How The Parts Add Up: RZV Targets $118
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 02 2024
0mins
Should l Buy ECPG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Analyst Target Prices for ETFs: Analysts have calculated the implied target price for Invesco S&P SmallCap 600— Pure Value ETF (RZV) at $117.99 per unit based on its underlying holdings.
- Upside Potential: Analysts see an 18.96% upside for RZV as it is currently trading at $99.19 per unit compared to the average analyst targets of its holdings.
- Notable Holdings: Three of RZV's holdings with significant upside potential are PRA Group Inc, EchoStar Corp, and Encore Capital Group Inc.
- Analyst Target Price Comparison: The average analyst target prices for PRAA, SATS, and ECPG show notable percentages above their recent share prices.
- Investor Considerations: Questions arise about whether analysts' targets are justified or overly optimistic, prompting the need for further investor research.
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Analyst Views on ECPG
Wall Street analysts forecast ECPG stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 84.240
Low
70.00
Averages
72.50
High
75.00
Current: 84.240
Low
70.00
Averages
72.50
High
75.00
About ECPG
Encore Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty finance company. The Company provides debt recovery solutions and other related services for consumers across a range of financial assets. It purchases portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables at discounts to face value and manages them by working with individuals as they repay obligations and work toward financial recovery. Its defaulted receivables are consumers’ unpaid financial obligations to credit originators, including banks, credit unions, consumer finance companies and commercial retailers. It also provides debt servicing and other portfolio management services to credit originators for non-performing loans in Europe. Its debt servicing operations include early-stage collections, business process outsourcing and contingent collections for credit originators. It provides debt servicing for consumer accounts and provides services for business-to-business accounts.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Earnings Beat: Encore Capital reported Q1 GAAP EPS of $3.86, exceeding expectations by $0.85, with revenue of $475.41 million reflecting a 21% year-over-year increase, which bolsters investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Upgraded Guidance: The company raised its global collections guidance for 2026 to approximately $2.8 billion, indicating an 8% year-over-year growth, while also projecting a 19% increase in EPS to $13.00, showcasing management's optimism about future performance.
- Share Repurchase Program: In Q1, Encore Capital repurchased $20 million of its common stock, demonstrating confidence in its own shares and aiming to enhance shareholder value, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Stable Portfolio Purchases: Despite the upgraded guidance, Encore Capital maintains its portfolio purchase expectations for 2026 in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion, reflecting a cautious approach to business expansion amidst positive performance indicators.
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- Interest Rates & Loan Demand: The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 175 basis points since 2024, and while further cuts are unlikely due to the Middle East conflict, low rates are expected to sustain stable growth in consumer loan demand, driving overall industry revenue growth.
- Easing Lending Standards: Since 2018, major credit reporting agencies have removed all tax liens from consumer credit reports, improving consumer credit scores and expanding the borrower base, which helps loan providers meet increasing loan demand.
- Asset Quality Challenges: While lower interest rates assist borrowers in making timely repayments, ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures may lead to inflation, affecting borrowers' repayment capacity, prompting loan providers to set aside more funds for potential delinquent loans.
- Strong Industry Performance: The Zacks Consumer Loans industry has impressively risen by 45.3% over the past two years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 29.7% and the Finance sector's 24.3%, indicating robust potential for the industry amid economic recovery.
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- Significant Performance Growth: Encore Capital achieved record portfolio purchases of $1.4 billion in 2025, a 4% increase year-over-year, while collections surged by 20% to $2.6 billion, demonstrating the company's robust performance and growth potential in the U.S. market.
- Enhanced Strategic Execution: CEO emphasized a three-pillar strategy focusing on the largest markets, developing competitive advantages, and maintaining a strong balance sheet, with 2026 global portfolio purchases expected to range between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion, further solidifying market position.
- Improved Cash Efficiency: The cash efficiency margin improved to 57.8% in 2025, with operating expenses decreasing by 1%, indicating effective cost control and resource allocation, which is expected to support future profitability.
- Accelerated Shareholder Returns: The company accelerated its share repurchase program in Q4 2025, repurchasing 9% of shares for $90 million, reflecting management's confidence in future performance and a strategic shift in capital allocation priorities to enhance shareholder value.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Encore Capital reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $3.37, beating expectations by $1.14, which highlights a significant improvement in profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Substantial Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $473.55 million in Q4, representing a 78.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations by $51.36 million, reflecting robust business expansion and market demand, thereby solidifying its market position.
- Positive Stock Reaction: Following the earnings report, Encore Capital's shares rose 4.77% in after-hours trading, indicating investor optimism regarding the company's future growth prospects, which may attract more investor interest.
- Improved Market Ratings: With the enhancement in financial performance, Encore Capital's quantitative rating on Seeking Alpha may also see an upgrade, further increasing the company's recognition and investment appeal in the capital markets.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: Encore Capital Group is set to release its Q4 2025 financial results on February 25, 2026, after market close, demonstrating the company's commitment to financial transparency.
- Conference Call Details: On the same day at 2:00 PM Pacific Time, Encore will host a conference call featuring its executive team discussing the financial results, enhancing investor communication and trust.
- Live Webcast Access: The public can access the earnings release webcast via Encore's Investor Relations page, reflecting the company's emphasis on information sharing.
- Replay Availability: For those unable to attend the live broadcast, a replay will be available shortly after the call concludes, ensuring all stakeholders can access key information.
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Stock Recommendation: Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG) is highlighted as a strong buy with a Zacks Rank #1, showing an 18.5% increase in earnings estimates over the past 60 days.
Valuation Metrics: The company has a low price-to-earnings ratio of 5.45, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 25.06, and holds a Value Score of A.
Investment Opportunities: A list of top-ranked stocks is provided, with potential for significant gains, including companies described as disruptive and poised for growth.
Performance History: Previous stock recommendations have seen substantial returns, with some soaring by +171%, +209%, and +232%, indicating a strong track record for investors.
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