Arthur Hayes Predicts Major Bitcoin Rally in 2026 Driven by Dollar Liquidity

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Jan 15 2026

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Dollar Liquidity Growth: Arthur Hayes predicts a significant Bitcoin rally in 2026 driven by increased dollar liquidity, as the Federal Reserve is expected to expand its balance sheet again, injecting more cash into the market and boosting investor demand for Bitcoin.
Increased Bank Lending: As banks lend more, money circulates faster in the economy, and this liquidity could flow into crypto markets, especially when investors are seeking high-return opportunities, further driving Bitcoin prices upward.
Falling Mortgage Rates: A decline in mortgage rates will reduce borrowing costs, allowing households to spend and invest more freely, which will enhance financial flexibility and lead to increased investment in digital assets, supporting Bitcoin's long-term growth.
Optimistic Market Outlook: If Hayes' prediction materializes, the next few years will be crucial for positioning in the crypto market, as increased dollar liquidity and accessible credit may not only help Bitcoin recover from short-term volatility but also reach new highs.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	57356.557	61178.278	64382.647	68204.368	71408.737	75230.458	78434.827
Fibonacci	61178.278	63862.245	65520.402	68204.368	70888.335	72546.492	75230.458

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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