BofAS: MTR CORPORATION (00066.HK) FY2025 Earnings Meet Expectations, Yet Valuation Appears Unappealing
MTR Corporation's Financial Performance: MTR Corporation's core profit for 2025 decreased by 4% year-on-year to $16.7 billion, aligning with expectations, while its full-year dividend per share remained at $1.31.
Market Outlook and Challenges: Despite potential benefits from the upcycle in the Hong Kong real estate market, significant capital expenditure plans for the railway are expected to restrict dividend growth in the near term.
Brokerage Ratings and Valuation: BofA Securities maintains an "Underperform" rating on MTR Corporation, citing unattractive valuation with a target price set at $27.
Short Selling Activity: The company experienced short selling amounting to $99.18 million, with a short selling ratio of 37.346%.
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Market Overview: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 3.5% to 24,400, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced significant declines of 3.1%.
Active Heavyweights Performance: Major stocks like PING AN, HKEX, and XIAOMI saw substantial drops, with PING AN down 6% and HKEX down 3.9%, reflecting a trend of short selling across these companies.
Notable Declines Among Constituents: Companies such as CHINAHONGQIAO and LAOPU GOLD faced severe losses, with CHINAHONGQIAO dropping 11.7% and LAOPU GOLD down 10.7%, indicating a broader market downturn.
Short Selling Trends: A significant amount of short selling was observed, particularly in stocks like XIAOMI and AIA, with ratios exceeding 30%, highlighting investor pessimism in the current market conditions.
S&P Global Ratings Report: MTR Corporation's financial outlook is stable, with a strong capital investment pipeline expected to increase debt funding needs over the next three to five years.
Investment and Spending Forecast: The company has raised its budgeted capital expenditure to HKD82.6 billion for the next three years, potentially exceeding annual spending of HKD19.6 billion by 2025.

Market Performance: The HSI closed down 251 points (1%) at 25,465, with significant declines in major stocks like HSBC and Standard Chartered, both dropping over 5%.
Inflation and Economic Indicators: China's inflation rate for February rose to 1.0%, while the M2 money supply remained unchanged at 9% year-on-year.
Commodity and Airline Stocks: CNOOC saw a 2.3% increase amid rising oil prices, while airline stocks like China Southern Airlines and Air China fell over 4%.
Tech Stock Movements: Major tech companies like Tencent and Alibaba experienced slight gains, while others like Meituan and Kuaishou saw declines of around 1-1.7%.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 251 points (1.0%) to close at 25,465, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks included Alibaba (BABA) and Tencent (TENCENT), which saw slight increases, while others like OOIL and MTR Corporation faced significant drops.
Short Selling Trends: Several companies experienced high short selling ratios, with MTR Corporation and BYD Electronic among those with the highest ratios, indicating bearish market sentiment.
Noteworthy Movers: Bright Smart saw a substantial increase of 33.96%, while companies like Deepexi Tech and Xunce faced significant declines, highlighting volatility in the market.

MTR Corporation Salary Increase: MTR Corporation announced a basic salary increase of 1.6-3.84% for most non-managerial employees this year.
Union Response: The Hong Kong Federation of Railway Trade Unions criticized the salary increase as being below their recommendations and stated that the company did not adequately address their demands.
Unmet Demands: Key demands from the HKFRTU that were not met include the implementation of a seniority-based salary increase mechanism and improvements to special work shift allowances.
Financial Performance: MTR Corporation reported a 6.9% year-on-year decline in annual net profit to HKD14.68 billion, with the final dividend remaining unchanged at HKD0.89.

Market Performance: The HSI closed down 123 points (0.5%) at 25,593, with significant declines in major financial stocks like HSBC and Standard Chartered, while the total market turnover reached HKD126.059 billion.
Sector Movements: Oil stocks like PetroChina and CNOOC saw gains due to rising oil prices, while gold stocks and airlines experienced declines amid fluctuating market conditions.
Corporate Developments: Swire Group plans to raise HKD1.79 billion by selling a stake in Cathay Pacific, which saw a drop in its stock price, while Swire Pacific A's stock rose after announcing an increased dividend.
Tech Stock Trends: Major tech companies like Tencent and Alibaba saw slight increases, while others like Meituan and Kuaishou experienced minor declines, reflecting mixed performance in the tech sector.





