Serenity Capital Increases Stake in Full Truck Alliance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 12 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Stake Increase: On May 12, 2026, Serenity Capital Management disclosed the purchase of 1,880,010 shares of Full Truck Alliance, with an estimated transaction value of $17.88 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's future.
- Portfolio Adjustment: Following this acquisition, Full Truck Alliance now represents 7.39% of Serenity Capital's reportable U.S. equity assets, highlighting its increasing significance within the fund's concentrated portfolio.
- Market Performance: As of May 11, 2026, Full Truck Alliance shares were priced at $8.79, reflecting a 29.1% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 53.39 percentage points, raising concerns about its growth outlook.
- Growth Prospects: Full Truck Alliance anticipates a 30% surge in transaction commission revenue this year, as order volumes steadily rise and the company expands its core freight-matching business, showcasing its growth potential in China's digital freight market.
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Analyst Views on YMM
Wall Street analysts forecast YMM stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.850
Low
8.00
Averages
11.96
High
14.00
Current: 8.850
Low
8.00
Averages
11.96
High
14.00
About YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd is a holding company primarily engaged in the operation of the digital freight platform FTA. The Company is primarily engaged in the provision of freight matching services. The services primarily include freight listing service, freight brokerage service, as well as online transaction service, which digitalizes the shipping transaction process. The Company is also engaged in the provision of value-added services, including cash credit solutions and working capital loans, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection (ETC) services, as well as energy services. The Company primarily operates its businesses in the domestic market.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Cederberg Capital Fully Exits Full Truck Alliance
- Shareholder Exit: Cederberg Capital sold all 1,828,900 shares of Full Truck Alliance in Q1, resulting in a net position value decline of approximately $20 million quarter-over-quarter, indicating reduced confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Reaction: Full Truck Alliance's shares fell over 20% in Q1, despite a 5.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $413 million, reflecting broader skepticism surrounding Chinese tech stocks.
- Business Performance: Although profits declined year-over-year, transaction service revenue surged 33% to $202 million, and operating cash flow skyrocketed to $226 million from $47 million a year earlier, demonstrating the underlying health of its core business.
- Investor Sentiment: Management's guidance suggests modest growth ahead, and while user numbers and freight volumes continue to rise, investors should carefully consider the disconnect between market sentiment and fundamentals.
See More
Cederberg Capital Fully Exits Full Truck Alliance
- Shareholder Exit: Cederberg Capital sold all 1,828,900 shares of Full Truck Alliance in Q1, resulting in a $20 million decline in net position value, reflecting broader skepticism surrounding Chinese tech stocks.
- Market Performance: As of last Friday, Full Truck Alliance shares were priced at $8.82, down 24% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's approximately 28% gain, indicating market concerns about its future.
- Financial Health: Despite the stock price decline, Full Truck Alliance reported a 5.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $413 million in Q1, with fulfilled orders rising 14% to 55 million, suggesting a relatively healthy business foundation.
- Cash Flow Status: Operating cash flow surged to $226 million from $47 million a year earlier, with total cash and investments at approximately $4.7 billion at quarter-end, demonstrating strong cash management capabilities.
See More
Kontiki Capital Management Sells Entire Stake in Full Truck Alliance
- Stake Sale Overview: On May 15, 2026, Kontiki Capital Management disclosed the sale of its entire stake in Full Truck Alliance, with an estimated transaction value of $193.84 million based on average closing prices for Q1 2026, indicating a strategic repositioning in its investment approach.
- Portfolio Shift: Post-transaction, Kontiki's top three holdings include NYSE:NU at $469.10 million (32.9% of AUM), NYSE:CPNG at $223.90 million (15.7% of AUM), and NASDAQ:HTHT at $177.79 million (12.5% of AUM), showcasing a diversified investment strategy.
- Performance Metrics: Despite Full Truck Alliance's Q1 revenue rising 5.5% year-over-year to $412.9 million and a 14.3% increase in fulfilled orders to 55 million, net income fell 22% to $144.1 million, highlighting significant profitability challenges.
- Future Outlook: Management's guidance suggests muted growth for Q2, prompting investors to consider whether Full Truck Alliance can leverage its expanding network for faster earnings growth, especially given its recent stock underperformance.
See More
Kontiki Capital Management Exits Full Truck Alliance Stake
- Share Sale Scale: On May 15, 2026, Kontiki Capital Management sold 20,380,969 shares of Full Truck Alliance, with an estimated transaction value of $193.84 million, indicating a significant market adjustment.
- Asset Management Decline: This transaction resulted in a 13.6% reduction in Kontiki's 13F reportable assets, with a total position value decline of $218.69 million, highlighting the impact of market fluctuations on its portfolio.
- Operational Performance Analysis: Despite Full Truck Alliance's first-quarter revenue rising 5.5% year-over-year to $412.9 million and fulfilled orders increasing 14.3% to 55 million, net income fell 22% year-over-year to $144.1 million, indicating challenges in profitability.
- Future Growth Potential: Full Truck Alliance continues to invest in AI-driven logistics tools, and while current earnings growth is slow, its strong balance sheet and capital return strategy may present opportunities for long-term investors.
See More
YMM Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
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Full Truck Alliance Q1 2026 Financial Highlights
- Revenue Growth: Total net revenues for Q1 2026 reached RMB 2,848.4 million (approximately USD 412.9 million), marking a 5.5% increase from RMB 2,699.9 million in Q1 2025, indicating stable performance despite short-term challenges.
- Net Income Decline: The net income for Q1 2026 was RMB 994.1 million (approximately USD 144.1 million), down from RMB 1,278.9 million in the same period of 2025, reflecting pressures from cost control and market competition.
- Order Fulfillment Increase: Fulfilled orders in Q1 2026 reached 55 million, a 14.3% increase from 48.2 million in Q1 2025, demonstrating positive growth in customer demand and market share.
- Future Revenue Guidance: The company expects total net revenues for Q2 2026 to be between RMB 3.07 billion and RMB 3.17 billion, down from RMB 3.24 billion in the same period of 2025, but anticipates a year-over-year growth rate of 7.1% to 11.7% for net revenues excluding freight brokerage services, indicating long-term growth potential.
See More
Cederberg Capital Fully Exits Full Truck Alliance
- Shareholder Exit: Cederberg Capital sold all 1,828,900 shares of Full Truck Alliance in Q1, resulting in a net position value decline of approximately $20 million quarter-over-quarter, indicating reduced confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Reaction: Full Truck Alliance's shares fell over 20% in Q1, despite a 5.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $413 million, reflecting broader skepticism surrounding Chinese tech stocks.
- Business Performance: Although profits declined year-over-year, transaction service revenue surged 33% to $202 million, and operating cash flow skyrocketed to $226 million from $47 million a year earlier, demonstrating the underlying health of its core business.
- Investor Sentiment: Management's guidance suggests modest growth ahead, and while user numbers and freight volumes continue to rise, investors should carefully consider the disconnect between market sentiment and fundamentals.
See More
Cederberg Capital Fully Exits Full Truck Alliance
- Shareholder Exit: Cederberg Capital sold all 1,828,900 shares of Full Truck Alliance in Q1, resulting in a $20 million decline in net position value, reflecting broader skepticism surrounding Chinese tech stocks.
- Market Performance: As of last Friday, Full Truck Alliance shares were priced at $8.82, down 24% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's approximately 28% gain, indicating market concerns about its future.
- Financial Health: Despite the stock price decline, Full Truck Alliance reported a 5.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $413 million in Q1, with fulfilled orders rising 14% to 55 million, suggesting a relatively healthy business foundation.
- Cash Flow Status: Operating cash flow surged to $226 million from $47 million a year earlier, with total cash and investments at approximately $4.7 billion at quarter-end, demonstrating strong cash management capabilities.
See More
Kontiki Capital Management Sells Entire Stake in Full Truck Alliance
- Stake Sale Overview: On May 15, 2026, Kontiki Capital Management disclosed the sale of its entire stake in Full Truck Alliance, with an estimated transaction value of $193.84 million based on average closing prices for Q1 2026, indicating a strategic repositioning in its investment approach.
- Portfolio Shift: Post-transaction, Kontiki's top three holdings include NYSE:NU at $469.10 million (32.9% of AUM), NYSE:CPNG at $223.90 million (15.7% of AUM), and NASDAQ:HTHT at $177.79 million (12.5% of AUM), showcasing a diversified investment strategy.
- Performance Metrics: Despite Full Truck Alliance's Q1 revenue rising 5.5% year-over-year to $412.9 million and a 14.3% increase in fulfilled orders to 55 million, net income fell 22% to $144.1 million, highlighting significant profitability challenges.
- Future Outlook: Management's guidance suggests muted growth for Q2, prompting investors to consider whether Full Truck Alliance can leverage its expanding network for faster earnings growth, especially given its recent stock underperformance.
See More
Kontiki Capital Management Exits Full Truck Alliance Stake
- Share Sale Scale: On May 15, 2026, Kontiki Capital Management sold 20,380,969 shares of Full Truck Alliance, with an estimated transaction value of $193.84 million, indicating a significant market adjustment.
- Asset Management Decline: This transaction resulted in a 13.6% reduction in Kontiki's 13F reportable assets, with a total position value decline of $218.69 million, highlighting the impact of market fluctuations on its portfolio.
- Operational Performance Analysis: Despite Full Truck Alliance's first-quarter revenue rising 5.5% year-over-year to $412.9 million and fulfilled orders increasing 14.3% to 55 million, net income fell 22% year-over-year to $144.1 million, indicating challenges in profitability.
- Future Growth Potential: Full Truck Alliance continues to invest in AI-driven logistics tools, and while current earnings growth is slow, its strong balance sheet and capital return strategy may present opportunities for long-term investors.
See More
YMM Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
See More
Full Truck Alliance Q1 2026 Financial Highlights
- Revenue Growth: Total net revenues for Q1 2026 reached RMB 2,848.4 million (approximately USD 412.9 million), marking a 5.5% increase from RMB 2,699.9 million in Q1 2025, indicating stable performance despite short-term challenges.
- Net Income Decline: The net income for Q1 2026 was RMB 994.1 million (approximately USD 144.1 million), down from RMB 1,278.9 million in the same period of 2025, reflecting pressures from cost control and market competition.
- Order Fulfillment Increase: Fulfilled orders in Q1 2026 reached 55 million, a 14.3% increase from 48.2 million in Q1 2025, demonstrating positive growth in customer demand and market share.
- Future Revenue Guidance: The company expects total net revenues for Q2 2026 to be between RMB 3.07 billion and RMB 3.17 billion, down from RMB 3.24 billion in the same period of 2025, but anticipates a year-over-year growth rate of 7.1% to 11.7% for net revenues excluding freight brokerage services, indicating long-term growth potential.
See More
