Algonquin Power Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AQN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Earnings: Algonquin Power & Utilities reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.06, beating expectations by $0.01, indicating the company's stable profitability and growth potential.
- Revenue Growth: Q4 revenue reached $630.7 million, up 7.8% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations by $23.86 million, demonstrating the company's competitive position and business expansion capabilities.
- Future Outlook: The company projects adjusted net EPS of $0.35 to $0.37 for 2026 and $0.38 to $0.42 for 2027, reflecting a positive outlook on future profitability.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Algonquin plans approximately $0.8 billion in utility capital expenditures for 2026 and an aggregate of about $3.2 billion from 2026 to 2028, highlighting the company's commitment to infrastructure investment and long-term growth strategy.
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Analyst Views on AQN
Wall Street analysts forecast AQN stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.280
Low
6.50
Averages
6.75
High
7.50
Current: 6.280
Low
6.50
Averages
6.75
High
7.50
About AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. is a Canada-based diversified international generation, transmission, and distribution company. The Company is engaged in providing sustainable energy and water solutions through its portfolio of generation, transmission and distribution utility investments to over one million customer connections. The Company's operations are organized across three business units, consisting of: the Regulated Services Group, which primarily owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations in the United States, Canada, Bermuda and Chile; the Hydro Group, consisting of the hydroelectric business, which is not being sold as a part of the Renewables sale; and the Corporate Group, which includes corporate and service companies as well as its investment in Atlantica.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Algonquin Power Q1 Non-GAAP EPS Beats Expectations
- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Algonquin Power & Utilities reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.13, beating the market expectation of $0.11, indicating ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and cost control, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Financial Stability: The company's Q1 financial results reflect stable revenue streams and effective capital allocation strategies, maintaining profitability despite market fluctuations, which is expected to positively impact future shareholder returns.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings beat, Algonquin Power's stock price saw an increase, enhancing market confidence in its future growth potential and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Optimistic Outlook: With continued operational optimization and business expansion, the company is expected to sustain profit growth in the coming quarters, further solidifying its market position in the utilities sector.
See More
Algonquin Reports Decline in Q1 Profit
- Profit Decline: Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported a first-quarter net profit of $83.6 million, or $0.11 per share, down from $94.2 million and $0.12 per share last year, indicating a weakening in the company's profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, Algonquin's adjusted earnings were $99.6 million, or $0.13 per share, showing some improvement in adjusted earnings, yet overall profitability remains below last year's figures.
- Revenue Growth: The company experienced a 14.4% year-over-year revenue increase to $792.4 million, compared to $692.4 million last year, indicating growth potential in revenue, although it did not fully offset the profit decline.
- Market Reaction: Despite revenue growth, the profit decline may negatively impact investor confidence, reflecting challenges the company faces in cost control and profitability.
See More
Algonquin Power & Utilities Set to Announce Q1 Earnings on May 8
- Earnings Announcement: Algonquin Power & Utilities is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on May 8 before the market opens, generating anticipation regarding its performance.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.11, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.4%, indicating potential profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Forecast: The consensus revenue estimate is $713.69 million, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's revenue growth, which could impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Algonquin has exceeded EPS estimates 63% of the time, while only beating revenue estimates 38% of the time, highlighting significant volatility in its performance metrics.
See More
Barclays Initiates Overweight Rating on Algonquin Power
- Coverage Initiation: Barclays has initiated coverage on Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) with an Overweight rating and a $7 price target, citing that the stock trades at a discount compared to peers despite a materially improved balance sheet and a refocused regulatory strategy.
- Earnings Guidance Adjustment: Algonquin lowered its FY 2027 earnings guidance during its Q4 earnings call, primarily due to previously conservative tax assumptions and temporary gas safety measures, indicating transparency in its strategic adjustments rather than a decline in regulatory earnings power.
- Management Strategies: The management has articulated multiple levers to recover reset earnings over time, including tax optimization, improving return on equity, cost discipline, and regulatory recovery of gas operational excellence costs, demonstrating a proactive approach to challenges.
- Growth Potential: As billing accuracy and customer service improve, particularly at Empire Electric, regulatory confidence is expected to build, enhancing ROEs further, with analysts noting additional upside potential in hydro asset monetization, tax optimization, and data center-driven load growth in southern Missouri once credibility is restored.
See More
Algonquin Power Misses 2027 Profitability Guidance, Stock Drops
- Guidance Miss: Algonquin Power's failure to meet its 2027 profitability guidance in the latest earnings report disappointed investors, resulting in a more than 12% drop in stock price on the last trading day, indicating market concerns over future profitability.
- Strong Quarterly Performance: Despite the guidance miss, Algonquin reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $630.7 million, reflecting nearly 8% year-over-year growth, with net income rising 11% to $47.2 million, surpassing analyst expectations and demonstrating solid performance in traditional utility services.
- Strategic Shift Impact: The company's
See More
Algonquin Power Misses 2027 Guidance, Stock Plummets
- Earnings Report Highlights: Algonquin Power & Utilities reported Q4 2025 revenue of $630.7 million, reflecting nearly 8% year-over-year growth and surpassing analyst expectations of $616.6 million, indicating stable growth in traditional utility services.
- Net Income Growth: The company's non-GAAP net income rose by 11% to $47.2 million ($0.06 per share), showcasing improved profitability following its streamlined operational model.
- 2026 Profitability Guidance: Algonquin reaffirmed its adjusted net income forecast for 2026 at $0.35 to $0.37 per share, although the projected miss for 2027 compared to consensus estimates led to a significant sell-off, with the stock dropping over 12% on the last trading day.
- Strategic Transformation: By focusing on a
See More
Algonquin Power Q1 Non-GAAP EPS Beats Expectations
- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Algonquin Power & Utilities reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.13, beating the market expectation of $0.11, indicating ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and cost control, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Financial Stability: The company's Q1 financial results reflect stable revenue streams and effective capital allocation strategies, maintaining profitability despite market fluctuations, which is expected to positively impact future shareholder returns.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the earnings beat, Algonquin Power's stock price saw an increase, enhancing market confidence in its future growth potential and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Optimistic Outlook: With continued operational optimization and business expansion, the company is expected to sustain profit growth in the coming quarters, further solidifying its market position in the utilities sector.
See More
Algonquin Reports Decline in Q1 Profit
- Profit Decline: Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported a first-quarter net profit of $83.6 million, or $0.11 per share, down from $94.2 million and $0.12 per share last year, indicating a weakening in the company's profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, Algonquin's adjusted earnings were $99.6 million, or $0.13 per share, showing some improvement in adjusted earnings, yet overall profitability remains below last year's figures.
- Revenue Growth: The company experienced a 14.4% year-over-year revenue increase to $792.4 million, compared to $692.4 million last year, indicating growth potential in revenue, although it did not fully offset the profit decline.
- Market Reaction: Despite revenue growth, the profit decline may negatively impact investor confidence, reflecting challenges the company faces in cost control and profitability.
See More
Algonquin Power & Utilities Set to Announce Q1 Earnings on May 8
- Earnings Announcement: Algonquin Power & Utilities is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on May 8 before the market opens, generating anticipation regarding its performance.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.11, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.4%, indicating potential profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Forecast: The consensus revenue estimate is $713.69 million, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's revenue growth, which could impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Algonquin has exceeded EPS estimates 63% of the time, while only beating revenue estimates 38% of the time, highlighting significant volatility in its performance metrics.
See More
Barclays Initiates Overweight Rating on Algonquin Power
- Coverage Initiation: Barclays has initiated coverage on Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) with an Overweight rating and a $7 price target, citing that the stock trades at a discount compared to peers despite a materially improved balance sheet and a refocused regulatory strategy.
- Earnings Guidance Adjustment: Algonquin lowered its FY 2027 earnings guidance during its Q4 earnings call, primarily due to previously conservative tax assumptions and temporary gas safety measures, indicating transparency in its strategic adjustments rather than a decline in regulatory earnings power.
- Management Strategies: The management has articulated multiple levers to recover reset earnings over time, including tax optimization, improving return on equity, cost discipline, and regulatory recovery of gas operational excellence costs, demonstrating a proactive approach to challenges.
- Growth Potential: As billing accuracy and customer service improve, particularly at Empire Electric, regulatory confidence is expected to build, enhancing ROEs further, with analysts noting additional upside potential in hydro asset monetization, tax optimization, and data center-driven load growth in southern Missouri once credibility is restored.
See More
Algonquin Power Misses 2027 Profitability Guidance, Stock Drops
- Guidance Miss: Algonquin Power's failure to meet its 2027 profitability guidance in the latest earnings report disappointed investors, resulting in a more than 12% drop in stock price on the last trading day, indicating market concerns over future profitability.
- Strong Quarterly Performance: Despite the guidance miss, Algonquin reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $630.7 million, reflecting nearly 8% year-over-year growth, with net income rising 11% to $47.2 million, surpassing analyst expectations and demonstrating solid performance in traditional utility services.
- Strategic Shift Impact: The company's
See More
Algonquin Power Misses 2027 Guidance, Stock Plummets
- Earnings Report Highlights: Algonquin Power & Utilities reported Q4 2025 revenue of $630.7 million, reflecting nearly 8% year-over-year growth and surpassing analyst expectations of $616.6 million, indicating stable growth in traditional utility services.
- Net Income Growth: The company's non-GAAP net income rose by 11% to $47.2 million ($0.06 per share), showcasing improved profitability following its streamlined operational model.
- 2026 Profitability Guidance: Algonquin reaffirmed its adjusted net income forecast for 2026 at $0.35 to $0.37 per share, although the projected miss for 2027 compared to consensus estimates led to a significant sell-off, with the stock dropping over 12% on the last trading day.
- Strategic Transformation: By focusing on a
See More
