AI Triggers Biotech's Largest Surge Since 2004 — Why Is It Going Unnoticed?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 25 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MRNA?
Source: Benzinga
AI's Impact on Biotech Stocks: The biotech sector is experiencing a significant rally, with the iShares Biotechnology ETF rising for six consecutive months and achieving a 40% increase, marking its best performance since 2003, driven by AI's role in improving drug development efficiency.
Transformation in Drug Discovery: AI is revolutionizing the traditionally slow and costly drug discovery process, shifting from labor-intensive methods to compute-driven approaches, which promise faster, cheaper, and more predictable outcomes in pharmaceutical research and development.
Investor Skepticism and Future Potential: Despite ongoing skepticism from some investors regarding AI's valuation and market impact, experts believe that AI could unlock significant advancements in healthcare, including longer lifespans and more effective treatments, fundamentally changing the industry's landscape.
Implementation Phase of AI in Biotech: The transition from AI research to practical implementation is underway, with companies like Moderna and Eli Lilly actively utilizing AI to enhance drug development processes, indicating a shift towards a more efficient and scalable biotech industry.
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Analyst Views on MRNA
Wall Street analysts forecast MRNA stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
16 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 48.790
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
Current: 48.790
Low
17.00
Averages
32.47
High
63.00
About MRNA
Moderna, Inc. is a biotechnology company advancing a new class of medicines made of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is engaged in developing medicines across infectious disease vaccines, oncology therapeutics and rare disease therapeutics. Its platform incorporates advances across three components, mRNA, delivery, and the manufacturing process, to advance its medicines. Its products are Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE (its COVID vaccines), and mRESVIA (its vaccine against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)). It also has a diverse development pipeline that consists of 35 therapeutic and vaccine programs, six of which are in late-stage development. It has regulatory filings under review for its seasonal flu+COVID vaccine (mRNA-1083) in Europe and Canada and for its seasonal flu vaccine (mRNA-1010) in the United States, Europe, Canada and Australia. Its rare disease programs are Propionic acidemia (mRNA-3927); Methylmalonic acidemia (mRNA-3705), and Cystic Fibrosis (mRNA-3692/VX-522).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- 2026 Revenue Outlook: The company maintained its adjusted revenue forecast for 2026 at $230 million to $270 million, with expectations that existing cash and partner reimbursements will fund operations through 2028, even without additional milestone or royalty revenue.
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- Rising Cost Expectations: Due to litigation and settlement costs, Moderna has raised its sales cost projection from $900 million to $1.8 billion, which includes a $900 million litigation settlement charge, potentially impacting future profitability.
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Focus on Combination Vaccine: The company is particularly focused on advancing its flu-COVID combination vaccine, which aims to address both illnesses in a single shot.
See More
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- Q1 Performance Exceeds Expectations: In Q1 of FY 2026, Moderna reported net product sales of $389 million, significantly surpassing the Street's estimate of $235.5 million, indicating a strong rebound in COVID vaccine demand.
- Vaccine Review Progress: The U.S. FDA reversed its initial rejection and agreed to review Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine in February, a shift that may reflect changes in regulatory policies and impact the company's future market strategies.
- Market Reaction: Despite retail investor sentiment shifting from 'extremely bearish' to 'bearish', Moderna's shares rose nearly 6% in pre-market trading on Friday, reflecting a positive market response to its Q1 earnings report.
See More
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- Cloud Transition: CFO James Chuong cautioned that the shift of customers to cloud services would result in a more muted level of data center expansion, with expectations for moderated revenue growth in Q4, which could impact future market performance.
- Product Advantage: Analyst Meilin Quinn noted that while workflows may be taken over by agents, there remains a need for trusted company knowledge and systems, providing Atlassian with a stronger foothold in engineering processes and enhancing its competitive edge.
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