Solana Price Drops Over 7% Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Mar 03 2026

Should l Buy SOL?

Significant Price Drop: Solana (SOL) price plummeted over 7% on Monday, falling from $88.05 to $81.86, indicating that investors are fleeing risk assets due to ongoing U.S.-Iran war tensions, which has dampened market sentiment.
Declining Network Revenue: According to DeFiLlama, weekly revenue from the Solana network has dropped over 30% since mid-January, suggesting that its explosive growth phase may be over, leading to diminished investor confidence in future performance.
Total Value Locked Decrease: The total value locked in the Solana network has decreased from over $9 billion on January 17 to $6.64 billion currently, indicating waning investor interest and exacerbating the overall market pessimism surrounding the token.
Futures Market Demand Decline: SOL futures open interest has scaled back nearly 45% from January's high of $8.88 billion to $4.93 billion, reflecting traders unwinding positions amid escalating global geopolitical uncertainties, further contributing to the price downturn.

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Technical Analysis for SOL

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Solana (SOL). As of , Solana (SOL) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 5 technical signals, shows that 2 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SOL stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, SOL is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Solana (SOL) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	59.835	68.267	75.115	83.547	90.395	98.827	105.675
Fibonacci	68.267	74.104	77.71	83.547	89.384	92.99	98.827

About SOL

Solana is a highly functional open source project that banks on blockchain technology’s permissionless nature to provide decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions. While the idea and initial work on the project began in 2017, Solana was officially launched in March 2020 by the Solana Foundation with headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland.To learn more about this project, check out our deep dive of Solana.The Solana protocol is designed to facilitate decentralized app (DApp) creation. It aims to improve scalability by introducing a proof-of-history (PoH) consensus combined with the underlying proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus of the blockchain.Because of the innovative hybrid consensus model, Solana enjoys interest from small-time traders and institutional traders alike. A significant focus for the Solana Foundation is to make decentralized finance accessible on a larger scale.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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