Nvidia Reports 60% Adjusted Earnings Growth in Q3 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 04 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Significant Earnings Growth: Nvidia's adjusted earnings surged by 60% in Q3 2025, indicating robust performance in the AI infrastructure sector, with an expected annual growth rate of 67% through FY 2027, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Optimistic Market Targets: Wall Street analysts set a median target price of $250 per share for Nvidia, suggesting a 32% upside from the current price of $189, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Clear Competitive Advantage: Nvidia maintains a significant economic moat through its vertically integrated business model that combines GPUs, CPUs, and networking platforms, offering lower total cost of ownership despite competitors' cheaper custom AI accelerators, thus preserving its dominance in data center computing.
- Far-Reaching Industry Impact: Analysts note that Nvidia's AI technology plays a crucial role in driving industry advancements, with expectations that more tech giants will seek alternatives, although such efforts may only marginally weaken Nvidia's dominance in the short term.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 186.940
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 186.940
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Concentration Analysis: RBC Wealth Management's Rob Sluymer highlights that the concentration of mega-cap tech stocks has significantly increased over the past few years, leading to investors being overweight in these stocks, which have now declined about 7% year-to-date.
- Nvidia Earnings Preview: Nvidia is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 25, and Sluymer believes this will serve as a crucial market indicator; if the results fall short of expectations, it could trigger a larger correction in tech stocks.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As attention on tech stocks rises, Sluymer notes that some funds are rotating out of these high-valuation stocks into other sectors, a typical behavior in times of high market concentration.
- Future Market Outlook: Should Nvidia's earnings report disappoint, it may lead to a decline in market confidence in tech stocks, potentially resulting in a broader market correction that could impact overall investment strategies.
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- Sales Recovery Expectations: Before the ban, Nvidia projected $8 billion in sales from China for Q2 FY 2025; if sales return to similar levels, GPU sales could exceed $30 billion, presenting substantial growth potential.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's revenue will reach $326 billion for FY 2027, but given the surge in AI computing spending, actual revenue could hit $350 billion, further enhancing market confidence.
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- Market Concentration Analysis: RBC Wealth Management's Rob Sluymer highlights that the concentration of mega-cap tech stocks has significantly increased over the past few years, leading to investors being overweight in these stocks, which have now declined about 7% year-to-date.
- Nvidia Earnings Preview: Nvidia is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 25, and Sluymer believes this will serve as a crucial market indicator; if the results fall short of expectations, it could trigger a larger correction in tech stocks.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As attention on tech stocks rises, Sluymer notes that some funds are rotating out of these high-valuation stocks into other sectors, a typical behavior in times of high market concentration.
- Future Market Outlook: Should Nvidia's earnings report disappoint, it may lead to a decline in market confidence in tech stocks, potentially resulting in a broader market correction that could impact overall investment strategies.
See More
Nvidia Poised for Strong GPU Sales in China Again
- Massive Market Opportunity: Nvidia has negotiated a deal with the U.S. government to resume GPU sales to China, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating the Chinese market could generate up to $50 billion annually, significantly boosting the company's performance.
- Sales Recovery Expectations: Before the ban, Nvidia projected $8 billion in sales from China for Q2 FY 2025; if sales return to similar levels, GPU sales could exceed $30 billion, presenting substantial growth potential.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's revenue will reach $326 billion for FY 2027, but given the surge in AI computing spending, actual revenue could hit $350 billion, further enhancing market confidence.
- Strong Profitability: If Nvidia achieves $350 billion in revenue while maintaining a 56% profit margin, it could generate $196 billion in profits, and with a reasonable 40x earnings valuation, the stock price could rise to $322, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
See More
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- AI Platform Launch: Eli Lilly launched the TuneLab platform in September last year, allowing other drugmakers digital access to proprietary data on drug molecule performance, which saves significant time and money, enabling companies to focus on their best research projects.
- Major Investment Partnership: Eli Lilly partnered with Nvidia, committing $1 billion to build a supercomputer aimed at deepening disease understanding and advancing drug development, marking a significant step in the company's AI drug development efforts.
- Huge Market Potential: According to Straits Research, the AI-powered drug discovery industry is expected to grow at an annual rate of 30% through 2034, reaching over $20 billion, providing Eli Lilly with substantial future revenue opportunities.
- Increased Collaboration Opportunities: By owning a powerful drug development platform, Eli Lilly can not only optimize its own research but also establish partnerships with smaller pharmaceutical companies, helping them bring new drugs to market and enhancing its competitive edge.
See More
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- Strategic Partnership: PG&E Corporation announced a strategic partnership with SPAN on February 5, 2026, to deploy the SPAN Edge solution, aimed at reducing the complexity and cost of residential electrification, which is expected to significantly enhance customer electrification experiences.
- Market Opportunity: PG&E estimates that over 600,000 homes within its service area may require electrification upgrades over the next decade, highlighting a substantial market opportunity that will drive the company's pivotal role in the electrification process.
- Cost Efficiency: The newly launched PanelBoost program pairs SPAN Edge with next-generation metering infrastructure, with estimated installation costs for customers ranging from $500 to $2,000, showcasing PG&E's focus on capital efficiency and customer affordability compared to traditional upgrades costing $6,000 to $40,000.
- Grid Modernization: PG&E is committed to grid reliability, clean energy integration, and infrastructure modernization to meet the increasing load demands in California due to the electrification of buildings and transportation, ensuring the achievement of long-term electrification goals.
See More
Clifford Asness Holds Largest Stake in NVIDIA
- Portfolio Focus: Clifford Asness holds a 2.62% stake in NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), valued at approximately $4.09 billion, indicating strong confidence in the company that may attract more investor interest.
- Analyst Optimism: As of February 13, 2026, over 90% of analysts covering NVIDIA are bullish, with a consensus price target of $250, implying over 36% upside potential, reflecting strong market confidence in its future performance.
- Earnings Beat Expected: UBS projects NVIDIA's fiscal fourth-quarter revenue to reach $67.5 billion, approximately $2.5 billion above guidance, showcasing robust market demand and supply chain advantages that could further boost the stock price.
- CEO Confidence Boost: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang stated on February 6, 2026, that AI capital spending is “appropriate” within a seven- to eight-year buildout, highlighting sustained demand for next-generation systems despite competitive pressures, laying a foundation for future growth.
See More
Apple to Open CarPlay to Third-Party AI Apps, Shifting Strategy
- Portfolio Dynamics: John Overdeck's portfolio positions Apple Inc. (AAPL) as the third-largest holding at 2.79% (approximately $1.39 billion), highlighting its significance among billionaire investors.
- CarPlay Strategic Shift: Apple plans to allow third-party voice-activated AI apps to utilize CarPlay starting February 6, 2026, marking a significant departure from its long-standing Siri-only policy, which is expected to enhance user experience and boost market competitiveness.
- Developer Support: While Siri will remain the default wake command, Apple anticipates rolling out developer support in the coming weeks, enabling automatic voice activation with the launch of third-party apps, thereby increasing the relevance of CarPlay in the evolving automotive software landscape.
- Product Launch Outlook: The upcoming iPhone 17e and iOS 26.4 beta, expected to feature an updated Siri by late February and a potential early March launch for M5 MacBook Pros, indicate Apple's ongoing innovation in the consumer electronics market.
See More
