Hyperscalers Face Hardware Bottlenecks Amid Chip Shortages
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Chip Shortage Impact: The dominance of SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market has created severe hardware bottlenecks for hyperscalers, impacting their capital expenditures and growth plans.
- Meta's Ad Reliance: Meta's reliance on an advertising revenue model restricts its market perception, and despite its significant cloud business potential, the lack of supporting business has led to a 12.55% decline in its stock year-to-date.
- Capital Equipment Companies' Edge: Companies like Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA Corp play a crucial role in the supply chain, but despite strong demand, they cannot meet the hyperscalers' needs in the short term, affecting their growth outlook.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As Amazon collaborates with Marvell and Broadcom to develop custom AI chips, competition among hyperscalers intensifies, with future profitability becoming a focal point for market observers.
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Analyst Views on MU
Wall Street analysts forecast MU stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
24 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1133.990
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
Current: 1133.990
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
About MU
Micron Technology, Inc. provides memory and storage solutions. The Company delivers a portfolio of high-performance dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND, and NOR memory and storage products through its Micron and Crucial brands. The Company's products enable advancing in artificial intelligence (AI) and compute-intensive applications. Its segments include Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU), Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU), Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU). CMBU is focused on memory solutions for large hyperscale cloud customers, and high bandwidth memory (HBM) for all data center customers. CDBU is focused on memory solutions for mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers and storage solutions for all data center customers. MCBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for mobile and client segments. AEBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Surge: Micron's stock jumped 6% to reach new highs ahead of its June 24 earnings report, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance.
- Analyst Upgrade: Needham raised its price target for Micron to a bullish $1,550, reflecting optimistic expectations regarding the company's profitability, which may attract more investor interest.
- Market Reaction: The significant stock increase not only boosts investor confidence but may also prompt other analysts to adjust their ratings, potentially driving the stock price even higher.
- Earnings Outlook: The upcoming earnings report will serve as a critical moment to test market expectations, and if results exceed forecasts, it could further propel the stock price and strengthen the company's competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
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- Revenue Growth Potential: According to TrendForce, the memory market is projected to reach $889.3 billion in 2026 and $1.28 trillion in 2027, indicating a structural expansion that will drive sustained earnings growth for Micron Technology.
- DRAM Market Outlook: Micron's DRAM revenue is expected to quadruple to $618.7 billion in 2026, and if it maintains a 20% market share, revenue from this segment could soar to $180 billion, significantly boosting overall company revenue.
- NAND Flash Market Opportunity: The NAND flash market is anticipated to grow by 280% to $270.6 billion in 2026, and if Micron captures 10% of this market by 2027, it could generate $38 billion in revenue, further enhancing its performance.
- Investment Value Realization: With a current price-to-sales ratio of 22, above the tech sector average of 8, Micron's robust revenue growth justifies this valuation, and its market cap could rise to $2.2 trillion in the next 18 months, representing a potential upside of 72%.
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- Memory Product Shortage: Driven by significant investments in artificial intelligence, the ongoing shortage of memory products has led to a 6.34% rise in Micron Technology's stock over the past year, reflecting strong market demand and investor confidence.
- Apple's Price Increase Impact: Apple CEO Tim Cook confirmed that due to limited memory supply, the company has no choice but to raise product prices, which is great news for Micron investors as it indicates the memory shortage issue will persist, potentially leading to further growth in Micron's performance.
- Optimistic Earnings Expectations: Micron's upcoming earnings report is expected to show a remarkable 196% year-over-year growth, with high market expectations for its future performance, especially in the context of supply constraints, where strong guidance could drive the stock price higher.
- Market Risk Caution: Despite the optimistic outlook, investors should remain cautious as expectations for Micron are already high, and the future earnings guidance will be crucial in determining stock price movements, with any signs of slowing potentially triggering a sell-off.
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- Tech Stock Decline: Alphabet's stock fell over 5% following the announcement of Google DeepMind VP Jumper's departure, leading to a broader decline in major tech stocks, which may heighten investor uncertainty regarding the tech sector's future performance.
- Oil Price Volatility: Oil prices initially surged over 2% after Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, but later retreated due to reported progress in peace talks with the US, highlighting the direct impact of geopolitical tensions on market dynamics and prompting investors to reassess energy sector risks.
- Market Expectation Shift: The market is currently pricing in a 39% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment towards future monetary policy, which could influence market liquidity and investment strategies.
- Overseas Market Performance: European and Asian stock markets closed higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 and Japan's Nikkei 225 rising by 0.29% and 1.55% respectively, indicating a divergence in global market trends that may provide some support for the US market.
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- Apple's Pricing Strategy: Apple plans to raise product prices to offset rising memory costs, and while CEO Tim Cook states the company is working to mitigate these costs, this indicates a cautious outlook on future supply shortages that may affect consumer purchasing decisions.
- Micron's Earnings Outlook: Micron Technology's memory products are experiencing skyrocketing demand due to significant investments in artificial intelligence, and the upcoming Q3 earnings report is expected to show a remarkable 196% year-over-year growth, reflecting its strong market performance and future growth potential.
- Supply-Demand Imbalance: Cook highlighted that the supply in the DRAM market remains limited relative to demand, with consumer demand for devices continuing to rise, which sends a positive signal to Micron investors, indicating that the memory product shortage issue is unlikely to be resolved in the short term.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Despite Micron's market capitalization reaching $1.3 trillion, investors should remain cautious ahead of the earnings report, as expectations for future growth are already high, and any negative guidance could trigger a sell-off in the stock.
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- SpaceX Bond Launch: SpaceX initiated its first bond offering since its IPO, with shares plummeting 16% amid concerns over financial health, which could impact future fundraising capabilities as the company did not disclose pricing or target amounts.
- Divergent Market Performance: The S&P 500 fell 0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones rose 0.3%, indicating investor caution towards tech stocks, with the Dow benefiting from lower oil prices, highlighting significant sector disparities.
- International Developments: The U.S. and Iran agreed on a 60-day roadmap for peace and allowed Iran to sell oil internationally, easing war-related market jitters, which contributed to a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude futures closing at $77.90 per barrel.
- Investor Focus on Data: This week, investors will shift their attention to the personal consumption expenditures price index and the Fed's inflation gauge, which are expected to influence market sentiment, especially with Micron Technologies set to release quarterly results, reflecting ongoing demand for storage and memory.
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