Micron Projects $100 Billion HBM Market by 2028 Amid Ongoing Supply Constraints Until 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 17 2025
0mins
Source: SeekingAlpha
Management Performance: Micron Technology reported a strong start to fiscal Q1 2026, with record revenue, gross margin, and EPS exceeding guidance, driven by high demand and tight supply in the DRAM and NAND markets.
Market Outlook: The company anticipates significant growth in the HBM total addressable market, projecting it to reach $100 billion by 2028, two years earlier than previously expected, while also increasing fiscal 2026 CapEx to $20 billion.
Financial Results: Fiscal Q1 revenue reached $13.6 billion, marking a 21% sequential increase and a 57% year-over-year rise, with DRAM and NAND revenues also showing substantial growth.
Risks and Challenges: Despite strong performance, Micron faces ongoing supply constraints and challenges in meeting customer demand, with management acknowledging risks related to cleanroom space and potential tariffs impacting future operations.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MU?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MU
Wall Street analysts forecast MU stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
24 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 413.970
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
Current: 413.970
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
About MU
Micron Technology, Inc. provides memory and storage solutions. The Company delivers a portfolio of high-performance dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND, and NOR memory and storage products through its Micron and Crucial brands. The Company's products enable advancing in artificial intelligence (AI) and compute-intensive applications. Its segments include Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU), Mobile Business Unit (MBU), Embedded Business Unit (EBU), and Storage Business Unit (SBU). CNBU segment includes memory products and solutions sold into the data center, PC, graphics, and networking markets. MBU segment includes memory and storage products sold into the smartphone and other mobile-device markets. EBU segment includes memory and storage products and solutions sold into the intelligent edge through the automotive, industrial, and consumer embedded markets. SBU segment includes SSDs and component-level storage solutions sold into the data center, PC, and consumer markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Micron Technology Emerges as AI Market Leader
- Market Leadership: Micron Technology is focusing on memory hardware for AI by exiting the consumer PC market, with RAM prices expected to rise by 50% in Q1 2026, highlighting strong demand driven by AI.
- Significant Financial Growth: In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Micron's revenue surged 57% year-over-year to $13.6 billion, with 79% of that revenue coming from DRAM, indicating that AI demand is driving its primary growth.
- Massive Investment: Micron has broken ground on a $100 billion semiconductor factory in upstate New York, expected to create over 9,000 jobs and become the largest semiconductor factory in the U.S., further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Profitability: Micron boasts a gross margin of 56.8%, an operating margin of 32.5%, and a net margin of 28.15%, making it an attractive investment at a forward P/E ratio of 10.57 in the AI hardware market.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Hardware Stocks for the AI Revolution
- Data Center Infrastructure: Analyst Michael Del Monte recommends IESC and Vertiv as key investments in data center infrastructure, with IESC focusing on custom design of electrical and technology systems, while Vertiv provides integrated rack solutions and power management software, expected to benefit from rising AI demand.
- Memory and Bandwidth Bottlenecks: Kennedy Njagi highlights Micron Technology as crucial for AI training and inference workloads due to memory barriers limiting performance, and as supply tightens, Micron's market performance is set to significantly improve, making it a focal point for investors.
- Low-Risk Investment: Elizabeth Pramila views Apple's third-party strategy in AI hardware as reducing investment risks, particularly with its partnership with Alphabet for the Gemini rollout, indicating Apple's potential in AI adoption without the need for large capital expenditures.
- Long-Term Investment Opportunities: Analysts emphasize that true long-term investment opportunities lie with companies that not only manufacture AI hardware but also possess extensive delivery ecosystems, such as Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, which can drive growth in AI capabilities through their devices and cloud infrastructure.
See More
Micron Technology's Significant Growth Potential Ahead
- Surging Market Demand: RAM prices are expected to rise by 50% by the end of Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, directly boosting Micron Technology's revenue growth, particularly in light of the surging demand in the AI sector.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Micron reported $13.6 billion in revenue for Q1 of fiscal 2026, a 57% year-over-year increase, with DRAM accounting for 79% of that revenue, highlighting its strong growth potential in the AI memory market.
- Strategic Investment Initiatives: The $100 billion semiconductor factory being built in upstate New York will become the largest semiconductor facility in the U.S., further solidifying Micron's leadership position in the global memory market and addressing future memory shortages.
- Optimistic Stock Price Forecast: Based on its current P/E ratio of 39.31 and projected EPS for fiscal 2026, analysts predict Micron's stock price could exceed $1,200 by August 2026, indicating significant investment value in its shares.
See More
AI Infrastructure Investment Soars to $700 Billion
- Market Size Forecast: In 2023, five companies are projected to spend a staggering $700 billion on AI data centers, indicating robust growth potential in the AI infrastructure market, which is expected to reach $1.4 trillion by 2030, driving a surge in related investments.
- Nvidia's Market Dominance: With a 90% market share in graphics processing units (GPUs), Nvidia is poised to benefit significantly from the growth in AI infrastructure spending, further solidifying its leadership position thanks to its powerful CUDA software platform.
- Broadcom's Competitive Edge: As a major competitor to Nvidia, Broadcom is assisting customers in developing custom AI application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth through its networking products and the rise of Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), meeting increasing market demand.
- Opportunities for Micron and TSMC: Micron is set to benefit from the skyrocketing demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), leading to sustained revenue growth, while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), with its monopoly in advanced logic chip manufacturing, is expected to capitalize on AI infrastructure spending through price hikes and capacity expansion over the next four years.
See More
2026 Tech Stock Rotation and Investment Opportunities
- Tech Stock Rotation: The rotation out of technology stocks in 2026 has garnered attention, and despite market volatility, investors are presented with opportunities to acquire high-quality stocks at attractive valuations, potentially capitalizing on future gains.
- Long-Term Investment Confidence: Analysts express optimism about eight stocks that have experienced fluctuations, believing they still possess the ability to generate profits for shareholders in the long run, reflecting a strong market confidence.
- Amazon's Investment Potential: Among the stocks discussed, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is highlighted as a favorite investment choice, as its long-term growth prospects continue to attract investor interest despite facing challenges.
- Video Content Promotion: The video, published on January 10, 2026, aims to engage viewers to subscribe to the channel and learn more about investment opportunities, while also providing a special offer link to enhance viewer participation.
See More
Micron Technology: The Secret Winner of the AI Infrastructure Supercycle
- Surging Market Demand: Micron Technology is projected to achieve $76 billion in revenue for 2023, representing an 81% increase over the trailing twelve months, highlighting the strong demand for memory and storage driven by AI infrastructure, thereby solidifying its position in the semiconductor industry.
- Inventory Status: The company's management has disclosed that existing inventory is sold out, which, while beneficial for short-term performance, necessitates increased production capacity in the long run to meet the rising demand, reflecting the urgent need for high-bandwidth memory solutions in the market.
- Strong Profit Expectations: By 2026, Micron's earnings per share are expected to triple from current levels, indicating robust profit potential as the company capitalizes on the rapid advancements in AI technology.
- Attractive Valuation: With a forward P/E ratio of 12, Micron is significantly undervalued compared to peers like Nvidia (25) and AMD (32), suggesting a potential upside of 105% if it aligns with the Nasdaq-100's forward P/E of 25, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for shareholders.
See More
Micron Technology Emerges as AI Market Leader
- Market Leadership: Micron Technology is focusing on memory hardware for AI by exiting the consumer PC market, with RAM prices expected to rise by 50% in Q1 2026, highlighting strong demand driven by AI.
- Significant Financial Growth: In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Micron's revenue surged 57% year-over-year to $13.6 billion, with 79% of that revenue coming from DRAM, indicating that AI demand is driving its primary growth.
- Massive Investment: Micron has broken ground on a $100 billion semiconductor factory in upstate New York, expected to create over 9,000 jobs and become the largest semiconductor factory in the U.S., further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Profitability: Micron boasts a gross margin of 56.8%, an operating margin of 32.5%, and a net margin of 28.15%, making it an attractive investment at a forward P/E ratio of 10.57 in the AI hardware market.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Hardware Stocks for the AI Revolution
- Data Center Infrastructure: Analyst Michael Del Monte recommends IESC and Vertiv as key investments in data center infrastructure, with IESC focusing on custom design of electrical and technology systems, while Vertiv provides integrated rack solutions and power management software, expected to benefit from rising AI demand.
- Memory and Bandwidth Bottlenecks: Kennedy Njagi highlights Micron Technology as crucial for AI training and inference workloads due to memory barriers limiting performance, and as supply tightens, Micron's market performance is set to significantly improve, making it a focal point for investors.
- Low-Risk Investment: Elizabeth Pramila views Apple's third-party strategy in AI hardware as reducing investment risks, particularly with its partnership with Alphabet for the Gemini rollout, indicating Apple's potential in AI adoption without the need for large capital expenditures.
- Long-Term Investment Opportunities: Analysts emphasize that true long-term investment opportunities lie with companies that not only manufacture AI hardware but also possess extensive delivery ecosystems, such as Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, which can drive growth in AI capabilities through their devices and cloud infrastructure.
See More
Micron Technology's Significant Growth Potential Ahead
- Surging Market Demand: RAM prices are expected to rise by 50% by the end of Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, directly boosting Micron Technology's revenue growth, particularly in light of the surging demand in the AI sector.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Micron reported $13.6 billion in revenue for Q1 of fiscal 2026, a 57% year-over-year increase, with DRAM accounting for 79% of that revenue, highlighting its strong growth potential in the AI memory market.
- Strategic Investment Initiatives: The $100 billion semiconductor factory being built in upstate New York will become the largest semiconductor facility in the U.S., further solidifying Micron's leadership position in the global memory market and addressing future memory shortages.
- Optimistic Stock Price Forecast: Based on its current P/E ratio of 39.31 and projected EPS for fiscal 2026, analysts predict Micron's stock price could exceed $1,200 by August 2026, indicating significant investment value in its shares.
See More
AI Infrastructure Investment Soars to $700 Billion
- Market Size Forecast: In 2023, five companies are projected to spend a staggering $700 billion on AI data centers, indicating robust growth potential in the AI infrastructure market, which is expected to reach $1.4 trillion by 2030, driving a surge in related investments.
- Nvidia's Market Dominance: With a 90% market share in graphics processing units (GPUs), Nvidia is poised to benefit significantly from the growth in AI infrastructure spending, further solidifying its leadership position thanks to its powerful CUDA software platform.
- Broadcom's Competitive Edge: As a major competitor to Nvidia, Broadcom is assisting customers in developing custom AI application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth through its networking products and the rise of Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), meeting increasing market demand.
- Opportunities for Micron and TSMC: Micron is set to benefit from the skyrocketing demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), leading to sustained revenue growth, while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), with its monopoly in advanced logic chip manufacturing, is expected to capitalize on AI infrastructure spending through price hikes and capacity expansion over the next four years.
See More
2026 Tech Stock Rotation and Investment Opportunities
- Tech Stock Rotation: The rotation out of technology stocks in 2026 has garnered attention, and despite market volatility, investors are presented with opportunities to acquire high-quality stocks at attractive valuations, potentially capitalizing on future gains.
- Long-Term Investment Confidence: Analysts express optimism about eight stocks that have experienced fluctuations, believing they still possess the ability to generate profits for shareholders in the long run, reflecting a strong market confidence.
- Amazon's Investment Potential: Among the stocks discussed, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is highlighted as a favorite investment choice, as its long-term growth prospects continue to attract investor interest despite facing challenges.
- Video Content Promotion: The video, published on January 10, 2026, aims to engage viewers to subscribe to the channel and learn more about investment opportunities, while also providing a special offer link to enhance viewer participation.
See More
Micron Technology: The Secret Winner of the AI Infrastructure Supercycle
- Surging Market Demand: Micron Technology is projected to achieve $76 billion in revenue for 2023, representing an 81% increase over the trailing twelve months, highlighting the strong demand for memory and storage driven by AI infrastructure, thereby solidifying its position in the semiconductor industry.
- Inventory Status: The company's management has disclosed that existing inventory is sold out, which, while beneficial for short-term performance, necessitates increased production capacity in the long run to meet the rising demand, reflecting the urgent need for high-bandwidth memory solutions in the market.
- Strong Profit Expectations: By 2026, Micron's earnings per share are expected to triple from current levels, indicating robust profit potential as the company capitalizes on the rapid advancements in AI technology.
- Attractive Valuation: With a forward P/E ratio of 12, Micron is significantly undervalued compared to peers like Nvidia (25) and AMD (32), suggesting a potential upside of 105% if it aligns with the Nasdaq-100's forward P/E of 25, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for shareholders.
See More
