Dragonfly Energy targets positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025 with 17% revenue growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 24 2025
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Should l Buy DFLI?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Management Updates: Dragonfly Energy successfully restructured its debt, launched a corporate optimization program to enhance operational efficiency, and reported a 17% revenue increase driven by OEM sales. CEO Denis Phares expressed confidence in achieving positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025.
Financial Performance and Outlook: The company faced challenges with DTC sales due to macroeconomic pressures, while gross margins decreased amid rising material costs. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about future growth, particularly in the trucking sector, despite concerns regarding profitability timelines and market dynamics.
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Analyst Views on DFLI
Wall Street analysts forecast DFLI stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.580
Low
15.00
Averages
18.75
High
22.50
Current: 1.580
Low
15.00
Averages
18.75
High
22.50
About DFLI
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. is a lithium battery technology company, specializing in cell manufacturing, battery pack assembly, and full system integration. It offers several lines of batteries across its two brands, namely Battle Born Batteries and Wakespeed. Through its Battle Born Batteries brand, the Company provides battery packs through original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and a diverse retail customer base. In domestic lithium battery cell production, its dry electrode manufacturing process offers chemistry-agnostic power solutions for a broad spectrum of applications, including energy storage systems, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics. Battle Born Batteries branded products are sold to direct-to-consumers (DTC), while the Dragonfly Energy brand is primarily sold to OEMs. To supplement its battery offerings, the Company is also a reseller of accessories for battery systems. These include chargers, inverters, monitors, controllers, and other system accessories.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Sales Growth: Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp achieved a 16% increase in net sales for 2025, reaching $58.6 million, primarily driven by a 34% growth in OEM channel revenue, indicating strong market performance and potential growth opportunities.
- Increased Losses: The company reported a net loss of $45 million in the fourth quarter, significantly higher than the $9.8 million loss in the same period last year, reflecting financial pressure from rising operating expenses and market challenges, which may affect investor confidence.
- Cost-Saving Initiatives: Dragonfly implemented cost-saving measures, including leadership compensation adjustments and workforce reductions, expected to generate annual savings of approximately $4.9 million, further optimizing financial health and enhancing future profitability.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Although the company anticipates first-quarter 2026 revenue of approximately $9.5 million, ongoing economic pressures, particularly in the RV market, may negatively impact short-term performance.
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- Strengthened Financial Foundation: Dragonfly Energy completed several capital raising transactions in 2025, including a significant debt restructuring that improved liquidity and simplified the balance sheet, which is expected to lay the groundwork for future financial stability.
- Significant Sales Growth: Q4 net sales increased by 6.9% to $13.1 million, with OEM revenue rising approximately 30% year-over-year, indicating positive progress in commercial expansion and technology validation, despite a decline in DTC revenue.
- Cost Control Measures: The executive leadership team agreed to a 20% reduction in cash compensation, with expected annual cost savings of $4.9 million from payroll reductions and rental space consolidation, further enhancing adjusted EBITDA.
- Cautious Market Outlook: While management remains optimistic about achieving positive adjusted EBITDA, ongoing pressure in the RV market and broader economic challenges necessitate close attention to demand recovery and effective cost management.
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- Severe Financial Loss: Dragonfly Energy's Q4 report reveals a GAAP EPS of -$14.92, missing expectations by $14.12, indicating significant financial challenges that could negatively impact stock performance.
- Slight Revenue Growth: Despite a 7.4% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.1 million, beating estimates by $0.16 million, gross profit fell to $2.4 million with a gross margin of 18.2%, highlighting pressures on cost control and market competition.
- Surge in Operating Expenses: Operating expenses surged to $12.6 million from $9.7 million year-over-year, primarily due to one-time costs associated with debt restructuring and lease impairment losses, exacerbating the company's financial difficulties.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company projects Q1 2026 net sales of approximately $9.5 million and an adjusted EBITDA of around -$4.6 million, indicating ongoing challenges in restoring profitability in the near term.
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- Sustainable Innovation Award: Dragonfly Energy received the Sustainable Innovation Award at the 2026 SEAL Business Sustainability Awards, recognizing its groundbreaking contributions to reducing diesel engine idling in long-haul trucking, showcasing the company's leadership in environmental sustainability.
- Product Award Recognition: The Battle Born® DualFlow Power Pack was awarded the Sustainable Product Award, demonstrating its capability to significantly reduce CO₂ emissions by 10-12 metric tons per vehicle annually in real-world applications, driving the industry towards a low-carbon transition.
- Technological Advantage: The system enables truck drivers to power essential hotel loads during mandatory rest periods, achieving nearly 70% idle-hour reductions, enhancing fleet operational efficiency while lowering maintenance demands and improving driver comfort.
- Broad Market Prospects: Dragonfly Energy's innovation not only strengthens its market competitiveness but also lays the groundwork for future battery technology advancements, illustrating the company's long-term strategic vision in the clean energy sector.
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- Disappointing Delivery Numbers: Xpeng Inc reported delivering 20,011 vehicles in January 2026, a figure that, while substantial, fell short of market expectations, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the disappointing delivery results, Xpeng's stock dropped 5.6% in pre-market trading to $16.97, reflecting concerns about the company's future performance among investors.
- Overall Market Trend: U.S. stock futures were lower, with Dow futures falling around 100 points, indicating a cautious market sentiment that could further impact investor attitudes towards Xpeng.
- Industry Impact: The delivery figures from Xpeng may negatively affect overall confidence in the electric vehicle market, especially in an increasingly competitive landscape, prompting investors to reassess their strategies.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: DarkIris Inc reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 27.3% for FY25, reaching $10.08 million compared to $7.92 million in FY24, indicating strong market performance and growth potential.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the positive earnings report, DarkIris shares jumped 104.2% in pre-market trading to $0.68, reflecting investor optimism about the company's future prospects.
- Positive Market Reaction: The release of this earnings report has significantly increased market attention on DarkIris, enhancing investor confidence in its continued growth and potentially attracting more capital inflow.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: The robust performance of DarkIris not only strengthens its market position but may also provide more opportunities for future financing and expansion plans, further solidifying its competitive edge in the industry.
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