Latest Ratings and Outlook from Wall Street
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AA?
Source: CNBC
- Cantor's Positive Outlook on Strategy: Cantor Fitzgerald initiates Strategy with an overweight rating, suggesting that the crypto company is well-positioned for the bitcoin cycle, indicating now is a compelling time to invest in this financial engineering innovator.
- Citi's Bullish Stance on Novartis: Citi initiates Novartis as a buy, forecasting 4-5% sales growth for 2025-2030, which exceeds the consensus estimate of 3.5-4.0%, highlighting the company's consistent earnings performance.
- TD Cowen Upgrades Zimmer Biomet: TD Cowen upgrades Zimmer Biomet from hold to buy, citing the company's commitment to innovation and management strategies that are expected to drive stock price appreciation.
- Morgan Stanley Downgrades Alcoa: Morgan Stanley downgrades Alcoa from overweight to equal weight, noting that the stock has significantly outperformed peers recently, leading to a more balanced risk-reward scenario.
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Analyst Views on AA
Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 58.410
Low
38.00
Averages
57.63
High
78.00
Current: 58.410
Low
38.00
Averages
57.63
High
78.00
About AA
Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company’s operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, which generally include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company’s aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company’s energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of 26 operating locations across nine countries on six continents.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Divergent Market Performance: On Monday, the S&P 500 index fell by 0.39%, while the Nasdaq 100 hit a 7.75-month low, indicating market concerns over the Middle East situation, particularly exacerbated by a sell-off in chip stocks, which negatively impacted investor confidence.
- Declining Bond Yields: The 10-year T-note yield dropped by 8 basis points to 4.34%, reflecting market fears that the ongoing war in the Middle East could lead to fuel shortages, potentially suppressing expectations for Fed rate hikes and highlighting economic growth uncertainties.
- Rising Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices surged over 3% to a three-week high due to Iranian attacks on the Strait of Hormuz, indicating severe threats to global energy supply chains, which could lead to soaring prices in the future and impact the global economy.
- Weak Manufacturing Activity: The Dallas Fed manufacturing activity survey fell to -0.2, below the expected 2.0, reflecting signs of economic slowdown that could influence corporate investment decisions and future economic growth.
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- Oil Price Surge Impacts Markets: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.75%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.21%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 1.18% as the market reacts to the first oil settlement exceeding $100 since 2022, highlighting concerns over rising energy costs amid ongoing supply chain risks.
- Uncertain Fed Policy Outlook: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted that while the central bank is monitoring the surge in energy prices, its tools to address supply-side shocks are limited, with markets pricing in only a 3% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the April meeting, indicating investor uncertainty about future monetary policy.
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: US and Israeli forces continue military operations in Iran, with the Pentagon preparing for weeks of ground operations as approximately 3,500 sailors and Marines arrive in the region, potentially exacerbating global energy supply issues.
- Positive Bond Market Reaction: The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.330% as speculation grows that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East may lead to fuel shortages, offsetting inflation fears and supporting Treasury prices amid declining inflation expectations.
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- Mixed Stock Performance: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.29%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.26%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index decreased by 0.67%, indicating a complex market reaction to Federal Reserve policies and international tensions.
- Rising Oil Prices: Crude oil prices surged over 2% to a three-week high due to disruptions in oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz caused by the Iran conflict, which could negatively impact global economic growth.
- Weak Manufacturing Activity: The Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index dropped from -0.4 to -0.2, falling short of the expected increase to 2.0, suggesting challenges in economic recovery that may influence future policy decisions.
- Escalating International Tensions: U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran have intensified, with 3,500 sailors and Marines deployed to the Middle East, potentially leading to further volatility in energy markets and impacting global supply chains.
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- Surge in Aluminum Prices: Following Iran's attacks on two aluminum production sites in the Middle East, aluminum prices on the London Metal Exchange surged to nearly four-year highs, resulting in an 11% increase in Alcoa's stock and a 10.5% rise in Century Aluminum, reflecting strong market reactions to potential supply disruptions.
- Damage Assessment: Emirates Global Aluminium reported
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- Market Gains: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.58%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.91%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index climbed by 0.30%, reflecting a positive market sentiment amid expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates unchanged.
- Declining Bond Yields: The 10-year Treasury note yield fell by 10 basis points to 4.33%, driven by concerns that the ongoing war in the Middle East could lead to a fuel shortage, potentially hindering global economic growth and influencing the Fed's future rate decisions.
- Rising Oil Prices: Crude oil prices surged over 2% to a three-week high due to Iranian attacks on shipping, raising fears that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt global oil and gas supplies, which may lead to significant price increases.
- Manufacturing Activity Decline: The Dallas Fed's manufacturing activity survey dropped by 0.4 to -0.2, falling short of the expected increase to 2.0, indicating signs of economic slowdown that could impact future investment decisions.
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- Trump's Comments Impact: Trump's statement about serious discussions with Iran led to a rise in the S&P 500, but Jim Cramer cautioned investors against rushing to buy, as Trump's claims are often later denied by Iran, indicating market uncertainty.
- Meta Stock Surge: Meta was named a top pick by Morgan Stanley, with shares rising over 2%, as analysts argue that despite AI investment and regulatory risks, Meta remains competitively strong; Jim Cramer supports this view, suggesting investors should not sell due to regulatory concerns.
- Cybersecurity Stock Rebound: CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks rebounded after significant declines last Friday, with CrowdStrike up nearly 5% following an upgrade to buy-equivalent by Wolfe Research, as analysts believe advancements in AI models will increase demand for cybersecurity.
- Executive Buy Signal: Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora purchased about $10 million in shares on Friday, resulting in a 7% stock increase, with Jim Cramer noting that the market is mispricing the stock, reflecting executive confidence in the company's future.
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