Keybanc Upholds Overweight Rating for OneWater Marine (ONEW)
Analyst Recommendation: Keybanc has maintained an Overweight recommendation for OneWater Marine (NasdaqGM:ONEW) as of November 14, 2025, with a projected one-year price target of $17.85/share, indicating a potential upside of 34.77% from its current price of $13.24/share.
Revenue and Earnings Projections: OneWater Marine is projected to achieve annual revenue of $2,024 million, reflecting an 8.10% increase, with a non-GAAP EPS forecast of 6.92.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 235 funds reporting positions in OneWater Marine, showing a slight decrease in ownership by 0.42% over the last quarter, while the average portfolio weight dedicated to ONEW has increased by 12.77%.
Shareholder Activity: Notable changes in shareholder positions include American Century Companies increasing its stake by 3.48%, while Royce & Associates reduced its holdings by 7.00%. Other firms like Philadelphia Financial Management and Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co also adjusted their allocations in the last quarter.
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- Revenue Shortfall: OneWater Marine reported Q1 revenue of $442.3 million, an 8.5% year-over-year decline that fell short of analyst expectations of $482.1 million, indicating challenges in the retail environment and lower demand for new boats.
- Adjusted EPS Loss: The company posted an adjusted loss of $0.34 per share, significantly below the consensus estimate of $0.07, reflecting a substantial decline in profitability that could negatively impact investor confidence.
- Guidance Downgrade: Management lowered its full-year revenue guidance to $1.83 billion from $1.88 billion, a 2.7% decrease, while also reducing adjusted EPS expectations by 10%, signaling a cautious outlook on market conditions.
- Inventory Management Strength: Despite the sales decline, OneWater's gross margin improved by 110 basis points due to a richer mix of premium brands and disciplined pricing strategies, with management emphasizing that healthy inventory levels will support future sales performance.
- Sales Decline: OneWater Marine reported Q2 revenue of $442 million, falling short of analysts' expectations of $478 million, primarily due to a 12% decrease in new boat sales and an 8% drop in same-store sales, reflecting challenges in the retail environment and portfolio changes.
- Margin Improvement: Despite the revenue decline, gross profit margin improved to 23.9%, indicating progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which is expected to support future profitability.
- Debt Reduction and Liquidity: The company repaid $57 million of debt during the quarter, ending with $68 million in cash and total liquidity of approximately $73 million, demonstrating ongoing efforts to reduce financial leverage with a target of below 4x by fiscal year-end.
- Unchanged Outlook: Management reiterated full-year revenue guidance of $1.78 billion to $1.88 billion, despite facing industry demand pressures and portfolio changes, reflecting confidence and stability in the company's market position.
- Earnings Announcement Date: OneWater Marine is scheduled to release its Q2 earnings on April 30 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.07, reflecting a significant 46.2% year-over-year decline, indicating profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q2 stands at $478.56 million, down 1.1% year-over-year, which suggests weakening market demand and increasing competition that could hinder future growth prospects for the company.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, OneWater Marine has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, highlighting uncertainty in the company's ability to meet earnings forecasts.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and five downward revisions, indicating a declining market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Earnings Release Schedule: OneWater Marine Inc. will announce its second quarter financial results for 2026 before the market opens on April 30, showcasing the company's performance in the rapidly growing marine retail sector.
- Management Conference Call: Following the earnings release, the management team will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results, enhancing transparency for investors regarding the company's operations.
- Webcast Availability: The conference call will be available via live webcast on the company's investor relations webpage and archived for one year, ensuring that investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: OneWater Marine is one of the largest premium marine retailers in the U.S., operating 94 retail locations and 6 distribution centers, offering a diverse range of products and services, which underscores its strong competitive position in the marine retail market.
- Earnings Release Schedule: OneWater Marine will announce its Q2 2026 financial results on April 30, 2026, before market opening, reflecting the company's performance in the rapidly growing marine retail sector.
- Management Conference Call: Following the earnings release, the management team will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results, enhancing investor understanding of the company's performance.
- Webcast Availability: The conference call will be available via live webcast on the company's Investor Relations section and archived for one year, ensuring investors can access the information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: OneWater Marine is one of the largest premium marine retailers in the U.S., operating 94 retail locations and 6 distribution centers, offering a diverse range of products and services including new and pre-owned boat sales, finance, insurance, and maintenance services.









