TD Cowen Lowers Marvell Tech Rating to Hold and Reduces Price Target to $85
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 01 2025
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Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on MRVL
Wall Street analysts forecast MRVL stock price to fall
30 Analyst Rating
22 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 310.580
Low
85.00
Averages
120.12
High
156.00
Current: 310.580
Low
85.00
Averages
120.12
High
156.00
About MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc. together with its consolidated subsidiaries, is a supplier of data infrastructure semiconductor solutions, spanning the data center core to network edge. It is engaged in the design, development and sale of integrated circuits. Its product offerings include custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), interconnects, ethernet solutions, fiber channel adapters, processors and storage controllers. In addition, it is also developing Ultra Accelerator LinkTM (UALinkTM) switches and ethernet for scale-up networking (ESUN) switches for the emerging scale-out artificial intelligence market. Its solutions integrate multiple analogs, mixed-signal and digital intellectual property components incorporating hardware, firmware and software technologies and its system knowledge to provide its customers with integrated solutions for their end products. It designs and manufactures photonic integrated circuits for ultra-high-bandwidth and low-power applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Marvell's Revenue Surge: In FY 2026, Marvell's revenue reached approximately $8.2 billion, reflecting a 42% year-over-year increase, showcasing strong performance driven by surging demand for AI infrastructure, with net income nearing $2.7 billion, marking a significant turnaround from previous net losses.
- Customer Concentration Risk: Marvell's top ten customers account for nearly 82% of total net revenue, with two customers each representing at least 10%, creating a high risk of revenue loss if these key clients shift towards in-house chip solutions amid competitive pressures.
- Semtech's Financial Improvement: Semtech reported nearly $1.1 billion in revenue for FY 2026, a 16% increase, although it still posted a net loss of $40.4 million, which is an improvement from a net loss of $161.9 million in FY 2025, indicating a move towards a more stable financial footing.
- Market Outlook Comparison: Marvell expects a 40% revenue increase to $11.5 billion in FY 2027, while Semtech anticipates over 30% growth in sales to $1.37 billion, highlighting strong growth potential for both companies driven by rising AI demand.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Marvell reported approximately $8.2 billion in revenue for FY 2026, reflecting a 42% increase, demonstrating strong performance driven by surging AI infrastructure demand, with net income nearing $2.7 billion, marking a successful turnaround from previous years' losses.
- Customer Concentration Risk: Marvell's top ten customers account for nearly 82% of total net revenue, with two customers each representing over 10%, indicating a significant risk due to reliance on a few key clients, especially as large cloud providers may develop their own internal chip solutions.
- Semtech's Financial Improvement: Semtech achieved nearly $1.1 billion in revenue for FY 2026, a 16% increase, although it still reported a net loss of $40.4 million, this is an improvement from a net loss of $161.9 million in FY 2025, indicating a gradual stabilization of its financial position.
- Future Growth Expectations: Marvell anticipates a 40% revenue increase to $11.5 billion in FY 2027, while Semtech expects hardware sales to grow by over 30%, both benefiting from strong AI demand, showcasing significant growth potential ahead.
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- Stock Surge: Marvell Technology's stock has surged 247% this year, driven by investor confidence in its ability to meet the skyrocketing demand for application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and networking equipment in AI data centers.
- Market Expectations: Despite a 12-month median price target of $240, which is below the current price of $307.36, Marvell's trailing P/E ratio of 106 indicates strong market expectations for its future profitability, reflecting investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Marvell anticipates a 40% revenue growth in fiscal 2027, reaching $11.5 billion, with a potential 50% growth in fiscal 2029, suggesting revenues could hit $25 billion, showcasing its robust growth potential amid ongoing data center investments.
- Market Opportunities: With the optical networking market projected to grow 9x to $154 billion, Marvell's pivotal role in this sector is expected to double its annual revenue from data center interconnect products to $1 billion between fiscal 2026 and 2028, further solidifying its position in AI infrastructure.
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- Market Dominance: Nvidia holds a dominant position in the AI sector, with its GPUs widely utilized for AI workloads, and is expected to maintain this advantage, driving future revenue growth for the company.
- Custom Chip Collaboration: Marvell and Broadcom partner with clients like Amazon and Microsoft to design custom AI chips, helping to reduce operational costs, highlighting the diversity and complexity of customer demands in the rapidly evolving AI market.
- Growth Potential Comparison: Broadcom is projected to achieve a 66% revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, compared to Marvell's 41%, indicating Broadcom's stronger growth potential in the future market, attracting investor interest.
- Valuation Analysis: Although Broadcom's valuation stands at 34 times forward earnings, lower than Marvell's, its robust client base and superior flagship product make it a more attractive investment over the next five years.
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- Market Outlook Comparison: For fiscal year 2026, Broadcom is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 66%, while Marvell's growth is projected at 41%, indicating Broadcom's advantage in market expectations, which may attract more investor interest in its stock performance.
- Client Base Analysis: Marvell's primary clients include Amazon and Microsoft, whereas Broadcom boasts major clients like Alphabet and Meta, with Broadcom's stronger client base, particularly the success of Alphabet's TPU, providing a significant competitive edge.
- Valuation and Investment Considerations: Although Broadcom trades at a forward P/E of 34, lower than Marvell's valuation, the market's bullish sentiment towards Marvell may lead to its stock being overvalued, prompting investors to carefully assess its investment value.
- Future Growth Potential: Broadcom's leading position in the AI chip sector and robust revenue growth projections make it a more attractive investment choice over the next five years compared to Marvell.
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- Surging Power Demand: The International Energy Agency forecasts that data centers' power consumption will double to 945 TWh by 2030, prompting companies like GE Vernova to ramp up investments to meet AI data center needs, despite many utilities facing capital constraints.
- Memory Market Outlook: Micron Technology enhances its competitive edge in the memory market by signing long-term strategic customer agreements, with the high-bandwidth memory market expected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 25% through 2035, further solidifying its market position.
- Optical Bandwidth Innovation: Marvell Technology unveiled the industry's first switch capable of processing 102.4 terabits of data per second, addressing AI data centers' need for high-speed data transmission, with the optical networking market projected to grow to over $150 billion, indicating strong market potential.
- Investment Trends: Goldman Sachs anticipates that AI infrastructure investments will reach $765 billion in 2023, primarily focused on critical bottlenecks such as power, memory, and networking solutions, reflecting companies' commitment to AI technology and confidence in future growth.
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