Latest Ratings and Outlook from Wall Street
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AA?
Source: CNBC
- Cantor's Positive Outlook on Strategy: Cantor Fitzgerald initiates Strategy with an overweight rating, suggesting that the crypto company is well-positioned for the bitcoin cycle, indicating now is a compelling time to invest in this financial engineering innovator.
- Citi's Bullish Stance on Novartis: Citi initiates Novartis as a buy, forecasting 4-5% sales growth for 2025-2030, which exceeds the consensus estimate of 3.5-4.0%, highlighting the company's consistent earnings performance.
- TD Cowen Upgrades Zimmer Biomet: TD Cowen upgrades Zimmer Biomet from hold to buy, citing the company's commitment to innovation and management strategies that are expected to drive stock price appreciation.
- Morgan Stanley Downgrades Alcoa: Morgan Stanley downgrades Alcoa from overweight to equal weight, noting that the stock has significantly outperformed peers recently, leading to a more balanced risk-reward scenario.
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Analyst Views on AA
Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 70.410
Low
38.00
Averages
57.63
High
78.00
Current: 70.410
Low
38.00
Averages
57.63
High
78.00
About AA
Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company's operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, and its operations include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold primarily to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company's aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company's energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of over 25 operating locations across eight countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Revenue Drop: The company experienced a 5% decline in revenue closely tied to reduced aluminum and alumina shipments, particularly amid inventory repositioning and decreased trading in North America, indicating signs of weak market demand.
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- Production Guidance Unchanged: Alcoa's full-year guidance for alumina and aluminum production and shipments remains unchanged at 9.7-9.9 million metric tons and 2.4-2.6 million metric tons respectively, reflecting the company's confidence in future market conditions despite geopolitical risks and supply chain challenges.
See More
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- Market Highs: The S&P 500 rose by 0.87% and the Nasdaq 100 reached an all-time high, reflecting growing investor optimism regarding a potential US-Iran peace deal, which may enhance risk appetite and further boost stock market momentum.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 10% after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is now fully open for commercial shipping, easing inflation concerns and contributing to a 6 basis point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, which invigorates the bond market.
- Earnings Optimism: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to increase by 12% year-over-year, although excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, yet this overall positive outlook may attract more investor interest and bolster market confidence.
- Airline Stocks Surge: With reduced fuel costs, United Airlines (UAL) shares surged over 10%, while other airlines like Royal Caribbean (RCL) and Alaska Air (ALK) also saw significant gains, indicating strong market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
See More
US Stocks Surge as Oil Prices Plunge Amid Peace Talks
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose 1.20% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.29%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting investor optimism regarding US-Iran peace talks, which may enhance risk appetite in the markets.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 11% to a five-week low after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully open, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year T-note yield to drop 7 basis points to 4.24%.
- Strong Earnings Season: The earnings season started robustly, with 81% of the 48 S&P 500 companies reporting Q1 earnings exceeding estimates, projecting a 12% year-over-year increase in earnings, providing strong support for the stock market.
- Airline Stocks Surge: Airline stocks surged as fuel costs decreased, with Alaska Air Group (ALK) rising over 10% and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) up more than 7%, indicating market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
See More
Alcoa Reports Q1 Earnings Miss, Shares Drop Over 6%
- Earnings Decline: Alcoa (AA) reported an adjusted EPS of $1.40 for Q1, missing estimates by $0.15, with revenue of $3.19 billion reflecting a 5% year-over-year decline, indicating significant pressure from lower alumina shipments and pricing on its financial performance.
- ETF Ranking Analysis: Among 12 ETFs with exposure to Alcoa, the State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) leads with a Quant Rating of 4.39, suggesting strong market confidence in this ETF, which may attract investor interest.
- Diverse Investment Opportunities: The ETF list includes a variety of strategies, from basic materials to momentum-focused ETFs, providing diverse investment options, particularly with mid-cap value index funds from reputable firms like Vanguard and iShares, reflecting market demand for different investment styles.
- Rating System Insights: Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system evaluates funds based on critical metrics such as valuation, growth, stock momentum, and profitability, with ratings ranging from 1 to 5, where scores above 3.5 are bullish and below 2.5 are bearish, indicating a cautious market sentiment towards investments related to Alcoa.
See More
US Stocks Rally as Oil Prices Plunge Amid Peace Talks
- Market Surge: The S&P 500 rose by 1.28% and the Nasdaq 100 reached an all-time high, reflecting investor optimism driven by peace talks between the US and Iran, which may enhance risk appetite and bolster overall market confidence.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 13% to a five-week low after the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year Treasury yield to drop by 8 basis points, further supporting the bond market.
- Earnings Growth Expectations: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to increase by 12% year-over-year, although excluding the tech sector, growth is only 3%, indicating resilience in corporate performance amid economic recovery and providing market support.
- Airline Stocks Soar: With reduced fuel costs, Alaska Air Group and United Airlines surged by over 14% and 11%, respectively, demonstrating the positive impact of falling oil prices on the airline industry, which could enhance profitability for related companies.
See More
Energy Stocks Plummet While Travel Stocks Rally
- Energy Stocks Plummet: Energy stocks fell sharply as oil prices dropped over 12% after Iran opened the Strait of Hormuz during the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, with APA Corporation down more than 9% and Valero Energy falling over 8.5%, negatively impacting overall confidence in the energy sector.
- Travel Stocks Rally: Following Iran's announcement to open the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping, Royal Caribbean surged 9.7%, United Airlines jumped over 9%, and Expedia gained 5%, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding travel recovery.
- Critical Metals Surge: Greenland's government approved the transfer of a 50.5% interest in Tanbreez Mining to Critical Metals, increasing its stake in the rare earths mine to 92.5%, which propelled the company's shares up over 40%, highlighting the strategic importance of rare earth resources.
- Netflix Disappoints: Streaming giant Netflix saw its stock drop 9% as it projected second-quarter earnings of 78 cents per share, missing the 84 cents forecast by analysts, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings' announcement to leave the board in June, further dampening investor confidence.
See More
Alcoa Reports Q1 Earnings Miss Amid Revenue Decline
- Earnings Decline: Alcoa reported Q1 adjusted earnings of $425 million, or $1.60 per share, down 22.4% from $548 million and $2.07 per share a year earlier, primarily due to an 8% drop in aluminum shipments and a 31% decline in alumina shipments, negatively impacting overall financial performance.
- Revenue Drop: The company experienced a 5% decline in revenue closely tied to reduced aluminum and alumina shipments, particularly amid inventory repositioning and decreased trading in North America, indicating signs of weak market demand.
- Future Outlook: Despite the disappointing Q1 results, Alcoa anticipates a $15 million unfavorable impact on adjusted EBITDA in Q2 for its alumina segment due to the conflict in Iran, but expects a $55 million favorable impact from inventory repositioning and higher shipments, suggesting potential growth opportunities amid adversity.
- Production Guidance Unchanged: Alcoa's full-year guidance for alumina and aluminum production and shipments remains unchanged at 9.7-9.9 million metric tons and 2.4-2.6 million metric tons respectively, reflecting the company's confidence in future market conditions despite geopolitical risks and supply chain challenges.
See More
US Stocks Rise as Oil Prices Plunge
- Market Highs: The S&P 500 rose by 0.87% and the Nasdaq 100 reached an all-time high, reflecting growing investor optimism regarding a potential US-Iran peace deal, which may enhance risk appetite and further boost stock market momentum.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 10% after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is now fully open for commercial shipping, easing inflation concerns and contributing to a 6 basis point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, which invigorates the bond market.
- Earnings Optimism: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to increase by 12% year-over-year, although excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, yet this overall positive outlook may attract more investor interest and bolster market confidence.
- Airline Stocks Surge: With reduced fuel costs, United Airlines (UAL) shares surged over 10%, while other airlines like Royal Caribbean (RCL) and Alaska Air (ALK) also saw significant gains, indicating strong market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
See More
