XLY Technical Analysis & ETF Price Forecast

Technical Sentiment

Overall Consensus

Sell

Buy

Technical Analysis Consensus

Sell

Buy

Moving Average Consensus

Sell

Buy

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is -1.16, suggesting XLY is Buy.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 20-Day simple moving average is 116.86, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Sell.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 60-Day simple moving average is 119.9, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Sell.

Technical Analysis for XLY

Technical Sentiment Analysis for State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY). As of 2026-03-04, State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) is exhibiting a Buy technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 12 technical signals, shows that 7 indicators are flashing buy, while 5 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XLY stands at 45.09, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -1.16, providing a Sell signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at 42.47 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -51.22 further confirm a -0.63 outlook for the ETF.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, XLY is trading above its 60-day moving average of $119.9 and above its 200-day long-term moving average of $115.71. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $118.68 and strong support at $112.83. A break above $118.68 could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $112.83 may test the next Fibonacci floor at $109.39.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	106.98	109.39	112.83	115.24	118.68	121.09	124.53
Fibonacci	109.39	111.63	113.01	115.24	117.48	118.86	121.09

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Technical Indicators

2026-03-04

Name	Value
Relative Strength Index (RSI)	45.09
Stochastic Oscillator	42.47
Stochastic RSI	43.93
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)	-51.22
Awesome Oscillator	-3.43
Momentum	-0.63
MACD	-1.16

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 45.09, creating a Neutral signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Stochastic Oscillator is 42.47, creating a Neutral signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Stochastic RSI is 43.93, creating a Neutral signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -51.22, creating a Neutral signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Awesome Oscillator is -3.43, creating a Sell signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Momentum is -0.63, creating a Sell signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) MACD is -1.16, creating a Sell signal.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) Moving Average

2026-03-04

Period	Simple	Signal
5-Day	116.02	Buy
10-Day	116.26	Buy
20-Day	116.86	Sell
60-Day	119.9	Sell
200-Day	115.71	Buy
250-Day	112.26	Buy

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 5-Day simple moving average is 116.02, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Buy.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 10-Day simple moving average is 116.26, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Buy.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 200-Day simple moving average is 115.71, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Buy.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) 250-Day simple moving average is 112.26, while State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) share price is $116.39, making it Buy.