JPMorgan Sees Buying Opportunity in Software Stocks After Historic Drawdown
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 10 2026
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Drawdown Analysis: JPMorgan highlights that the software sector has experienced the largest non-recessionary 12-month drawdown in over 30 years, with a market capitalization loss of $2 trillion, reducing its weight in the S&P 500 from 12% to 8.4%.
- Investment Opportunity Identification: Despite the turmoil caused by AI threats, JPMorgan believes the market has overreacted, with current valuations reflecting worst-case scenarios that are unlikely to materialize, especially in the next three to six months.
- Short-term Trading Strategy: The strategist notes that short interest in software stocks is at record levels, while a preference for AI semiconductors skews the risk balance towards an imminent rebound, prompting a recommendation for investors to increase exposure to high-quality software companies.
- Recommended Stock List: JPMorgan's rebound candidates include Microsoft, Snowflake, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and ServiceNow, with Microsoft showing little change over the past 12 months but down 14% in 2026.
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Analyst Views on SNOW
Wall Street analysts forecast SNOW stock price to rise
33 Analyst Rating
30 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 239.200
Low
237.00
Averages
278.19
High
312.00
Current: 239.200
Low
237.00
Averages
278.19
High
312.00
About SNOW
Snowflake Inc. is an artificial intelligence (AI) data cloud company. The Company provides a platform which powers the AI data cloud, enabling customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive insights, apply AI to solve business problems, build data applications, and share data and data products. Its cloud-native architecture includes three independently scalable but logically integrated layers across storage, compute, and cloud services. The storage layer ingests massive amounts and varieties of structured, semi-structured, and unstructured data. The compute layer provides dedicated resources to enable users to simultaneously access common data sets for many use cases with minimal latency. The cloud services layer enables users to securely use AI within applications, tools, and processes. Its platform supports a wide range of product categories for customers’ business objectives, including analytics, data engineering, AI, applications and collaboration.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Accelerated Revenue Growth: Snowflake's Q1 revenue grew 33% year-over-year to $13.9 billion, up from 30% in the previous quarter, indicating strong performance in the cloud data warehousing market and likely driving further market share expansion.
- Customer Base Expansion: The company saw a 38% year-over-year increase in new customers, adding eight clients spending over $10 million annually, bringing the total to 64, demonstrating success in attracting high-value clients and enhancing future revenue sustainability.
- Improved Profitability: Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surged 63% year-over-year to $0.39, reflecting successful cost control and operational efficiency improvements, which bolster investor confidence in its long-term growth potential.
- Optimistic Outlook: Snowflake raised its full-year product revenue forecast to $5.84 billion, representing 31% growth, and projected Q2 product revenue between $1.415 billion and $1.420 billion, showcasing confidence in future performance despite a valuation of 14 times forward price-to-sales.
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- Strategic Investment: Snowflake's commitment to invest $6 billion in AWS over the next five years not only reflects strong confidence in AI demand but also significantly enhances its competitive position in the cloud computing market.
- Sales Performance: Snowflake has surpassed $7 billion in lifetime sales on the AWS Marketplace and holds over $9 billion in remaining performance obligations, indicating robust market demand and a solid customer base.
- Customer Base: Currently, Snowflake has 779 customers with trailing-12-month product revenue exceeding $1 million, and more than 800 customers from the Forbes Global 2000, laying a strong foundation for future growth.
- Market Risks: Despite the immense potential of AI investments, Snowflake faces significant risks if major clients stall in AI adoption due to high costs or lack of business results, a challenge that is prevalent across the industry.
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- Strategic Investment Commitment: Snowflake has pledged to invest $6 billion in AWS over the next five years, aiming to accelerate AI capabilities among enterprise customers, thereby significantly improving business outcomes and productivity.
- Growing Customer Base: Snowflake currently has 779 customers with trailing-12-month product revenue exceeding $1 million and over 800 Forbes Global 2000 customers, indicating strong market demand and growth potential.
- Positive Stock Reaction: The multi-year partnership agreement has led to a more than 35% increase in Snowflake's stock price, reflecting investor confidence in the company's future growth prospects, even though the current stock price is at a premium.
- AI Adoption Risks: While Snowflake's strategic investment is based on real demand, the adoption of AI among major clients may stall due to high costs or lack of business results, a risk that is prevalent across all companies aggressively adopting AI.
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- U.S.-Iran Negotiation Uncertainty: Trump stated he is in no hurry to finalize a deal with Iran, emphasizing the importance of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, which may lead to market volatility regarding energy prices.
- Japanese Market Uptrend: Nikkei 225 futures traded at 66,405, up from the previous close of 66,329.5, indicating investor optimism about Japan's economic outlook.
- Slight Gains in Australia: S&P/ASX 200 futures were at 8,737, slightly above the last close of 8,731.7, reflecting confidence in economic recovery among investors.
- Pressure on Hong Kong Market: Hang Seng index futures traded at 25,098, lower than the previous close of 25,182.39, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors, likely influenced by international developments.
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- Accelerated Growth: Snowflake's fiscal Q1 2026 product revenue surged 34% year-over-year to $1.33 billion, showcasing strong growth driven by AI, exceeding market expectations and indicating that AI is not a threat to software companies.
- Significant Customer Growth: The company added 616 net new customers, a 38% increase year-over-year, while net revenue retention rose from 125% to 126%, reflecting customer trust in the Snowflake platform and laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Improved Profitability: Snowflake's non-GAAP operating margin expanded from 9% to 12%, with adjusted earnings per share rising from $0.24 to $0.39, demonstrating that the company is enhancing profitability alongside rapid growth, boosting market confidence.
- Strategic Partnership Expansion: The company signed a new $6 billion five-year agreement with Amazon AWS and expanded its partnership with OpenAI, further solidifying its market position in the AI sector and indicating strong growth potential ahead.
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- Accelerated Revenue Growth: Snowflake's latest fiscal quarter saw product revenue grow 34% year-over-year to $1.33 billion, accelerating from 30% in the previous quarter and 26% a year earlier, indicating a strong performance amidst the AI boom that could reshape market perceptions of software companies' futures.
- Significant Customer Growth: The company added 616 net new customers, a 38% increase year-over-year, while net revenue retention rose from 125% to 126%, demonstrating increased usage of the Snowflake platform among existing clients, which enhances market competitiveness and customer loyalty.
- Improved Profitability: Snowflake's non-GAAP operating margin expanded from 9% to 12%, with adjusted earnings per share rising from $0.24 to $0.39, reflecting the company's ability to improve profitability alongside revenue growth, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management raised its full-year product revenue guidance to $5.84 billion, or 31% growth, and signed a new $6 billion five-year agreement with Amazon AWS, indicating strong confidence in future demand and further solidifying its leadership position in the AI space.
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