Keybanc Upholds Overweight Rating for OneWater Marine (ONEW)
Analyst Recommendation: Keybanc has maintained an Overweight recommendation for OneWater Marine (NasdaqGM:ONEW) as of November 14, 2025, with a projected one-year price target of $17.85/share, indicating a potential upside of 34.77% from its current price of $13.24/share.
Revenue and Earnings Projections: OneWater Marine is projected to achieve annual revenue of $2,024 million, reflecting an 8.10% increase, with a non-GAAP EPS forecast of 6.92.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 235 funds reporting positions in OneWater Marine, showing a slight decrease in ownership by 0.42% over the last quarter, while the average portfolio weight dedicated to ONEW has increased by 12.77%.
Shareholder Activity: Notable changes in shareholder positions include American Century Companies increasing its stake by 3.48%, while Royce & Associates reduced its holdings by 7.00%. Other firms like Philadelphia Financial Management and Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co also adjusted their allocations in the last quarter.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: OneWater Marine Inc. will announce its second quarter financial results for 2026 before the market opens on April 30, showcasing the company's performance in the rapidly growing marine retail sector.
- Management Conference Call: Following the earnings release, the management team will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results, enhancing transparency for investors regarding the company's operations.
- Webcast Availability: The conference call will be available via live webcast on the company's investor relations webpage and archived for one year, ensuring that investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: OneWater Marine is one of the largest premium marine retailers in the U.S., operating 94 retail locations and 6 distribution centers, offering a diverse range of products and services, which underscores its strong competitive position in the marine retail market.
- Earnings Release Schedule: OneWater Marine will announce its Q2 2026 financial results on April 30, 2026, before market opening, reflecting the company's performance in the rapidly growing marine retail sector.
- Management Conference Call: Following the earnings release, the management team will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results, enhancing investor understanding of the company's performance.
- Webcast Availability: The conference call will be available via live webcast on the company's Investor Relations section and archived for one year, ensuring investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: OneWater Marine is one of the largest premium marine retailers in the U.S., operating 94 retail locations and 6 distribution centers, offering a diverse range of products and services including new and pre-owned boat sales, finance, insurance, and maintenance services.
- Weak Same-Store Sales: OneWater's same-store sales have shown negligible growth over the past two years, indicating weak demand that may undermine investor confidence in future growth and negatively impact stock performance.
- Declining EPS: The company's earnings per share (EPS) has plummeted by 53.6% over the last three years, despite a modest revenue increase of 1.9%, suggesting a decline in profitability during expansion, which could raise concerns among investors regarding its earnings outlook.
- High Debt Levels: With $526.7 million in debt against only $32.23 million in cash, OneWater's 7× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio indicates over-leverage, increasing financial risk and the potential for credit rating downgrades if profitability declines.
- Limited Market Opportunities: Although OneWater's stock has become cheaper following its decline, the 51× forward P/E ratio suggests that market optimism may be overstated, leading analysts to recommend that investors seek out other stocks with greater growth potential.
- EchoStar Options Volume: EchoStar Corp saw options trading volume of 59,573 contracts, representing about 6 million shares, which is approximately 82.9% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, indicating strong market interest in its future performance.
- High Strike Call Options: Within EchoStar, the $150 strike call option traded 8,524 contracts today, representing approximately 852,400 shares, reflecting investor expectations for the stock price to rise before expiration in 2026.
- Firefly Options Activity: Firefly Aerospace Inc recorded options trading volume of 36,833 contracts, equating to about 3.7 million shares, which accounts for 80.6% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, showcasing market confidence in its potential growth.
- Call Option Activity: For Firefly, the $30 strike call option saw 7,674 contracts traded today, representing approximately 767,400 shares, indicating optimistic sentiment among investors regarding future price increases.
- Strategic Optimization: OneWater Marine has completed the sale of Ocean Bio-Chem Holdings as part of its strategy to optimize its portfolio and focus on core businesses, generating $50 million in proceeds intended for debt repayment, which is expected to save approximately $3.5 million in annual interest expenses.
- Adjusted Financial Outlook: The company has lowered its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast to between $1.78 billion and $1.88 billion, down from the previous range of $1.83 billion to $1.93 billion, reflecting the revenue loss from exited brands.
- Earnings Per Share Revision: Adjusted earnings per share are now expected to be between $0.20 and $0.70, a decrease from the prior forecast of $0.25 to $0.75, indicating pressure on profitability following the divestiture.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite the downward revision in financial outlook, OneWater Marine's shares rose over 1% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor confidence in the company's strategic adjustments, closing at $13.51 on Monday with a gain of 1.73%.
- Transaction Completion: OneWater Marine Inc. has completed the sale of Ocean Bio-Chem Holdings, Inc. as part of its portfolio optimization strategy, expecting to generate $50 million in proceeds to reduce debt and enhance financial flexibility.
- Financial Impact: This transaction is projected to lower OneWater's net leverage ratio below 4.0x by fiscal year-end, with anticipated annual interest expense savings of approximately $3.5 million, thereby strengthening cash flow.
- Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: OneWater has updated its fiscal year 2026 guidance, forecasting total revenue between $1.78 billion and $1.88 billion, while same-store sales are expected to remain flat due to the impact of exited brands, reflecting a challenging industry environment.
- Focus on Core Assets: The company will continue to concentrate on core assets, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $60 million to $80 million, demonstrating its strategic adaptability amid market uncertainties.









