Bitcoin Faces Renewed Supply Pressure Test
- Increased Supply Pressure: In the past week, Bitcoin exchange net inflows rose by approximately 18,000 BTC while spot ETFs experienced nearly 16,000 BTC in net outflows, creating around 34,000 BTC of near-term selling pressure, indicating a risk of supply-demand imbalance in the market.
- Weakened ETF Activity: Institutional ETF activity has cooled, with daily trading volume dropping from over $50 billion at the end of 2025 to below $20 billion, suggesting fading speculative demand through traditional finance channels, which may limit future price rebounds.
- Futures Market Dynamics: Bitcoin open interest fell to about 250,000 BTC during the rebound before ticking up to roughly 254,000 BTC, indicating that the rally was largely driven by short-covering rather than new bullish positions being established.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Analysts highlight that while some metrics show cooling selling pressure, sustained upside will likely depend on a renewed influx of spot demand and an increase in open interest, as the market faces a delicate balance between supply pressure and demand absorption.
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Technical Analysis for BTC
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 5 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 5 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 70326.667 | 72308.133 | 74637.057 | 76618.523 | 78947.447 | 80928.913 | 83257.837 |
| Fibonacci | 72308.133 | 73954.702 | 74971.954 | 76618.523 | 78265.092 | 79282.344 | 80928.913 |
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