Earnings Season Approaches: Analysts Downgrade Financial Stocks' EPS Estimates
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 12 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Analyst Sentiment Decline: As earnings season approaches, analysts have broadly downgraded earnings expectations for financial companies, leading to a decline in EPS Revision Grades for several stocks, reflecting weakened market confidence in short-term performance.
- Earnings Downgrades: Unum (UNM) and Block (XYZ) received EPS Revision Grades of D and D, respectively, indicating a pessimistic outlook from investors regarding their profitability, which may adversely affect their stock performance.
- Large Financial Stocks Struggling: Lloyds Banking (LYG) and UBS Group AG (UBS) received Revision Grades of D- and D, suggesting significant pressure on these large financial institutions regarding earnings expectations, potentially prompting investors to reassess their investment value.
- Market Focus: Companies like HDFC Bank (HDB) and Mizuho Financial (MFG) also faced negative revisions, with EPS Revision Grades of F and F, respectively, indicating a substantial decline in market confidence in these financial stocks, which may impact their future financing and growth capabilities.
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Analyst Views on FISV
Wall Street analysts forecast FISV stock price to rise
28 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
20 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 50.730
Low
62.00
Averages
95.61
High
180.00
Current: 50.730
Low
62.00
Averages
95.61
High
180.00
About FISV
Fiserv, Inc. is a global provider of payments and financial services technology solutions. Its segments include Merchant Solutions (Merchant) and Financial Solutions (Financial). The businesses in its Merchant segment provide commerce-enabling products and services to companies of all sizes around the world. These products and services include merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection solutions; stored-value solutions; software-as-a-service; POS devices, and pay-by-bank solutions. The business lines in its Merchant segment consist of small business, enterprise, and processing. The businesses in its Financial segment provide products and services to financial institutions, corporate and public sector clients across the world, enabling the processing of customer loan and deposit accounts, digital payments and card transactions. The business lines in its Financial segment consist of digital payments, issuing, and banking.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Digital Payment Surge: Fiserv Inc. is recognized as one of the best fintech stocks to buy as digital payments volume surges, indicating strong market performance and potential growth opportunities.
- Analyst Ratings Hold: Goldman Sachs analyst Will Nance reiterated a Hold rating on Fiserv with a price target of $70, despite the abrupt CEO change potentially introducing uncertainty in the banking-focused financial solutions division.
- New CEO's Experience: Takis Georgakopoulos, the new CEO, brings extensive payments experience, and analysts believe he can address challenges in financial solutions through improved service, focused hiring, and strategic acquisitions.
- Customer Satisfaction Improvement: Bernstein maintained a Hold rating on Fiserv with a price target of $76, noting early improvements in customer satisfaction under Georgakopoulos in Merchant Solutions and the broader One Fiserv plan.
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- Market Size: The U.S. illegal vape market is estimated to exceed $9 billion in annual sales, prompting law enforcement agencies to intensify scrutiny and urging payment platforms and retailers to mitigate legal risks.
- Compliance Warnings: BP and other gas station operators have received compliance violation notices from Mastercard, warning that merchants processing illegal vape transactions could face fines in the mid-six figures, indicating a significant increase in regulatory pressure.
- Increased Legal Pressure: Attorneys general from states like California, Illinois, and Arizona are collaborating to pressure platforms like Shopify to ban illegal vape sales, reflecting a strong governmental crackdown on this market.
- Scarcity of FDA-Approved Products: The FDA has only authorized 45 vaping products for legal sale, yet unauthorized brands continue to be sold illegally, heightening compliance risks for merchants who must navigate this challenging landscape.
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- Fiduciary Duty Investigation: Ademi LLP is investigating Fiserv for potential breaches of fiduciary duties by its board, which could impact corporate governance and shareholder trust.
- Executive Resignation Impact: Fiserv's CEO and board member Michael P. Lyons resigned immediately on June 15, 2026, raising concerns about leadership stability and potentially affecting stock performance.
- Legal Litigation Risks: The investigation stems from multiple lawsuits and inquiries against Fiserv, which may expose the company to legal liabilities and financial losses, impacting future operations and investor confidence.
- Shareholder Rights Protection: Ademi LLP's focus on securities fraud and shareholder litigation underscores the importance of shareholder rights in corporate governance, potentially prompting Fiserv to take actions to restore shareholder trust.
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- Stake Accumulation: Jana Partners began accumulating shares in Everpure in Q1 2026, holding over one million shares by quarter-end, although the position was not disclosed in the quarterly 13F filing due to a confidential treatment request to regulators.
- Stock Price Reaction: Everpure's shares rose more than 10% in afternoon trading on Tuesday, closing up 8.95%, indicating a positive market response to Jana Partners' new stake, despite a slight 0.2% decline in after-hours trading.
- Company Transformation and Growth: Everpure has benefited from the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout and rising demand for data management, recently changing its name to reflect its strategic shift from a data storage provider to an AI-focused data management and intelligence platform.
- Market Sentiment Shift: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for Everpure improved from 'neutral' to 'bullish', as investors eagerly anticipate Jana Partners' filing and its implications for Everpure's future, reflecting growing confidence in the stock.
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- New Portfolio Addition: In Q1 2026, Jana Partners added Everpure Inc, acquiring 1,042,296 shares which represent 3.69% of its portfolio valued at $61.54 million, indicating a proactive approach in value investing.
- Increased Holdings: The firm significantly increased its stake in Fiserv Inc by 2,190,085 shares, a 97.53% rise, bringing total holdings to 4,435,605 shares, which impacts the portfolio by 7.33%, reflecting strong confidence in the company.
- Complete Exits: Jana Partners fully exited its positions in Treehouse Foods Inc and Freshpet Inc, selling 5,821,337 shares and 557,390 shares respectively, resulting in a 7.15% and 1.77% decrease in portfolio impact, showcasing a reassessment of these investments.
- Reduction Strategy: The firm reduced its stake in Mercury Systems Inc by 852,057 shares, leading to a 17.18% decrease in holdings and a -3.24% impact on the portfolio, indicating a cautious stance towards this stock.
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- Portfolio Adjustment: Michael Burry purchased Microsoft LEAP calls expiring in December 2028 with strike prices in the low $700s, indicating his long-term bullish conviction in Microsoft, while also adding to positions in JD.com and Adobe, reflecting his ongoing focus on tech stocks.
- Alibaba Divestment: Burry sold his Alibaba shares primarily for tax-loss reasons and indicated he may repurchase in the future, suggesting he still sees long-term potential in Alibaba while reallocating funds to JD.com, demonstrating confidence in the Chinese e-commerce market.
- Market Technical Pressure: Burry noted that Hong Kong equities are under technical pressure, with capital flows causing stock prices to decline, particularly as funds move away from semiconductor-related stocks, indicating that market sentiment shifts may not be tied to fundamentals, potentially affecting investor decisions.
- Palantir Short Strategy: Burry covered half of his short position in Palantir at $107.15 but continues to hold puts, indicating a bearish outlook on the stock while also taking some profits, showcasing his sensitivity to market volatility.
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