Grand Canyon Education Q1 Earnings Preview
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 29 2026
0mins
Should l Buy LOPE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $2.78, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year increase, and revenue expected at $307.6 million, up 6.3% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, LOPE has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record in meeting or surpassing market expectations.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting a cautious outlook from analysts regarding the company's performance.
- Future Growth Targets: Grand Canyon Education aims for high single-digit enrollment growth in 2026 while moderating the pace of new site openings, a strategy that may impact the company's revenue growth potential moving forward.
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Analyst Views on LOPE
Wall Street analysts forecast LOPE stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 160.450
Low
230.00
Averages
230.00
High
230.00
Current: 160.450
Low
230.00
Averages
230.00
High
230.00
About LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is an education services company, which primarily serves colleges and universities. The Company has developed technological solutions, infrastructure and operational processes to provide services to its institutions on a large scale. It provides technology and academic services, which include learning management systems, internal administration, infrastructure, support, program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling and skills and simulation lab sites. It provides counseling services and support, including admissions services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling. It also provides marketing and communication services that include lead acquisition, digital communication strategies, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research. Its back-office services include finance and accounting, human resources, audit and procurement.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Grand Canyon Education Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights
- Online Enrollment Growth: In Q1 2026, Grand Canyon Education reported an 8.8% increase in online enrollment and a 20.3% rise in hybrid enrollment, excluding closed sites, indicating significant progress in digital transformation and enhanced market competitiveness.
- Profitability Improvement: Service revenue reached $308.8 million with operating income at $95.5 million and an operating margin of 30.9%, reflecting sustained profitability driven by higher-than-expected enrollments and revenue per student.
- Strategic Investment: The company plans to enroll over 3,000 students in the newly named Sheila and Mike Ingram Honors College, with an average incoming GPA exceeding 4.1, highlighting its strategic focus on brand enhancement and attracting high-quality students.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates mid to high single-digit growth in new online enrollments for 2026, while hybrid enrollment growth is expected to moderate due to capacity constraints, demonstrating a cautious approach in expansion and market competition.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Strong Earnings Beat: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $2.86, exceeding expectations by $0.08, with revenue of $308.76 million reflecting a 6.7% year-over-year growth, indicating robust performance in the education sector.
- 2026 Outlook: The company projects Q2 2026 service revenue between $260 million and $264 million, with an operating margin of 20.1% to 21.3%, laying a solid foundation for future growth and boosting investor confidence.
- Adjusted EPS Guidance: For Q3 2026, diluted EPS is expected to range from $1.72 to $1.91, and after accounting for non-cash amortization, the adjusted non-GAAP EPS will be between $1.78 and $1.97, reflecting the company's stable profitability.
- Full Year Projections: The full-year 2026 service revenue is anticipated to be between $1.1693 billion and $1.1898 billion, with an operating margin of 27.8% to 29.0%, further solidifying Grand Canyon Education's leadership in the industry and promising substantial returns for shareholders.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q1 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $2.78, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year increase, and revenue expected at $307.6 million, up 6.3% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, LOPE has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record in meeting or surpassing market expectations.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting a cautious outlook from analysts regarding the company's performance.
- Future Growth Targets: Grand Canyon Education aims for high single-digit enrollment growth in 2026 while moderating the pace of new site openings, a strategy that may impact the company's revenue growth potential moving forward.
See More
Grand Canyon Education to Report Q1 2026 Earnings
- Earnings Report Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will release its Q1 2026 financial results and full-year outlook after market close on April 30, 2026, which is expected to provide key performance metrics and future growth directions for investors.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 1:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the earnings report in detail, with participants required to dial in at least ten minutes early to ensure seamless access, while journalists are invited to listen only.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and the general public can access a live webcast of the earnings call, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion of the call, allowing stakeholders who cannot attend in real-time to obtain the information.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, leveraging over 30 years of industry experience to deliver comprehensive support services and technological solutions, enhancing its competitive position in the higher education sector.
See More
Columbia University Student Detained by Federal Agents
- Immigration Enforcement Escalation: A Columbia University student was detained by federal agents early Thursday, marking the latest sign of the Trump administration's nationwide crackdown on immigration, which could raise significant concerns regarding campus safety and student rights.
- Controversial Law Enforcement Procedures: Acting President Claire Shipman stated that federal agents misrepresented their intentions to gain entry into a university-owned residential building under the pretense of searching for a 'missing person', raising questions about the transparency and legality of such enforcement actions.
- Campus Safety Policies: Shipman emphasized that all law enforcement agents are required to possess a judicial warrant or subpoena to enter non-public areas of the campus, a policy designed to protect student privacy and safety while ensuring that law enforcement actions comply with regulations.
- Tense Government-University Relations: Columbia has faced scrutiny from the Education Department for failing to meet federal anti-discrimination laws and was required to pay $200 million to restore federal funding, a series of events that may further strain the relationship between the university and the Trump administration.
See More
Trump Administration Increases Pressure on Student Loan Repayment
- Loan Default Risk: The U.S. Department of Education warns that over 1,800 higher education institutions have student loan default rates exceeding 25%, which could jeopardize their eligibility for federal student aid programs, thereby impacting their financial stability and enrollment appeal.
- Policy Implementation Requirements: The Education Department mandates that colleges prioritize reducing student delinquency rates not only through financial aid offices but also at the institutional leadership level, prompting schools to adopt more proactive measures in student loan management.
- Borrower Dilemma Intensifies: Last year, approximately 10 million borrowers were nearing default, with the Education Department revealing that over 600,000 federal student loan holders face a backlog in applications for affordable repayment plans, highlighting delays in policy execution and the pressures on borrowers.
- Household Financial Impact: Research indicates that a median U.S. household of four earning $81,000 could see its monthly bills surge from $36 to $440 due to legislative changes, reflecting the potential negative economic impact of these policy shifts on family finances.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights
- Online Enrollment Growth: In Q1 2026, Grand Canyon Education reported an 8.8% increase in online enrollment and a 20.3% rise in hybrid enrollment, excluding closed sites, indicating significant progress in digital transformation and enhanced market competitiveness.
- Profitability Improvement: Service revenue reached $308.8 million with operating income at $95.5 million and an operating margin of 30.9%, reflecting sustained profitability driven by higher-than-expected enrollments and revenue per student.
- Strategic Investment: The company plans to enroll over 3,000 students in the newly named Sheila and Mike Ingram Honors College, with an average incoming GPA exceeding 4.1, highlighting its strategic focus on brand enhancement and attracting high-quality students.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates mid to high single-digit growth in new online enrollments for 2026, while hybrid enrollment growth is expected to moderate due to capacity constraints, demonstrating a cautious approach in expansion and market competition.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Strong Earnings Beat: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $2.86, exceeding expectations by $0.08, with revenue of $308.76 million reflecting a 6.7% year-over-year growth, indicating robust performance in the education sector.
- 2026 Outlook: The company projects Q2 2026 service revenue between $260 million and $264 million, with an operating margin of 20.1% to 21.3%, laying a solid foundation for future growth and boosting investor confidence.
- Adjusted EPS Guidance: For Q3 2026, diluted EPS is expected to range from $1.72 to $1.91, and after accounting for non-cash amortization, the adjusted non-GAAP EPS will be between $1.78 and $1.97, reflecting the company's stable profitability.
- Full Year Projections: The full-year 2026 service revenue is anticipated to be between $1.1693 billion and $1.1898 billion, with an operating margin of 27.8% to 29.0%, further solidifying Grand Canyon Education's leadership in the industry and promising substantial returns for shareholders.
See More
Grand Canyon Education Q1 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 30th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $2.78, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year increase, and revenue expected at $307.6 million, up 6.3% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, LOPE has exceeded EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a strong track record in meeting or surpassing market expectations.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates and one downward revision, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting a cautious outlook from analysts regarding the company's performance.
- Future Growth Targets: Grand Canyon Education aims for high single-digit enrollment growth in 2026 while moderating the pace of new site openings, a strategy that may impact the company's revenue growth potential moving forward.
See More
Grand Canyon Education to Report Q1 2026 Earnings
- Earnings Report Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will release its Q1 2026 financial results and full-year outlook after market close on April 30, 2026, which is expected to provide key performance metrics and future growth directions for investors.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 1:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the earnings report in detail, with participants required to dial in at least ten minutes early to ensure seamless access, while journalists are invited to listen only.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and the general public can access a live webcast of the earnings call, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion of the call, allowing stakeholders who cannot attend in real-time to obtain the information.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, leveraging over 30 years of industry experience to deliver comprehensive support services and technological solutions, enhancing its competitive position in the higher education sector.
See More
Columbia University Student Detained by Federal Agents
- Immigration Enforcement Escalation: A Columbia University student was detained by federal agents early Thursday, marking the latest sign of the Trump administration's nationwide crackdown on immigration, which could raise significant concerns regarding campus safety and student rights.
- Controversial Law Enforcement Procedures: Acting President Claire Shipman stated that federal agents misrepresented their intentions to gain entry into a university-owned residential building under the pretense of searching for a 'missing person', raising questions about the transparency and legality of such enforcement actions.
- Campus Safety Policies: Shipman emphasized that all law enforcement agents are required to possess a judicial warrant or subpoena to enter non-public areas of the campus, a policy designed to protect student privacy and safety while ensuring that law enforcement actions comply with regulations.
- Tense Government-University Relations: Columbia has faced scrutiny from the Education Department for failing to meet federal anti-discrimination laws and was required to pay $200 million to restore federal funding, a series of events that may further strain the relationship between the university and the Trump administration.
See More
Trump Administration Increases Pressure on Student Loan Repayment
- Loan Default Risk: The U.S. Department of Education warns that over 1,800 higher education institutions have student loan default rates exceeding 25%, which could jeopardize their eligibility for federal student aid programs, thereby impacting their financial stability and enrollment appeal.
- Policy Implementation Requirements: The Education Department mandates that colleges prioritize reducing student delinquency rates not only through financial aid offices but also at the institutional leadership level, prompting schools to adopt more proactive measures in student loan management.
- Borrower Dilemma Intensifies: Last year, approximately 10 million borrowers were nearing default, with the Education Department revealing that over 600,000 federal student loan holders face a backlog in applications for affordable repayment plans, highlighting delays in policy execution and the pressures on borrowers.
- Household Financial Impact: Research indicates that a median U.S. household of four earning $81,000 could see its monthly bills surge from $36 to $440 due to legislative changes, reflecting the potential negative economic impact of these policy shifts on family finances.
See More
