Our Calculations Show IJR Could Reach $133
ETF Analysis: The iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (IJR) has an implied analyst target price of $132.87, indicating a potential upside of 11.88% from its current trading price of $118.76.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings with significant upside include MarineMax Inc (HZO), Protagonist Therapeutics Inc (PTGX), and Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO), each showing potential increases based on analyst targets.
Analyst Target Comparison: HZO's average target is $31.83 (13.93% upside), PTGX's is $69.18 (12.62% upside), and VECO's target is $27.00 (12.50% upside) compared to their recent share prices.
Investor Considerations: Questions arise regarding the validity of these analyst targets, suggesting that investors should conduct further research to determine if the targets are justified or overly optimistic.
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Analyst Views on VECO
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- Disappointing Performance: Veeco Instruments reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.14, missing expectations by $0.09, indicating pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $158.3 million in revenue for Q1, a 5.4% year-over-year decrease, falling short of the $158.869 million consensus, reflecting weak demand that could pose challenges for future performance.
- Cautious Outlook: For Q2 2026, Veeco expects revenue in the range of $170 million to $190 million, below the consensus of $176.89 million, highlighting uncertainty in market demand.
- Unchanged Annual Guidance: Despite challenges, Veeco maintains its revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026 at $740 million to $800 million, demonstrating confidence in long-term growth, although short-term pressures may persist.
- Financial Performance Decline: Veeco Instruments reported a net loss of $0.3 million in Q1 2026, translating to a loss of $0.01 per share, a stark contrast to last year's net income of $11.9 million or $0.20 per share, indicating a significant drop in profitability.
- Revenue and Cost Pressures: Revenue fell to $158.3 million from $167.3 million year-over-year, primarily due to rising operating costs, including increased R&D spending and merger-related expenses, which pushed total operating expenses up to $58.5 million from $54.3 million, further squeezing profit margins.
- Adjusted Net Income Decrease: Adjusted net income decreased to $8.9 million or $0.14 per share, down from $22.2 million or $0.37 per share last year, reflecting heightened pressures on the company amid competitive market conditions.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Veeco anticipates Q2 2026 revenue between $170 million and $190 million, with adjusted earnings per share projected between $0.20 and $0.32, while maintaining full-year revenue expectations of $740 million to $800 million, though market uncertainties may impact performance.
- Significant Order Volume: Veeco Instruments has received multiple orders for Lumina® MOCVD systems and Spector® IBD optical coating systems from a global leader in optical communication laser manufacturing, indicating its strong market position in InP laser manufacturing.
- Market Growth Potential: According to LightCounting, sales of optical transceivers and related products exceeded $23 billion in 2025, marking a 50% increase from 2024, highlighting the rapid growth trend in the data communications industry.
- Outstanding Technical Advantages: Veeco's MOCVD TurboDisc® technology ensures excellent uniformity and low defectivity for the Lumina system over long campaigns, enhancing production efficiency and product quality, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Clear Strategic Positioning: This order not only strengthens Veeco's critical role in the InP laser manufacturing ecosystem but also lays the groundwork for future technological innovations and market expansion, aligning with the demand for high-performance optical transceivers from global hyperscale data centers.
- Investor Event Schedule: Veeco Instruments is set to participate in the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on March 3, 2026, at The Palace Hotel in San Francisco, showcasing its innovative capabilities in semiconductor equipment.
- Conference Agenda: Following this, Veeco will attend the Stifel 2026 NYC Technology 1x1 Conference on March 10, 2026, at The Conrad New York Downtown Hotel, aiming to engage deeply with investors about the company's strategies and market outlook.
- Company Background: Veeco Instruments is an innovative manufacturer of semiconductor process equipment, with its ion beam, laser spike annealing, lithography, MOCVD, and single wafer etch & clean technologies playing a crucial role in the fabrication and packaging of advanced semiconductor devices, ensuring optimized performance and cost efficiency.
- Technological Edge: Veeco holds leading technology positions in the markets it serves, focusing on enhancing production efficiency and yield through efficient equipment design, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
- Performance Growth: Veeco reported Q4 2025 revenue of $165 million, with the semiconductor segment contributing 67%, indicating strong growth driven by demand from AI and high-performance computing, with 2026 revenue expected between $740 million and $800 million.
- Increased Backlog: The year-end backlog reached $555 million, a significant increase of $145 million year-over-year, reflecting a notable acceleration in order activity in the second half of 2025, signaling sustained revenue growth ahead.
- Merger Strategy: The all-stock merger agreement with Axcelis is anticipated to close in the second half of 2026, with management emphasizing that this move will create a leading semiconductor equipment company, enhancing R&D scale and market competitiveness.
- Margin Pressure: Although Q4 gross margin stood at 38%, management expects pressure from product mix changes and tariff impacts in 2026, yet aims to achieve a 45% gross margin target by the second half of 2026.
- Disappointing Earnings: Veeco Instruments reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.24, missing expectations by $0.02, with revenue of $165 million reflecting a 9.4% year-over-year decline, indicating pressure in market competitiveness.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company expects Q1 2026 revenue in the range of $150 million to $170 million, with GAAP EPS projected between -$0.03 and $0.07, reflecting uncertainty in market demand.
- Conservative Annual Guidance: For fiscal year 2026, Veeco anticipates revenue between $740 million and $800 million, with GAAP EPS expected between $0.83 and $1.17, and non-GAAP EPS between $1.50 and $1.85, demonstrating a cautious approach to future growth.
- Negative Market Reaction: Given the earnings report and future guidance falling short of market expectations, Veeco's stock price may face downward pressure, prompting investors to monitor the company's competitiveness and strategic responses in the semiconductor industry.








