JFrog (FROG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FROG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
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Analyst Views on FROG
Wall Street analysts forecast FROG stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 53.300
Low
64.00
Averages
72.22
High
83.00
Current: 53.300
Low
64.00
Averages
72.22
High
83.00
About FROG
JFrog Ltd. provides an end-to-end, hybrid, universal Software Supply Chain Platform. The Company’s solutions include The JFrog Artifactory, JFrog Curation, JFrog Xray (Security Essentials), JFrog Advanced Security, JFrog Runtime Security, JFrog Distribution, JFrog Connect, and JFrog ML. JFrog Artifactory supports all software package technologies and can be seamlessly deployed across public clouds, multi-cloud, on-premises, private cloud, and hybrid environments. JFrog Curation understands package metadata, allowing companies to build policies around the entry or blocking of software packages into a company’s repositories based on multiple factors such as age, version number, security risk, release timelines, target environments, and more. JFrog Distribution provides reliable, scalable, and secure software package distribution with enterprise-grade performance. JFrog Xray continuously scans JFrog Artifactory to secure all software packages stored in it.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
JPMorgan: AI Disruption Fears Overstated for Software Sector
- Market Rebound Expectations: JPMorgan believes that while the market's outlook on AI disruption in the software sector is overly pessimistic, certain software companies are demonstrating greater resilience, potentially providing rebound opportunities for investors, especially given the current overly bearish sentiment.
- Extreme Price Volatility: Analysts point out that the extreme price action in software stocks has led to unrealistic expectations regarding AI disruption, which may prompt a rotation back into higher-quality companies, thereby improving portfolio performance.
- AI Profitability Gains: Companies in the S&P 500 that have adopted AI have seen net margins expand by approximately 2 to 3 percentage points more than their peers, indicating that AI technology is already delivering productivity gains and reflecting that corporate adoption is enhancing profitability.
- ETF Performance Decline: The State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) is down 20.58% year-to-date, illustrating the overall pessimistic sentiment towards the software sector, despite some companies potentially benefiting from AI infrastructure demand.
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JFrog (FROG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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- Airbnb's Upbeat Guidance: Airbnb reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.56 per share on $2.78 billion in revenue, falling short of analyst expectations, yet the company anticipates full-year revenue growth of at least low double digits, leading to a stock increase of about 2%, showcasing market confidence in its future growth.
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JFrog Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 12
- Earnings Announcement: JFrog (FROG) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 12 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.19 (flat YoY) and revenue estimate at $138.09 million, reflecting a 19% YoY increase.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, JFrog has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, indicating strong performance in profitability and market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 18 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, showcasing robust market confidence in JFrog's growth; however, revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating cautious sentiment.
- Market Outlook: Analysts at BofA suggest that JFrog, along with peers like Snowflake, MongoDB, and Datadog, is likely to rise following the end of the 'SaaSpocalypse', reflecting optimistic expectations for JFrog's growth potential in the evolving software landscape.
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Microsoft and 18 Other Software Firms Poised for Resilience
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a $2 trillion loss due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a buying opportunity and have identified several AI-resistant companies, including Microsoft and CrowdStrike.
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Microsoft and CrowdStrike Top List of 19 Stocks Resilient to AI Changes
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a significant decline, losing approximately $2 trillion due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a potential buying opportunity and have identified a list of companies that are resistant to AI-related disruptions.
See More
JPMorgan: AI Disruption Fears Overstated for Software Sector
- Market Rebound Expectations: JPMorgan believes that while the market's outlook on AI disruption in the software sector is overly pessimistic, certain software companies are demonstrating greater resilience, potentially providing rebound opportunities for investors, especially given the current overly bearish sentiment.
- Extreme Price Volatility: Analysts point out that the extreme price action in software stocks has led to unrealistic expectations regarding AI disruption, which may prompt a rotation back into higher-quality companies, thereby improving portfolio performance.
- AI Profitability Gains: Companies in the S&P 500 that have adopted AI have seen net margins expand by approximately 2 to 3 percentage points more than their peers, indicating that AI technology is already delivering productivity gains and reflecting that corporate adoption is enhancing profitability.
- ETF Performance Decline: The State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) is down 20.58% year-to-date, illustrating the overall pessimistic sentiment towards the software sector, despite some companies potentially benefiting from AI infrastructure demand.
See More
JFrog (FROG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Multiple Companies Shine in After-Hours Trading
- Applied Materials Earnings Beat: California-based semiconductor equipment company Applied Materials reported adjusted earnings of $2.38 per share and revenue of $7.01 billion, both exceeding analyst expectations, leading to an 11% stock price increase that reflects strong market demand and profitability.
- Coinbase Trading Volume Surge: Coinbase announced a total trading volume of $5.2 trillion in 2025, up 156% year-over-year, and despite missing fourth-quarter revenue expectations, its stock rose nearly 2%, indicating robust performance in the crypto market.
- Rivian Delivery Forecast Upgrade: Electric truck manufacturer Rivian expects vehicle deliveries for 2026 to range from 62,000 to 67,000 units, representing a 47% to 59% increase compared to 2025, resulting in a 14% stock price surge that reflects market confidence in its growth potential.
- Airbnb's Upbeat Guidance: Airbnb reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.56 per share on $2.78 billion in revenue, falling short of analyst expectations, yet the company anticipates full-year revenue growth of at least low double digits, leading to a stock increase of about 2%, showcasing market confidence in its future growth.
See More
JFrog Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 12
- Earnings Announcement: JFrog (FROG) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 12 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.19 (flat YoY) and revenue estimate at $138.09 million, reflecting a 19% YoY increase.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, JFrog has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, indicating strong performance in profitability and market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 18 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, showcasing robust market confidence in JFrog's growth; however, revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating cautious sentiment.
- Market Outlook: Analysts at BofA suggest that JFrog, along with peers like Snowflake, MongoDB, and Datadog, is likely to rise following the end of the 'SaaSpocalypse', reflecting optimistic expectations for JFrog's growth potential in the evolving software landscape.
See More
Microsoft and 18 Other Software Firms Poised for Resilience
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a $2 trillion loss due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a buying opportunity and have identified several AI-resistant companies, including Microsoft and CrowdStrike.
See More
Microsoft and CrowdStrike Top List of 19 Stocks Resilient to AI Changes
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a significant decline, losing approximately $2 trillion due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a potential buying opportunity and have identified a list of companies that are resistant to AI-related disruptions.
See More
