Delek Shares Surge 200% Since April: Implications of a New $4.8M Investment
GeoSphere Capital Management's New Investment: Florida-based GeoSphere Capital Management has acquired a new position in Delek US Holdings, purchasing 150,000 shares valued at approximately $4.8 million, which represents 3.7% of its 13F reportable assets.
Delek's Performance and Market Position: Delek US Holdings has seen a significant stock price increase of 99% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500, and is recognized for its integrated downstream energy operations, including refining and retail.
Financial Strength and Future Prospects: Delek reported strong financial results with $178 million in net income and $759.6 million in adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter, indicating improved cash flow and operational performance, despite being down 40% from pre-pandemic highs.
Strategic Investment Rationale: GeoSphere's investment in Delek signals confidence in the company's improving fundamentals and potential for future cash generation, particularly with expected small refinery exemption grants that could enhance its financial position.
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- Position Change: On February 12, Towle & Co. reported in an SEC filing that it fully exited its position in Delek US Holdings by selling 536,133 shares worth $17.30 million during the fourth quarter, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Market Performance: As of February 11, Delek US Holdings shares were priced at $34.52, reflecting an impressive 86% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's roughly 14% gain, which suggests strong market optimism regarding its profitability.
- Financial Overview: Delek US Holdings has a market capitalization of $2.07 billion and reported $10.67 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, despite a net loss of $514.90 million; however, its third-quarter net income of $178 million indicates potential business recovery.
- Investor Implications: This sale means Towle & Co. has lost significant exposure to Delek, and given the company's strong performance over the past year, this move may reflect a cautious stance towards market volatility, particularly in the current commodity environment.
- Dividend Growth Rating Overview: Alico (ALCO) has received an F grade in dividend growth according to Seeking Alpha's comprehensive scoring system, indicating a lack of commitment to increasing shareholder returns, which may undermine investor confidence.
- List of Low-Rated Stocks: The list includes Arko (ARKO), Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL), and Cogent Communications (CCOI), all rated F, suggesting these companies are performing poorly in dividend growth, potentially leading to investor sell-offs.
- Industry Distribution: These low-rated stocks span various sectors, including agricultural products, automotive retail, office REITs, and restaurants, reflecting a common challenge faced by many small-cap stocks in achieving dividend growth under varying market conditions, which could impact their long-term investment appeal.
- Investor Evaluation Criteria: The dividend growth rating serves as a crucial metric for assessing a company's history of dividend payments, with grades of D+ or below considered sell signals, prompting investors to carefully evaluate the risks associated with these stocks.
- Earnings Announcement Timing: Delek Logistics plans to issue its fourth quarter 2025 results before the U.S. stock market opens on February 27, 2026, indicating the company's commitment to timely financial communication and transparency with investors.
- Conference Call Schedule: A conference call will be held on the same day at 11:30 a.m. CT (12:30 p.m. ET) to discuss the results, providing an opportunity for direct interaction between investors and management, thereby enhancing information flow.
- Live Broadcast and Replay: The conference call will be available for live streaming on the company's website, with a replay accessible for 90 days, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can still obtain critical information.
- Company Background Information: Delek Logistics is a midstream energy master limited partnership headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, primarily operating in the Permian Basin and Delaware Basin, providing essential oil and gas transportation and related services, highlighting its significant role in the energy sector.

- Stock Performance: Refined Holdings shares dipped by 1.7% following recent core reports.
- Operational Issues: The decline is attributed to refinery emissions caused by equipment faults amid cold weather conditions.
- Complete Exit: Kawa Capital Management disclosed in a SEC filing that it sold its entire 200,000-share position in Delek US Holdings for approximately $6.45 million, marking a complete exit from its investment in the company.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This transaction reduced Delek's holdings from 11.7% of Kawa's 13F AUM to zero, indicating a diminished confidence in Delek's future performance by the fund.
- Market Performance: As of January 20, 2026, Delek's shares were priced at $26.68, reflecting a 45.47% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 28.34 percentage points, showcasing its relative strength in the market.
- Investor Caution: Delek's quarterly operating margins have fluctuated significantly, with a five-year average of only 0.5%, and while total returns reached 60%, the high volatility suggests the stock may be better suited for traders rather than long-term investors.
- Delek US Holdings: JP Morgan analyst lowered the price target for Delek US from $42 to $38, resulting in a 9% decline in stock price over the past month, with an RSI of 29.9 indicating oversold conditions that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Expand Energy Corp: UBS analyst maintained a Buy rating on Expand Energy but reduced the price target from $154 to $150, with the stock falling approximately 7% in the last month and an RSI of 28.7, suggesting it is also in oversold territory, attracting investor interest.
- XCF Global Inc: XCF Global filed for an offering of up to 187.18 million shares of Class A common stock, with the stock plummeting around 65% over the past month and an RSI of 21.4 indicating extreme oversold conditions, potentially appealing to risk-tolerant investors.
- Market Trend Analysis: According to Benzinga Pro data, oversold stocks are often viewed as investment opportunities, and these companies in the energy sector may rebound in the short term, warranting close attention from investors.








