Regulatory Battle Intensifies Over Prediction Markets
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 22 2026
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Growth Momentum: Despite legal uncertainties, Kalshi's valuation has surged from $11 billion in December to $22 billion, indicating sustained investor confidence in prediction markets and reflecting the sector's potential profitability.
- Regulatory Dispute: Legal battles between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and 17 states over the jurisdiction of prediction markets are underway, with states arguing these markets resemble gambling, which could impact future market structures and operational models.
- Corporate Investment Strategies: CEOs of Flutter Entertainment and DraftKings have both expressed intentions to continue investing in prediction market platforms despite regulatory risks, demonstrating their confidence in long-term market growth, which may drive further industry development.
- Diverse Market Opportunities: CME Group's CEO noted that, aside from sports event contracts, other event contracts related to economics, politics, and financial predictions are experiencing less scrutiny, with estimates suggesting that by 2030, sports contracts will only account for 30% of trading volumes.
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Analyst Views on FLUT
Wall Street analysts forecast FLUT stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
23 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 95.580
Low
228.00
Averages
296.77
High
381.46
Current: 95.580
Low
228.00
Averages
296.77
High
381.46
About FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc is an online sports betting and iGaming operator. Its segments include the United States (U.S.), United Kingdom and Ireland (UKI), Australia and International. The U.S. segment offers sports betting, casino, DFS and horse racing wagering products to players across various states in the United States, mainly online but with sports betting services also provided through retail outlets and certain online products in the province of Ontario in Canada. The UKI segment offers sports betting (sportsbook), iGaming products and other products through its Sky Betting & Gaming, Paddy Power, Betfair and tombola brands. Its Australia segment offers online sports betting products through its Sportsbet brand. The International segment includes its operations in 100 global markets and offers sports betting, casino, poker, rummy and lottery, mainly online. This segment includes Sisal, PokerStars, Snai, Betfair International, Adjarabet, MaxBet, Betnacional, and other brands.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Star Coach Lineup: FanDuel's 'Coaches Corner' series brings together three of the most influential coaches in U.S. men's soccer history—Gregg Berhalter, Bruce Arena, and Bob Bradley—offering unique tactical analysis and insider storytelling that is expected to attract a large audience of soccer fans.
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- Multi-Platform Broadcast: The show will be available on multiple platforms including Tubi, FanDuel's YouTube channel, and FanDuel TV Extra, ensuring a broad reach to diverse audiences and further solidifying FanDuel's market position in sports entertainment.
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- Market Growth Momentum: Despite legal uncertainties, Kalshi's valuation has surged from $11 billion in December to $22 billion, indicating sustained investor confidence in prediction markets and reflecting the sector's potential profitability.
- Regulatory Dispute: Legal battles between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and 17 states over the jurisdiction of prediction markets are underway, with states arguing these markets resemble gambling, which could impact future market structures and operational models.
- Corporate Investment Strategies: CEOs of Flutter Entertainment and DraftKings have both expressed intentions to continue investing in prediction market platforms despite regulatory risks, demonstrating their confidence in long-term market growth, which may drive further industry development.
- Diverse Market Opportunities: CME Group's CEO noted that, aside from sports event contracts, other event contracts related to economics, politics, and financial predictions are experiencing less scrutiny, with estimates suggesting that by 2030, sports contracts will only account for 30% of trading volumes.
See More
- Regulatory Recommendations: The NFL submitted a letter to the CFTC suggesting the prohibition of easily manipulable event contracts, such as whether a kicker will miss a field goal, aimed at preserving the integrity of sporting events and preventing fraudulent behavior.
- Age Requirement Increase: The NFL proposed raising the age requirement for participation in sports prediction markets to 21 years, aligning it with typical online sports betting age limits, thereby protecting younger consumers from potential risks.
- Certification Process Reform: The NFL called for the CFTC to establish a unique certification process for contracts related to individual player performance, replacing the current self-certification mechanism to enhance market transparency and reduce manipulation risks.
- Margin Trading Ban: The NFL recommended banning margin trading to prevent increased addictive behavior and loss risks associated with borrowed trading, emphasizing the necessity of protecting participants in these markets.
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- Significant Stock Decline: Flutter Entertainment's stock has plummeted 56% year-to-date, closing at $93 on May 11, marking a nearly four-year low, which reflects market concerns about its future performance.
- Weak Revenue Growth: Despite a 17% revenue increase in Q1, FanDuel's average monthly players fell by 3%, indicating a decline in user engagement that could impact future revenue potential.
- Management Changes Impact: The departure of FanDuel CEO Amy Howe in Q1, replaced by Christian Genetski, introduces uncertainty in strategic direction, exacerbating market concerns about the company.
- Cost Optimization Plan: Flutter aims to achieve $300 million in savings by the end of 2027 through eliminating underperforming assets and optimizing cost structures, intending to enhance profitability and address competitive pressures.
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