Offering: Microchip Technology announced an upsized private offering of convertible senior notes from $600M to $800M, indicating strong market demand and expected net proceeds of approximately $785.1M, which will enhance the company's capital structure.
- Conversion Rate: The initial conversion rate is set at 9.5993 shares of common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes, which, while not bearing regular interest, provides investors with potential equity appreciation opportunities, likely attracting more institutional buyers.
- Transaction Arrangements: Microchip entered into privately negotiated capped call transactions with initial purchasers and other financial institutions, which is expected to provide additional financial flexibility and help manage future equity dilution risks.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Microchip's shares dipped 0.16% in pre-market trading to $74.29, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding its financing strategy and potentially impacting investor expectations for future growth.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility as Tech Stocks Weigh Down Indices
- Tech Stock Pressure: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.52% and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 1.08% due to weakness in the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, indicating investor concerns that could dampen market confidence.
- Cisco Profit Warning: Cisco Systems forecasted that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, leading to a more than 10% drop in its stock price, which may prompt investors to revise down their future performance expectations, negatively impacting overall market sentiment.
- Employment Data Impact: Initial US jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, reflecting a slightly weaker labor market, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and lower market expectations for future rate cuts.
- Chip Demand Recovery: Sandisk's stock rose over 7% following Kioxia's forecast of strong demand for NAND memory chips, indicating growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector, which may create new investment opportunities for related companies.
See More
Mixed U.S. Stock Market Performance with Tech Stocks Under Pressure
- Strong Chip Demand: Sandisk's stock surged over 8% following Kioxia's forecast of robust demand for NAND memory chips, indicating strong global demand for AI infrastructure, which boosts market confidence in tech stocks.
- Tech Stock Pressure: Cisco Systems' stock fell more than 9% as it warned that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, limiting overall gains in tech stocks and reflecting cost pressures faced by the industry.
- Labor Market Data: U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market than the expected 223,000, which may affect market expectations for future economic growth.
- Corporate Earnings Optimism: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the market and demonstrating corporate resilience.
See More
US Stock Market Close and Employment Data Analysis
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 130,000, surpassing expectations of 65,000, indicating labor market stability, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, which is likely to have a positive impact on economic recovery.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the robust employment report, the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut next month dropped from 23% to 6%, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 3 basis points to 4.17%, reflecting a cautious outlook on future monetary policy.
- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 closed unchanged, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.13%, highlighting a contrast between strong tech stock performance and weakness in software stocks.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: Over 78% of the 335 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, indicating that sustained corporate profitability will support long-term stock market gains.
See More
US Stocks Mixed as Software Sector Declines
- Strong Employment Data: US nonfarm payrolls rose by 130,000 in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating labor market stability that could influence Fed policy decisions.
- Interest Rate Expectations Shift: Following the stronger-than-expected jobs report, the 10-year T-note yield increased by 3 basis points to 4.17%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 8%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Corporate Earnings Performance: So far, 78% of the 319 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience that may support the stock market.
- Market Volatility Overview: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.19%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.10%, indicating a mixed market performance amid declines in software stocks.
See More
US Stock Market Volatility Driven by Nonfarm Payroll Data
- Strong Nonfarm Payroll Data: The US added 130,000 jobs in January, exceeding expectations of 65,000, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell by 0.1% to 4.3%, indicating a stable labor market that could influence Fed rate decisions.
- Rising Bond Yields: Following the robust payroll report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 4 basis points to 4.18%, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut next month dropping from 23% to 6%, reflecting investor caution regarding future monetary policy.
- Mixed Corporate Earnings: Vertiv Holdings saw its stock rise over 23% after forecasting full-year net sales of $13.25 billion to $13.75 billion, significantly above consensus, while Mattel's stock fell over 27% due to weaker-than-expected 2026 adjusted EPS forecasts, highlighting market reactions to varying corporate performances.
- Market Focus on Economic Data: This week, the market will focus on corporate earnings and economic indicators, with initial jobless claims expected to drop by 7,000 to 224,000, and January CPI projected to rise by 2.5% year-over-year, which will further influence investor decisions.
See More
Microchip Technology Launches $800M Convertible Notes Offering
- Upsized Offering: Microchip Technology announced an upsized private offering of convertible senior notes from $600M to $800M, indicating strong market demand and expected net proceeds of approximately $785.1M, which will enhance the company's capital structure.
- Conversion Rate: The initial conversion rate is set at 9.5993 shares of common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes, which, while not bearing regular interest, provides investors with potential equity appreciation opportunities, likely attracting more institutional buyers.
- Transaction Arrangements: Microchip entered into privately negotiated capped call transactions with initial purchasers and other financial institutions, which is expected to provide additional financial flexibility and help manage future equity dilution risks.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Microchip's shares dipped 0.16% in pre-market trading to $74.29, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding its financing strategy and potentially impacting investor expectations for future growth.
See More
