Morgan Stanley Cautions About Increasing Risks in Software Lending
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 10 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CRWV?
Source: Barron's
S&P Software Index Decline: The S&P Software Index has experienced a significant decline of 22% this year due to the impact of AI.
Software Loan Price Stability: Despite the drop in the software index, the price of software loans has only decreased by approximately 3%.
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Analyst Views on CRWV
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWV stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 114.150
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
Current: 114.150
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
About CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. is a cloud infrastructure technology company. The Company offers the CoreWeave Cloud Platform, which consists of software and cloud services that deliver the automation and efficiency needed to manage complex artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Its CoreWeave Cloud Platform is an integrated solution that is purpose-built for running AI workloads such as model training and inference. Its solutions include infrastructure services, managed software services, and application software services. Its Infrastructure Services provide its customers with access to advanced graphics processing unit (GPU) and central processing unit (CPU) compute, highly performant networking, and storage. Its Managed Software Services include CKS, a flexible virtual private cloud and a bare metal service that runs kubernetes directly on high-performance servers. Its Application Software Services build on top of its infrastructure and managed software services, integrating additional tools.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
CoreWeave Achieves Top Performance in AI Inference Benchmarking
- Leading Inference Performance: CoreWeave demonstrated the highest output speed and best price-performance in independent inference benchmarking using Moonshot AI's Kimi K2.6, indicating a significant enhancement in its competitiveness within AI production environments.
- Full Stack Optimization Results: By optimizing hardware, inference runtime, and model configuration, CoreWeave achieved a speed of 205 tokens per second at a cost of $0.70 per million tokens, showcasing its technical depth and market advantage in AI inference.
- Diverse Service Offerings: CoreWeave provides various inference services, including serverless and dedicated inference, ensuring customers can flexibly choose solutions that fit their scale while reducing infrastructure management complexity and enhancing user experience.
- Industry Recognition: CoreWeave earned a top Platinum ranking in the SemiAnalysis ClusterMAX™ evaluation and set records in MLPerf® benchmarking, further solidifying its leadership position in the AI cloud services market and attracting more enterprise customers.
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Circle and CoreWeave IPOs Show Strong Performance
- Circle's Market Performance: Circle's stock has surged over fourfold from its IPO price of $31 to $132, reflecting strong demand and profitability in the stablecoin market, particularly for cross-border transactions and savings preservation.
- Yield Potential of Stablecoins: Circle supports its USD Coin with cash and U.S. Treasuries, with projected revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 26% and 32% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, despite regulatory challenges posed by the U.S. Clarity Act.
- CoreWeave's Successful Transformation: CoreWeave has shifted from Ethereum mining to AI computing, expanding its data centers from 3 in 2022 to 43 by 2025, with over 250,000 GPUs, and is expected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA grow at CAGRs of 97% and 101% from 2025 to 2028.
- Competitive Market Advantage: By installing Nvidia's top-tier data centers at scale, CoreWeave can process AI tasks 35 times faster and 80% cheaper, and while it currently relies heavily on Microsoft for revenue, new contracts with OpenAI and Meta will gradually reduce this dependency, enhancing its competitive position.
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Circle and CoreWeave IPOs Show Strong Performance
- Circle Profit Growth: Circle's USD Coin demand is rising, with expected revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 26% and 32% from 2025 to 2028, indicating strong potential in the stablecoin market.
- Market Demand Boost: By holding cash and U.S. Treasuries to back USD Coin issuance, Circle can mint more stablecoins as demand increases, thereby enhancing its reserve interest income and profitability.
- CoreWeave Data Center Expansion: CoreWeave expanded its data centers from 3 in 2022 to 43 by the end of 2025, with over 250,000 GPUs, enabling it to process AI tasks 35 times faster and 80% cheaper than larger cloud platforms, significantly enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts project CoreWeave's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 97% and 101% from 2025 to 2028, showcasing its immense potential in the rapidly expanding AI market.
See More
CoreWeave Stock Analysis Post-IPO Volatility
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's latest quarter saw revenue exceed $2 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, indicating strong market performance amid surging AI compute demand, although the stock price has not reflected this growth.
- Diversified Customer Base: Currently, 10 customers have pledged to spend at least $1 billion on CoreWeave services, demonstrating the company's successful expansion of its customer base, which reduces reliance on any single client and enhances business stability and sustainability.
- Increased Debt Risk: CoreWeave's reliance on high leverage for expansion has raised investor concerns regarding future spending and debt levels, particularly as the company forecasts capital expenditures to rise to $31 billion, which could impact stock performance.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite challenges, CoreWeave's backlog has approached $100 billion, indicating strong market demand, and S&P recently upgraded its credit outlook from stable to positive, reflecting market confidence in its future growth.
See More
CoreWeave's Stock Volatility Post-IPO
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's latest quarter saw revenue exceed $2 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, reflecting strong market performance amid surging AI compute demand, despite pressures from high capital expenditures.
- Diversified Customer Base: Currently, 10 customers have pledged to spend at least $1 billion on CoreWeave services, indicating successful expansion of its customer base, which reduces reliance on any single client and enhances business stability and growth potential.
- Increased Debt Risk: CoreWeave's reliance on high leverage for expansion raises concerns among investors regarding its future capital spending and debt management, even as S&P upgraded its credit outlook from stable to positive, potentially impacting stock performance.
- Strong Backlog: CoreWeave's backlog is nearing $100 billion, representing active contracts and future revenue sources, demonstrating robust market demand in the AI sector, despite significant short-term stock price fluctuations.
See More
Market Watch: Oil Prices, Tech Stocks, and Earnings
- Oil Prices and Refinery Output: U.S. refineries are processing an average of 16.3 million barrels of crude per day, significantly up from 13.5 million, which, while unsustainable, is boosting refinery margins amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, stabilizing the market.
- CoreWeave Price Target Raised: Barclays increased CoreWeave's price target from $106 to $120, noting strong first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations; however, light guidance for Q2 led to an 11% drop in shares, highlighting the tension between revenue growth and rising operating expenses.
- Strong Performance for Corning: Corning's stock rose 3.4% in premarket trading after Bank of America added it to its
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CoreWeave Achieves Top Performance in AI Inference Benchmarking
- Leading Inference Performance: CoreWeave demonstrated the highest output speed and best price-performance in independent inference benchmarking using Moonshot AI's Kimi K2.6, indicating a significant enhancement in its competitiveness within AI production environments.
- Full Stack Optimization Results: By optimizing hardware, inference runtime, and model configuration, CoreWeave achieved a speed of 205 tokens per second at a cost of $0.70 per million tokens, showcasing its technical depth and market advantage in AI inference.
- Diverse Service Offerings: CoreWeave provides various inference services, including serverless and dedicated inference, ensuring customers can flexibly choose solutions that fit their scale while reducing infrastructure management complexity and enhancing user experience.
- Industry Recognition: CoreWeave earned a top Platinum ranking in the SemiAnalysis ClusterMAX™ evaluation and set records in MLPerf® benchmarking, further solidifying its leadership position in the AI cloud services market and attracting more enterprise customers.
See More
Circle and CoreWeave IPOs Show Strong Performance
- Circle's Market Performance: Circle's stock has surged over fourfold from its IPO price of $31 to $132, reflecting strong demand and profitability in the stablecoin market, particularly for cross-border transactions and savings preservation.
- Yield Potential of Stablecoins: Circle supports its USD Coin with cash and U.S. Treasuries, with projected revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 26% and 32% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, despite regulatory challenges posed by the U.S. Clarity Act.
- CoreWeave's Successful Transformation: CoreWeave has shifted from Ethereum mining to AI computing, expanding its data centers from 3 in 2022 to 43 by 2025, with over 250,000 GPUs, and is expected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA grow at CAGRs of 97% and 101% from 2025 to 2028.
- Competitive Market Advantage: By installing Nvidia's top-tier data centers at scale, CoreWeave can process AI tasks 35 times faster and 80% cheaper, and while it currently relies heavily on Microsoft for revenue, new contracts with OpenAI and Meta will gradually reduce this dependency, enhancing its competitive position.
See More
Circle and CoreWeave IPOs Show Strong Performance
- Circle Profit Growth: Circle's USD Coin demand is rising, with expected revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates of 26% and 32% from 2025 to 2028, indicating strong potential in the stablecoin market.
- Market Demand Boost: By holding cash and U.S. Treasuries to back USD Coin issuance, Circle can mint more stablecoins as demand increases, thereby enhancing its reserve interest income and profitability.
- CoreWeave Data Center Expansion: CoreWeave expanded its data centers from 3 in 2022 to 43 by the end of 2025, with over 250,000 GPUs, enabling it to process AI tasks 35 times faster and 80% cheaper than larger cloud platforms, significantly enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts project CoreWeave's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 97% and 101% from 2025 to 2028, showcasing its immense potential in the rapidly expanding AI market.
See More
CoreWeave Stock Analysis Post-IPO Volatility
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's latest quarter saw revenue exceed $2 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, indicating strong market performance amid surging AI compute demand, although the stock price has not reflected this growth.
- Diversified Customer Base: Currently, 10 customers have pledged to spend at least $1 billion on CoreWeave services, demonstrating the company's successful expansion of its customer base, which reduces reliance on any single client and enhances business stability and sustainability.
- Increased Debt Risk: CoreWeave's reliance on high leverage for expansion has raised investor concerns regarding future spending and debt levels, particularly as the company forecasts capital expenditures to rise to $31 billion, which could impact stock performance.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite challenges, CoreWeave's backlog has approached $100 billion, indicating strong market demand, and S&P recently upgraded its credit outlook from stable to positive, reflecting market confidence in its future growth.
See More
CoreWeave's Stock Volatility Post-IPO
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's latest quarter saw revenue exceed $2 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, reflecting strong market performance amid surging AI compute demand, despite pressures from high capital expenditures.
- Diversified Customer Base: Currently, 10 customers have pledged to spend at least $1 billion on CoreWeave services, indicating successful expansion of its customer base, which reduces reliance on any single client and enhances business stability and growth potential.
- Increased Debt Risk: CoreWeave's reliance on high leverage for expansion raises concerns among investors regarding its future capital spending and debt management, even as S&P upgraded its credit outlook from stable to positive, potentially impacting stock performance.
- Strong Backlog: CoreWeave's backlog is nearing $100 billion, representing active contracts and future revenue sources, demonstrating robust market demand in the AI sector, despite significant short-term stock price fluctuations.
See More
Market Watch: Oil Prices, Tech Stocks, and Earnings
- Oil Prices and Refinery Output: U.S. refineries are processing an average of 16.3 million barrels of crude per day, significantly up from 13.5 million, which, while unsustainable, is boosting refinery margins amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, stabilizing the market.
- CoreWeave Price Target Raised: Barclays increased CoreWeave's price target from $106 to $120, noting strong first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations; however, light guidance for Q2 led to an 11% drop in shares, highlighting the tension between revenue growth and rising operating expenses.
- Strong Performance for Corning: Corning's stock rose 3.4% in premarket trading after Bank of America added it to its
See More
